'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>In our final update for this 'season', two more large-cap 'stragglers' reported yesterday, while two more had irregular downward revisions. Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/showa-denko-k-k" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1496:1" rel="noopener">Showa Denko (4004 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-airport-terminal-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18034:1" rel="noopener">Japan Airport Terminal (9706 JP)</a>.     </p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/189/365/original/2021-02-18_06-28-36.png?1613597329" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="189365"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/189/366/original/2021-02-18_06-29-35.png?1613597385" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="189366"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">   Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div>

In our final update for this 'season', two more large-cap 'stragglers' reported yesterday, while two more had irregular downward revisions. Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing is Showa Denko (4004 JP) and Japan Airport Terminal (9706 JP).        Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Update 02/​​​17 - Showa Denko & Japan Airport Terminal

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE) continue to trend higher and are devoid of bearish inflections. Additionally, the US dollar (DXY) is likely headed lower, something we view as a positive risk-on signal for global equities. As a result, we remain bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks.</p>

Major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE) continue to trend higher and are devoid of bearish inflections. Additionally, the US dollar (DXY) is likely headed lower, something we view as a positive risk-on signal for global equities. As a result, we remain bullish and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks.

Japan Breaking Out; EM Remains Leadership

President

Thomas Coughlin

Coughlin Associates

<p>HDD capacity shipments exceeded 1 ZB for the first time in 2020.  Continued growth of nearline colder storage will drive HDD shipping capacity to about 3 times that amount by 2026.  Q4 2020 was up due to renewed nearline HDD strength and increased demand for other applications.</p>

HDD capacity shipments exceeded 1 ZB for the first time in 2020.  Continued growth of nearline colder storage will drive HDD shipping capacity to about 3 times that amount by 2026.  Q4 2020 was up due to renewed nearline HDD strength and increased demand for other applications.

HDD Capacity Shipments Exceeded 1ZB in 2020, 3ZB by 2026

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• 'WORST' &amp; BEST •</strong></p><p style="text-align: left;">All the large-caps that announced results or forecasts yesterday had positive scores, and none saw a quarter-on-quarter decline in Results &amp; Revisions Score. Therefore, the 'worst' side of our daily pair is a company where earnings momentum has already peaked out, and the upward revision to full-year earnings is below the trailing result - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koei-tecmo-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20277:1" rel="noopener">Koei Tecmo (3635 JP)</a>. Conversely, the company with the largest undiscounted 'surprise' is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macnica-fuji-electronics-hol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26074:1" rel="noopener">Macnica Fuji Electronics (3132 JP)</a>. </p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/184/502/original/2021-01-26_06-07-10.png?1611608842" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="184502"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/184/504/original/2021-01-26_06-12-39.png?1611609171" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="184504"></figure></section><div class="content-caption"> Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div>

• 'WORST' &amp; BEST •All the large-caps that announced results or forecasts yesterday had positive scores, and none saw a quarter-on-quarter decline in Results &amp; Revisions Score. Therefore, the 'worst' side of our daily pair is a company where earnings momentum has already peaked out, and the upward revision to full-year earnings is below the trailing result - Koei Tecmo (3635 JP). Conversely, the company with the largest undiscounted 'surprise' is Macnica Fuji Electronics (3132 JP).  Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​01/​​​​​​​​​25 - Koei-Tecmo & Nidec

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining &amp; Smelting, Resonac, Orix, Rakuten, Kioxia.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Japan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining &amp; Smelting, Resonac, Orix, Rakuten, Kioxia.


MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jun): Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining & Smelting, Orix

Japan

Resonac Holdings Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products. The Company produces synthetic resins, petrochemical products, inorganics, and other related products. Resonac Holdings also produces ceramics, metals, carbon, electronic materials, and other products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Resonac Holdings (4004 JP)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Update 02/17 - Showa Denko & Japan Airport Terminal

In our final update for this 'season', two more large-cap 'stragglers' reported yesterday, while two more had irregular downward revisions.

Campbell Gunn

Japan Breaking Out; EM Remains Leadership

Major global indexes continue to trend higher and are devoid of bearish inflections. As a result, we remain bullish and we continue to recommend...

Vermilion Research

HDD Capacity Shipments Exceeded 1ZB in 2020, 3ZB by 2026

HDD capacity shipments exceeded 1 ZB for the first time in 2020. Continued growth of nearline colder storage will drive HDD shipping capacity to...

Thomas Coughlin

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 01/25 - Koei-Tecmo & Nidec

All the large-caps that announced results or forecasts yesterday had positive scores, and none saw a quarter-on-quarter decline in Results &...

Campbell Gunn

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jun): Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining & Smelting, Orix

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining & Smelting, Resonac,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Update 02/​​​17 - Showa Denko & Japan Airport Terminal

In our final update for this 'season', two more large-cap 'stragglers' reported yesterday, while two more had irregular downward revisions.

Campbell Gunn

Japan Breaking Out; EM Remains Leadership

Major global indexes continue to trend higher and are devoid of bearish inflections. As a result, we remain bullish and we continue to recommend...

Vermilion Research

HDD Capacity Shipments Exceeded 1ZB in 2020, 3ZB by 2026

HDD capacity shipments exceeded 1 ZB for the first time in 2020. Continued growth of nearline colder storage will drive HDD shipping capacity to...

Thomas Coughlin

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​01/​​​​​​​​​25 - Koei-Tecmo & Nidec

All the large-caps that announced results or forecasts yesterday had positive scores, and none saw a quarter-on-quarter decline in Results &...

Campbell Gunn

MS-Japan Index Earning Revision (Jun): Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining & Smelting, Orix

We analyzed MS-Japan's consensus for Jun 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Nissan Motor, Sony Financial, Mitsui Mining & Smelting, Resonac,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions Update 02/17 - Showa Denko & Japan Airport Terminal

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 01/25 - Koei-Tecmo & Nidec