Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

This report highlights actionable set ups from predominately European, developed markets, and is supportive of our view that Europe is bottoming, a viewpoint that remains far from consensus. Within Europe, we put a spotlight on Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40. Today’s recommendations are primarily from cyclical Sectors, however European Consumer Staples also exhibits bottoming RS.

This report highlights actionable set ups from predominately European, developed markets, and is supportive of our view that Europe is bottoming, a viewpoint that remains far from consensus. Within Europe, we put a spotlight on Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40. Today’s recommendations are primarily from cyclical Sectors, however European Consumer Staples also exhibits bottoming RS. 

Developed Markets Chart Book: Europe in Focus

As global equity markets pull back amid the U.S./China tariff saga we continue to believe this is an attractive time to add exposure. This view is supported technically with all major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and EM) pulling back to their respective 200-day moving averages. In this report we highlight important technical levels across global markets and highlight actionable opportunities from a bottoms-up perspective within Europe (attractive pullback opportunity on the STOXX Europe 600 index) and Japan, including stocks within Financials, Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Manufacturing.

As global equity markets pull back amid the U.S./China tariff saga we continue to believe this is an attractive time to add exposure. This view is supported technically with all major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and EM) pulling back to their respective 200-day moving averages. In this report we highlight important technical levels across global markets and highlight actionable opportunities from a bottoms-up perspective within Europe (attractive pullback opportunity on the STOXX Europe 600 index) and Japan, including stocks within Financials, Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Manufacturing.

Opportunities in European & Japanese Equities

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | beats consensus estimates thanks to strong quarter for Deco • ASM International | 26Q1 results clear beat against market consensus – FY26 revenue guidance markedly ahead of market consensus • Basic-Fit | set ROCE goal of low- to mid-teen in the medium term • Corbion | reiterates FY26 guidance on all forecasted metrics • Randstad | records positive organic growth after 12 quarters of decline • Dutch consumer confidence | second largest drop on record since 2020</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | beats consensus estimates thanks to strong quarter for Deco • ASM International | 26Q1 results clear beat against market consensus – FY26 revenue guidance markedly ahead of market consensus • Basic-Fit | set ROCE goal of low- to mid-teen in the medium term • Corbion | reiterates FY26 guidance on all forecasted metrics • Randstad | records positive organic growth after 12 quarters of decline • Dutch consumer confidence | second largest drop on record since 2020

ASM International NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • ABN Amro | 4Q25 falls short of market expectations • Ahold Delhaize | solid finish of the year in a challenging environment • BE Semiconductor Industries and peers | Amkor expects to threefold capital expenditure • Randstad | proposes its floor dividend of EUR 1.62 – trades at an attractive – virtually guaranteed – dividend yield of 5.3% • Alfen | to strategically reposition the company for profitable growth • PostNL | Jumbo allows the deployment of APMs in 100 additional stores</li></ul>

In this edition: • ABN Amro | 4Q25 falls short of market expectations • Ahold Delhaize | solid finish of the year in a challenging environment • BE Semiconductor Industries and peers | Amkor expects to threefold capital expenditure • Randstad | proposes its floor dividend of EUR 1.62 – trades at an attractive – virtually guaranteed – dividend yield of 5.3% • Alfen | to strategically reposition the company for profitable growth • PostNL | Jumbo allows the deployment of APMs in 100 additional stores

Alfen Beheer BV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | no appetite for BASF Coatings • ASM International | reiterates FY25 outlook - order intake only outlier • KPN | beats 2Q25 consensus; raises FY25 guidance • Randstad | results fairly much in line with consensus – organic growth improves but still negative • PostNL | to deploy APMs in all Hoogvliet stores</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | no appetite for BASF Coatings • ASM International | reiterates FY25 outlook - order intake only outlier • KPN | beats 2Q25 consensus; raises FY25 guidance • Randstad | results fairly much in line with consensus – organic growth improves but still negative • PostNL | to deploy APMs in all Hoogvliet stores

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 23 July (AkzoNobel | ASM Int'l | KPN | Randstad Holding | PostNL)

Netherlands

Randstad Holding nv provides temporary employees.  The Company places workers for temporary assignments in educational, secretarial and banking, information technology, engineering, and finance positions.  The Company operates primarily in the Benelux countries, Germany, Canada, Denmark, France, Italy, Portugal, Spain, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, and the United States.

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Randstad Holding Nv (RAND NA)

Developed Markets Chart Book: Europe in Focus

This report highlights actionable set ups from predominately European, developed markets, and is supportive of our view that Europe is bottoming, a...

Vermilion Research

Opportunities in European & Japanese Equities

As global equity markets pull back amid the U.S./China tariff saga we continue to believe this is an attractive time to add exposure. This view is...

Vermilion Research

ASM International NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | beats consensus estimates thanks to strong quarter for Deco • ASM International | 26Q1 results clear beat against...

The IDEA!

Alfen Beheer BV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ABN Amro | 4Q25 falls short of market expectations • Ahold Delhaize | solid finish of the year in a challenging...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 23 July (AkzoNobel | ASM Int'l | KPN | Randstad Holding | PostNL)

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | no appetite for BASF Coatings • ASM International | reiterates FY25 outlook - order intake only outlier • KPN |...

The IDEA!

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