External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected credit costs (20bps annualised)</li><li>Loan growth ex of wholesale was broad-based across segments, with continued traction in unsecured retail (10% of loans) in line with KMB’s efforts to improve its share of high-yield products</li><li>Deposit mobilisation picked up, primarily from term deposits, while CASA saw a 50bps QoQ decline to 52.8%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kotak Mahindra Bank: Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected credit costs (20bps annualised)Loan growth ex of wholesale was broad-based across segments, with continued traction in unsecured retail (10% of loans) in line with KMB’s efforts to improve its share of high-yield productsDeposit mobilisation picked up, primarily from term deposits, while CASA saw a 50bps QoQ decline to 52.8%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Indian Hotels, Supreme Industries

<ul><li>Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

<ul><li>India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locations</li><li>Driven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segment</li><li>Affordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensity</li><li>Going forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving affordability, rising urbanisation and penetration beyond Tier-I locationsDriven by the combination of a sustained funding cost advantage, structural shift in sourcing models, renewed focus on retail HL, and transient rate cycle tailwinds, banks (~67% of HL market) are likely to continue dominating the prime HL segmentAffordable-focused HFCs (~INR1trn, 4% of HL market) have emerged as high-growth, high-RoA businesses, however, given the superior economics, this segment is witnessing rising competitive intensityGoing forward, the market micro-structure is likely to reflect newer collaborative models which are still evolving.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

<ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses</li><li>RIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimate</li><li>Earnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businessesRIL’s consolidated EBITDA stood at INR 352bn (+19% YoY; +13% QoQ, HSIE: INR 344bn), above our estimate, while APAT stood at INR 158bn (-3.2% YoY, +16% QoQ), marginally below our estimateEarnings were mainly driven by improvement in the O2C and E&amp;P segments. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank (ICICIBC) reported yet another quarter of all-round impressive balance sheet performance with loan growth (+20% YoY), NIMs (4.7%) and asset quality (GNPA at 3.1%), reflecting in strong profitability vectors (standalone RoE of ~18%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

<ul><li>A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediaries</li><li>However, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resets</li><li>With the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-off</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediariesHowever, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resetsWith the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-offContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

India

RBL Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Company offers banking products and services such as savings accounts, fixed deposits, personal and business loans, debit and credit cards, insurance, investment management, and mobile banking. RBL Bank serves customers throughout India.

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RBL Bank Ltd (RBK IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Indian Hotels, Supreme Industries

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) delivered a strong beat, led by healthy loan growth (+18% YoY), reflation in NIMs (+28bps QoQ), and lower-than-expected...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations

HDFC Securities

Housing Finance: New market structures open up investment universe

India’s home loan (HL) market (INR26trn, 17% of overall credit) is poised to double by FY28E on the back of secular trends around improving...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank,

Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,735/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) EBITDA...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial...

HDFC Securities

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