IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> holders get 0.7629 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> shares plus A$0.5125 cash per share. </li>
<li>The independent expert (BDO) found the scheme fair and reasonable, valuing Vault at A$4.697 to A$6.345, compared with the scheme's (default) consideration of A$3.751 to A$6.769.</li>
<li>The deal looks done. The ACCC waiver is in, and no shareholder holds a blocking stake. The large shareholders are mostly index funds, with few retail holders. </li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) holders get 0.7629 Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) shares plus A$0.5125 cash per share. 
The independent expert (BDO) found the scheme fair and reasonable, valuing Vault at A$4.697 to A$6.345, compared with the scheme's (default) consideration of A$3.751 to A$6.769.
The deal looks done. The ACCC waiver is in, and no shareholder holds a blocking stake. The large shareholders are mostly index funds, with few retail holders. 


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Genesis Scheme Heads to 11 November Vote with Completion Risk Low

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Gold stocks have seen significant upside movement amid rising long-term rates and inflation concerns in global markets.</li><li>There is growing interest in gold as a real asset amidst uncertainties in inflation expectations and potential rate cuts by central banks.</li><li>Australian gold companies like Ramelius, Northern Star, and Genesis have shown varying degrees of success in line with the changing perception of consensus gold forecasts.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold stocks have seen significant upside movement amid rising long-term rates and inflation concerns in global markets.There is growing interest in gold as a real asset amidst uncertainties in inflation expectations and potential rate cuts by central banks.Australian gold companies like Ramelius, Northern Star, and Genesis have shown varying degrees of success in line with the changing perception of consensus gold forecasts.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>Ramelius and nickel mine stocks are down significantly today</li><li>Ramelius announces a 17 year plan for Mount Magnet, including a pit cut back at Erinatus</li><li>The pit cut back will increase pre production costs but extend the life of the pit and avoid sterilizing ore, impacting short term performance</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Ramelius and nickel mine stocks are down significantly todayRamelius announces a 17 year plan for Mount Magnet, including a pit cut back at ErinatusThe pit cut back will increase pre production costs but extend the life of the pit and avoid sterilizing ore, impacting short term performanceThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Gold fever continues Down Under as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausgold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19133:1" rel="noopener">Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU)</a> enters into a Scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25379:1" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Corp (OGC CN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25379:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
<li>OceanaGold is offering 0.03365 new shares for each Ausgold share, or an indicative Offer price of A$1.36/share, a 28% premium. A capped cash option is afforded, also at A$1.36/share.</li>
<li>Post merger, Ausgold shareholders would hold ~7.9% (if 100% scrip consideration). A key shareholder and directors (collectively holding 9.1%) are supportive. December completion expected.  Clean deal. Interlopers possible.</li>
</ul>


Gold fever continues Down Under as Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU) enters into a Scheme with OceanaGold Corp (OGC CN).
OceanaGold is offering 0.03365 new shares for each Ausgold share, or an indicative Offer price of A$1.36/share, a 28% premium. A capped cash option is afforded, also at A$1.36/share.
Post merger, Ausgold shareholders would hold ~7.9% (if 100% scrip consideration). A key shareholder and directors (collectively holding 9.1%) are supportive. December completion expected.  Clean deal. Interlopers possible.


OceanaGold (OGC CN) Claims Ausgold (AUC AU). Clean Deal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/forrestania-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34301:1" rel="noopener">Forrestania Resources Ltd (FRS AU)</a> all-scrip Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zenith-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3234:1" rel="noopener">Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)</a> is a small M&amp;A deal. Look away now if this is not your bag. </li>
<li>There are some intriguing aspects surrounding this transaction - after the Offer was made - which are worthwhile discussing.</li>
<li>I believe there is a case for FRS misleading shareholders. Right now, the bid proceeds, and the Takeovers Panel is signalling caution as it considers Harvest Lane’s application.</li>
</ul>



Forrestania Resources Ltd (FRS AU) all-scrip Offer for Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU) is a small M&amp;A deal. Look away now if this is not your bag. 
There are some intriguing aspects surrounding this transaction - after the Offer was made - which are worthwhile discussing.
I believe there is a case for FRS misleading shareholders. Right now, the bid proceeds, and the Takeovers Panel is signalling caution as it considers Harvest Lane’s application.


Forrestania Resources (FRS AU)'s Untidy Offer For Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)

Australia

Ramelius Resources Limited is a gold exploration and production company with exploration activities focused in Western Australia.  The Company also explores for base metals.

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Ramelius Resources (RMS AU)

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Genesis Scheme Heads to 11 November Vote with Completion Risk Low

Vault holders get 0.7629 Genesis shares + A$0.5125 cash. BDO deems it fair and reasonable (Vault A$4.70–6.35 vs offer A$3.75–6.77). ACCC cleared,...

Arun George

Gold Takes Off, Rates Bite, Miners Rip

Gold stocks are on the rise due to increasing global long-term rates and inflation, leading to positive market interpretations of bad news and a...

Money of Mine

Why these 2 miners led the bloodbath

Ramelius is implementing a pit cutback at Mount Magnet's Erinatus to extend pit life, despite short-term financial impacts and lower-grade...

Money of Mine

OceanaGold (OGC CN) Claims Ausgold (AUC AU). Clean Deal

A straightforward gold merger. Trading tightish at a gross/annualised spread of 4.2%/11.7%, assuming late December completion. If you can take down...

David Blennerhassett

Forrestania Resources (FRS AU)'s Untidy Offer For Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)

If small illiquid arbs are your thing, buy Zenith around here. Currently, the Panel makes no comment on the merits of Harvest's application; and...

David Blennerhassett

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