Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

William Demant Holding A/S / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>No reason to be anything but bullish if ACWI-US is above its 2-month base at $158-$159, ACWX-US is above $76-$76.50, and EFA-US is above its 6-month base at $105-$105.50.</li>
<li>These levels are being tested now; we expect these levels to hold, and we would get more cautious if they break.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.
No reason to be anything but bullish if ACWI-US is above its 2-month base at $158-$159, ACWX-US is above $76-$76.50, and EFA-US is above its 6-month base at $105-$105.50.
These levels are being tested now; we expect these levels to hold, and we would get more cautious if they break.


MSCI ACWI Testing Base Support; Focus on Non-A.I. Areas: Energy, Shipping, Healthcare,Software,Telco

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), and we will stay that way as long as support at 7580-7629 holds.</li>
<li>At the same time, if SPX breaks below 7580 we would look for a 7-10% peak-to-trough decline, while being mindful of support at 7250-7300.</li>
<li>A.I. areas were hit hard yesterday following the "pacing the frontier" developments over the weekend, and we believe caution is warranted on semiconductors, memory, neoclouds, and photonics names.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), and we will stay that way as long as support at 7580-7629 holds.
At the same time, if SPX breaks below 7580 we would look for a 7-10% peak-to-trough decline, while being mindful of support at 7250-7300.
A.I. areas were hit hard yesterday following the "pacing the frontier" developments over the weekend, and we believe caution is warranted on semiconductors, memory, neoclouds, and photonics names.


Wall of Worry Grows Taller; 7580 on SPX Remains Vital. Charts Highlighted: SPX, MAGS, SOXX, DRAM

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass. There is no reason to be anything but bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $158-$159,...</li>
<li>...MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. (ACWX-US) is above $76.50, MSCI EAFE (EFA-US) is above its 6-month base at $105-$105.50, and MSCI EM (EEM-US) is above $63-$63.50.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass).
We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass. There is no reason to be anything but bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $158-$159,...
...MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. (ACWX-US) is above $76.50, MSCI EAFE (EFA-US) is above its 6-month base at $105-$105.50, and MSCI EM (EEM-US) is above $63-$63.50.


Opportunity in A.I. Names, Energy, and Materials; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI Tests $158-$159

<ul>
<li>ACWI-US remains above its 2-month base and EAFE(EFA-US) remains above its 5.5+month base, however, 2-week flag patterns have resolved to the downside, giving us reason for pause in the near-term.</li>
<li>We view Tuesday's price action as "a day to take notice" and suggests that the bounce in MSCI EM (EEM-US) and A.I. names since late-July has potentially run its course</li>
<li>We are much more neutral on EEM-US and A.I. names and see more choppiness ahead. We still see plenty of opportunity in non-A.I. names.</li>
</ul>


ACWI-US remains above its 2-month base and EAFE(EFA-US) remains above its 5.5+month base, however, 2-week flag patterns have resolved to the downside, giving us reason for pause in the near-term.
We view Tuesday's price action as "a day to take notice" and suggests that the bounce in MSCI EM (EEM-US) and A.I. names since late-July has potentially run its course
We are much more neutral on EEM-US and A.I. names and see more choppiness ahead. We still see plenty of opportunity in non-A.I. names.


Still Plenty of Opportunity in Non-A.I. Names; A.I. Bounce Over?; Buys: Energy, Healthcare, Shipping

CEO / Founder, Crea8

Kim-Hwa Lim

CEO / Founder

Make an Impact

Crea8

Crea8 blends AI-driven precision, big data scalability, and rigorous quantitative frameworks with seasoned human insight. By extracting actionable intelligence from vast global datasets, we eliminate emotional bias and deliver optimal risk-adjusted returns. Our hybrid approach uncovers hidden market efficiencies and ensures your capital is dynamically positioned across markets.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Dividends are a key component of overall returns.</li><li>The strategy seeks to invest in high dividend and Shariah compliant stocks globally.</li><li>By adopting a portfolio of stocks instead of individual stocks, the strategy is diversified across countries and industries; and optimised with respect to their expected risks and returns.</li></ul>

Dividends are a key component of overall returns.The strategy seeks to invest in high dividend and Shariah compliant stocks globally.By adopting a portfolio of stocks instead of individual stocks, the strategy is diversified across countries and industries; and optimised with respect to their expected risks and returns.

Global Income (Shariah) Portfolio (18-Aug-2026)

Spain

Repsol S.A., through subsidiaries, explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas, refines petroleum, and transports petroleum products and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).  The Company retails gasoline and other products through its chain of gasoline filling stations.  Repsol's petroleum reserves are in Spain, Latin America, Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East and United States.

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Repsol SA (REP SM)

MSCI ACWI Testing Base Support; Focus on Non-A.I. Areas: Energy, Shipping, Healthcare,Software,Telco

MSCI $ACWI Testing Base Support ($158-$159 and $156.50); Focusing on Non-A.I. Areas. Actionable Themes: Energy, Marine Shipping, Services, Health...

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Wall of Worry Grows Taller; 7580 on SPX Remains Vital. Charts Highlighted: SPX, MAGS, SOXX, DRAM

Wall of Worry Grows Taller; 7580 on SPX Remains Vital. Charts Highlighted: SPX, MAGS, SOXX, DRAM, PBR, REPYY, EC, YPF, UGP, GPRK, GTE, COP, EOG,...

Vermilion Research

Opportunity in A.I. Names, Energy, and Materials; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI Tests $158-$159

Premarket Report: Opportunity in A.I. Names, Energy, and Materials; Bullish Outlook Intact as $ACWI Tests $158-$159. $SOXX $CHAT $DRAM

Vermilion Research

Still Plenty of Opportunity in Non-A.I. Names; A.I. Bounce Over?; Buys: Energy, Healthcare, Shipping

Still Plenty of Opportunity in Non-A.I. Names; A.I. Bounce Over?; Buys in Energy $XLE $FTI $CVE $CNQ, Health Care, and Marine Shipping. Tuesday's...

Vermilion Research

Global Income (Shariah) Portfolio (18-Aug-2026)

Dividends are a key component of overall returns. The strategy seeks to invest in high dividend and Shariah compliant stocks globally. By adopting...

Crea8

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