Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>This post provides an update of Evidente&rsquo;s currency model.&nbsp; Under-valuation of the A$/US$ has now reached an extreme, while the Big Mac index also points to deep A$/US$ under-valuation.&nbsp; ASX listed US$ earners have performed poorly despite the renewed deprecation of the A$ over the past six months.&nbsp;</li><li>I also assess the investment case against Brambles, which generates around half of its revenue in North America.&nbsp; The company will be undergoing a capex hump at a time when its marginal return on capital has been deteriorating to the point of recently turning negative.&nbsp;</li><li>I examine its remuneration scheme and conclude that the fact that the board, ESG advisory firms and institutional investors endorse complex and opaque Long Term Incentive plans of this kind, suggests that the bloated corporate governance industry has a long way to go to achieving adequate alignment of interests between senior executives and shareholders.</li></ul>

This post provides an update of Evidente&rsquo;s currency model.&nbsp; Under-valuation of the A$/US$ has now reached an extreme, while the Big Mac index also points to deep A$/US$ under-valuation.&nbsp; ASX listed US$ earners have performed poorly despite the renewed deprecation of the A$ over the past six months.&nbsp;I also assess the investment case against Brambles, which generates around half of its revenue in North America.&nbsp; The company will be undergoing a capex hump at a time when its marginal return on capital has been deteriorating to the point of recently turning negative.&nbsp;I examine its remuneration scheme and conclude that the fact that the board, ESG advisory firms and institutional investors endorse complex and opaque Long Term Incentive plans of this kind, suggests that the bloated corporate governance industry has a long way to go to achieving adequate alignment of interests between senior executives and shareholders.

A$ buy signal strengthens | Investment case against Brambles

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If you like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>'s Appraisal Rights case, buy. If a LO investor who held until now and bullish the market, sell now and replace your beta.</li>
<li>Current NAV levels for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> are somewhat depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub (netting off the stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>).</li>
<li>China has established itself as the global EVs benchmark. But  expect increased competition, overcapacity, and in turn, profit squeeze. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a>is trading full ahead of VOYAH's spin-off.</li>
</ul>


If you like Toyota Industries (6201 JP)'s Appraisal Rights case, buy. If a LO investor who held until now and bullish the market, sell now and replace your beta.
Current NAV levels for Prosus NV (PRX NA) are somewhat depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub (netting off the stake in Tencent (700 HK)).
China has established itself as the global EVs benchmark. But  expect increased competition, overcapacity, and in turn, profit squeeze. Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)is trading full ahead of VOYAH's spin-off.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Broadline Retail".</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inghams-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23640:1" rel="noopener">Inghams (ING AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-worldwide-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22690:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Broadline Retail".
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Inghams (ING AU), Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU), and IDP Education (IEL AU).


Aussie Shorts (23 Feb 2026): Westpac, Wesfarmers, Inghams, Reliance Worldwide, IDP Education

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD35.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 20th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD35.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 20th): Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Anker Innovations Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anker-innovations-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36238:1" rel="noopener">Anker Innovations Technology (300866 CH)</a> (AIT), a global consumer electronics company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>AIT sells products across three major product lines — smart charging and power storage, smart home and innovation, and smart audio and video.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Anker Innovations Technology (300866 CH) (AIT), a global consumer electronics company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
AIT sells products across three major product lines — smart charging and power storage, smart home and innovation, and smart audio and video.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: Anker Innovations Technology A/H Listing - Building a Global Brand

United States

Reliance Worldwide Corporation Limited produces plumbing products. The Company offers plumbing fittings, water control valves, meters, boosters, couplings, and pipes. Reliance Worldwide markets its products worldwide.

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Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU)

A$ buy signal strengthens | Investment case against Brambles

This post provides an update of Evidente’s currency model. Under-valuation of the A$/US$ has now reached an extreme, while the Big Mac index also...

Sam Ferraro

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Inds., Prosus/Tencent, Dongfeng Motor, WH Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts (23 Feb 2026): Westpac, Wesfarmers, Inghams, Reliance Worldwide, IDP Education

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Inghams (ING AU), Reliance Worldwide...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 20th): Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, Goodman, CSL, Pro Medicus.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Anker Innovations Technology A/H Listing - Building a Global Brand

Anker Innovations Technology (300866 CH) (AIT), a global consumer electronics company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

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