Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 06/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 1.4m barrels, beating expectations of a 1m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected again.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 190 Bcf for the week ending 06/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 175 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Wells Fargo raised its 12-month PT for Chevron but lowered targets for Shell and Occidental. Exxon targets a CAGR of 10% in earnings and 8% in cash flow through 2030.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 06/Dec, US crude inventories fell by 1.4m barrels, beating expectations of a 1m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected again.
US natural gas inventories fell by 190 Bcf for the week ending 06/Dec, beating analyst expectations of a 175 Bcf drawdown. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Wells Fargo raised its 12-month PT for Chevron but lowered targets for Shell and Occidental. Exxon targets a CAGR of 10% in earnings and 8% in cash flow through 2030.


[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 22/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 1.8m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.3m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 2 Bcf for the week ending 22/Nov, missing analyst expectations of a 4 Bcf decline. Inventories are 7.2% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Analysts raised their 12-month price targets on Chevron while trimming their targets for Exxon and Occidental. Both JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley reiterated their Overweight ratings on Reliance Industries.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 22/Nov, US crude inventories fell by 1.8m barrels, beating expectations of a 1.3m barrel decrease. However, gasoline and distillate stocks rose more than expected.
US natural gas inventories fell by 2 Bcf for the week ending 22/Nov, missing analyst expectations of a 4 Bcf decline. Inventories are 7.2% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Analysts raised their 12-month price targets on Chevron while trimming their targets for Exxon and Occidental. Both JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley reiterated their Overweight ratings on Reliance Industries.


[ETP 2024/48] WTI Falls on Easing Middle East Tensions, Henry Hub Moderates on Ample Supply

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.</li>
<li>Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF</li>
<li>Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.</li>
</ul>


As interest in the Emerging Markets Ex-China space grows, we have sourced data on 30 actively managed strategies that provide filings for us to analyse.
Combined AUM has gradually increased among all strategies to $1.67bn.  Remains a long behind the $17.6bn AUM of the iShares MSCI EM Ex-China ETF
Developed markets and Argentina O/W.  India, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan U/W.  TSMC universally owned, SK Hynix and Samsung prominent.  POSCO unloved.


EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 11/Oct, US crude inventories decreased by 2.2m barrels, diverging from expectations of a 1.8m barrel build. Additionally, gasoline and distillate stockpiles also declined more than anticipated.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 76 Bcf for the week ending 11/Oct, lower than analyst expectations of an 80 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, analysts kept their Buy ratings on Reliance despite its net profit falling by 4.8% YoY.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 11/Oct, US crude inventories decreased by 2.2m barrels, diverging from expectations of a 1.8m barrel build. Additionally, gasoline and distillate stockpiles also declined more than anticipated.
US natural gas inventories rose 76 Bcf for the week ending 11/Oct, lower than analyst expectations of an 80 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, analysts kept their Buy ratings on Reliance despite its net profit falling by 4.8% YoY.


[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hindalco to Invest INR 2,450 Crore in Gujarat Copper and E-Waste Projects</li>
<li>JK Cement Plans INR 30 Billion Capacity Expansion by FY26</li>
<li>Hindustan Zinc Unveils $2.5 Billion Expansion Plan to Double Output</li>
</ul>


Hindalco to Invest INR 2,450 Crore in Gujarat Copper and E-Waste Projects
JK Cement Plans INR 30 Billion Capacity Expansion by FY26
Hindustan Zinc Unveils $2.5 Billion Expansion Plan to Double Output


# 60 India Insight: Hindalco INR 2,450 Cr Investment, JK Cement & Hindustan Zinc Capacity Expansion

India

Reliance Industries is an Indian multinational conglomerate with diverse businesses including energy, petrochemicals, oil and gas exploration, telecommunications (Jio), and retail (Reliance Retail). The company is a major producer of petroleum products and a significant player in digital services and consumer goods. Reliance Industries is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1958.

Price Gauge
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Reliance Industries (RELIANCE IN)

[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

US crude inventories fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories beat expectations. Wells Fargo...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/48] WTI Falls on Easing Middle East Tensions, Henry Hub Moderates on Ample Supply

US crude stocks fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories missed expectations. Analysts raised PTs...

Mint Finance

EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

India becomes key underweight among active Emerging Market Ex-China funds. Argentina, Mexico and Developed Markets strategic overweights.

Steven Holden

[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Mint Finance

# 60 India Insight: Hindalco INR 2,450 Cr Investment, JK Cement & Hindustan Zinc Capacity Expansion

Major Indian companies Hindalco, JK Cement, and Hindustan Zinc announce significant investments and expansion plans to boost production and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2024/50] WTI Rebounds on Outlook of Better Demand in 2025; Henry Hub Rises but Remains Volatile

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories beat expectations. Wells Fargo...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/48] WTI Falls on Easing Middle East Tensions, Henry Hub Moderates on Ample Supply

​US crude stocks fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories missed expectations. Analysts raised PTs...

Mint Finance

EM Ex-China: First Look at Active Positioning

India becomes key underweight among active Emerging Market Ex-China funds. Argentina, Mexico and Developed Markets strategic overweights.

Steven Holden

[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

​US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Mint Finance

# 60 India Insight: Hindalco INR 2,450 Cr Investment, JK Cement & Hindustan Zinc Capacity Expansion

​Major Indian companies Hindalco, JK Cement, and Hindustan Zinc announce significant investments and expansion plans to boost production and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

US crude inventories fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories beat expectations. Wells Fargo...

US crude stocks fell more than expected, but gasoline and distillate stocks rose. Natural gas inventories missed expectations. Analysts raised PTs...

US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Major Indian companies Hindalco, JK Cement, and Hindustan Zinc announce significant investments and expansion plans to boost production and...