Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The amount of deposits in the US banking system are substantial in absolute terms and compared with recent periods and older periods</li>
<li>Of the USD17.4tr in deposits in the US banking system, 86% is liquid, available to access</li>
<li>Alongside concerns about the S&amp;P 500 Index or the broad US stock market, we believe it is worthwhile to keep in mind the amount of depositor liquidity</li>
</ul>


The amount of deposits in the US banking system are substantial in absolute terms and compared with recent periods and older periods
Of the USD17.4tr in deposits in the US banking system, 86% is liquid, available to access
Alongside concerns about the S&amp;P 500 Index or the broad US stock market, we believe it is worthwhile to keep in mind the amount of depositor liquidity


US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>India Inc. leaders have been outperformers as compared to global peers on the back of strong ROE and EPS growth over the years.</li>
<li>India Inc has a higher % of companies with better RoE than the rest of the world.</li>
<li>Key takeaways for investors: Avoid macro noise, focus on fundamentals with peer comparison</li>
</ul>


India Inc. leaders have been outperformers as compared to global peers on the back of strong ROE and EPS growth over the years.
India Inc has a higher % of companies with better RoE than the rest of the world.
Key takeaways for investors: Avoid macro noise, focus on fundamentals with peer comparison


Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

Podcast by Jim Grant on high finance, Grant's Current Yield Podcast

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

Podcast by Jim Grant on high finance

Grant's Current Yield Podcast

You've read their prose. Now hear their voices. Listen to Jim Grant and Evan Lorenz talk high finance, Grant's-style, with plenty of wit and historical context to enliven their discussion of today's foremost investment topics. Welcome to Grant's Radio!

<ul><li>Steve Bogdan shares insights on the defense industry and the need for tangible capital investment in the US</li><li>Discussion on the Chinese naval buildup and its impact on Washington's strategic thinking</li><li>Exploration of investment opportunities in defense stocks and the macro implications of rising rates due to increased spending and automation trends</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Steve Bogdan shares insights on the defense industry and the need for tangible capital investment in the USDiscussion on the Chinese naval buildup and its impact on Washington's strategic thinkingExploration of investment opportunities in defense stocks and the macro implications of rising rates due to increased spending and automation trendsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI boom reflected in record fund ownership in ASML Holding NV (ASML NA), NVIDIA Corp and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).</li>
<li>The 'Magnificent 7' group of stocks have hit a record underweight of -6.83% below the MSCI ACWI index.  They collectively account for 11.2% of the average Global fund.</li>
<li>Recovery Stocks: The old guard of At&amp;T Inc (T US), International Business Machines (IBM US) and General Electric (GE US) appear to be gathering some support from active Global funds.</li>
</ul>


AI boom reflected in record fund ownership in ASML Holding NV (ASML NA), NVIDIA Corp and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT).
The 'Magnificent 7' group of stocks have hit a record underweight of -6.83% below the MSCI ACWI index.  They collectively account for 11.2% of the average Global fund.
Recovery Stocks: The old guard of At&amp;T Inc (T US), International Business Machines (IBM US) and General Electric (GE US) appear to be gathering some support from active Global funds.


Global Stock Positioning:  MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sherwin-williams-co-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15539:1" rel="noopener">Sherwin Williams (SHW US)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel (INTC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19107:1" rel="noopener">Dow (DOW US)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-jones-industrial-average" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22887:1" rel="noopener">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a> at the close on 7 November.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading is highest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sherwin-williams-co-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15539:1" rel="noopener">Sherwin Williams Co (SHW US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19107:1" rel="noopener">Dow (DOW US)</a> in terms of days of ADV and free float. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn.</li>
<li>Given the ad hoc nature of the rebalances and the short timeline between announcement and implementation, the stocks could move over the rest of the week.</li>
</ul>



NVIDIA (NVDA US) and Sherwin Williams (SHW US) will replace Intel (INTC US) and Dow (DOW US) in the Dow Jones Industrial Average at the close on 7 November.
The impact of passive trading is highest in Sherwin Williams Co (SHW US) and Dow (DOW US) in terms of days of ADV and free float. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn.
Given the ad hoc nature of the rebalances and the short timeline between announcement and implementation, the stocks could move over the rest of the week.


Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

United States

Raytheon Technologies Corporation operates as an aircraft manufacturing company. The Company focuses on technology offerings and engineering teams to deliver innovative solutions such as aero structures, avionics, interiors, mechanical systems, mission systems, aircraft engines, power and control systems, radars, software, and other products.

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Raytheon Technologies (RTX US)

US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

Total deposits in the US bank system have risen dramatically since our last note, highlighting the flow potential to the stock market. This is more...

Daniel Tabbush

Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...

Nimish Maheshwari

BACK TO THE FUTURE

Steve Bogdan shares insights on the defense industry and the need for tangible capital investment in the US Discussion on the Chinese naval...

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

Global Stock Positioning: MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

The latest in stock-level investor positioning among over 300 active Global funds. We explore the AI boom, key over/underweights, Tobacco's...

Steven Holden

Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

NVIDIA and Sherwin-Williams will replace Dow and Intel in the index. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn. There is a lot to buy in Sherwin-Williams both...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

Total deposits in the US bank system have risen dramatically since our last note, highlighting the flow potential to the stock market. This is more...

Daniel Tabbush

Chartered Insights: Why Indian Businesses Outperform: A Data-Driven Perspective

​Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...

Nimish Maheshwari

BACK TO THE FUTURE

Steve Bogdan shares insights on the defense industry and the need for tangible capital investment in the US Discussion on the Chinese naval...

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

Global Stock Positioning: MSFT Dominates, Mag7 Record U/W, Apple Inflows, Tobacco Uninvestable?

The latest in stock-level investor positioning among over 300 active Global funds. We explore the AI boom, key over/underweights, Tobacco's...

Steven Holden

Dow Jones Industrials (INDU) Index Rebalance: NVIDIA, Sherwin-Williams Replace Intel, Dow

NVIDIA and Sherwin-Williams will replace Dow and Intel in the index. Round-trip trade is US$16.5bn. There is a lot to buy in Sherwin-Williams both...

Brian Freitas

Indian companies have outperformed global peers with strong ROE and EPS growth, emphasizing the importance of focusing on fundamentals and peer...