New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Restaurant Brands (RBD) has reported a robust 4Q22 update showing continued revenue momentum across most geographies in the last quarter</li><li>FY22 full year store sales reached NZ$1.239bn, a +16% increase on the prior year</li><li>We see upside risk to consensus revenue estimates. However, management has continued to highlight cost pressures</li></ul>

Restaurant Brands (RBD) has reported a robust 4Q22 update showing continued revenue momentum across most geographies in the last quarterFY22 full year store sales reached NZ$1.239bn, a +16% increase on the prior yearWe see upside risk to consensus revenue estimates. However, management has continued to highlight cost pressures

Restaurant Brands (RBD): 4Q22 Update – Initial Impressions

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>DPC Dash aims to raise around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 562 stores across 13 cities, as of Nov 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


DPC Dash aims to raise around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 562 stores across 13 cities, as of Nov 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


DPC Dash Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lags the Leader, Remains Loss Making

<ul>
<li>DPC Dash aims to raise around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 562 stores across 13 cities, as of Nov 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


DPC Dash aims to raise around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
The company is the exclusive master franchisee for Domino’s Pizza in China, HK and Macau. DPC operated 562 stores across 13 cities, as of Nov 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


DPC Dash Pre-IPO - The Positives - On a Rapid Expansion Spree

<ul><li>Restaurant Brands' (RBD) 3Q22 trading update continued to show robust sales performance helped by positive currency benefits.</li><li>Same store sales (SSS) growth remains positive in all regions except California, which continues to cycle US Government stimulus payments in the prior period.</li><li>We raise our FY22 revenue forecasts to reflect stronger than expected year-to-date sales growth, but higher input costs are the key risk — particularly in the North American markets where RBD does not control the supply chain.</li></ul>

Restaurant Brands' (RBD) 3Q22 trading update continued to show robust sales performance helped by positive currency benefits.Same store sales (SSS) growth remains positive in all regions except California, which continues to cycle US Government stimulus payments in the prior period.We raise our FY22 revenue forecasts to reflect stronger than expected year-to-date sales growth, but higher input costs are the key risk — particularly in the North American markets where RBD does not control the supply chain.

Restaurant Brands NZ: 3Q22 — Sales Takeaway

<ul><li>Restaurant Brands (RBD) has reported a robust 3Q22 update, which showed signs of strong revenue momentum heading into 2H22 across most geographies (quarter on quarter results were muddied by comparison against a low COVID-impacted 3H21)</li><li>Based on our FY22 revenue forecast of NZ$1.23b (which is at the midpoint of consensus), we estimate an undemanding implied 4Q22 revenue of ~NZ$323m</li><li>This looks reasonable in light of (1) 3Q22 revenue of NZ$322m, and (2) favourable NZD currency movements, particularly for the US businesses</li></ul>

Restaurant Brands (RBD) has reported a robust 3Q22 update, which showed signs of strong revenue momentum heading into 2H22 across most geographies (quarter on quarter results were muddied by comparison against a low COVID-impacted 3H21)Based on our FY22 revenue forecast of NZ$1.23b (which is at the midpoint of consensus), we estimate an undemanding implied 4Q22 revenue of ~NZ$323mThis looks reasonable in light of (1) 3Q22 revenue of NZ$322m, and (2) favourable NZD currency movements, particularly for the US businesses

Restaurant Brands (RBD): 3Q22 Update – Initial Impressions

New Zealand

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited operates fast food restaurant chains in New Zealand & Australia. The Company operates close to 300 stores which operate under the KFC, Pizza Hut and Starbucks restaurant names.

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Restaurant Brands NZ (RBD NZ)

Restaurant Brands (RBD): 4Q22 Update – Initial Impressions

Restaurant Brands (RBD) has reported a robust 4Q22 update showing continued revenue momentum across most geographies in the last quarter; FY22 full...

Forsyth Barr

DPC Dash Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lags the Leader, Remains Loss Making

DPC Dash, Domino's Pizza's franchisee in China, aims to raise around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive...

Sumeet Singh

DPC Dash Pre-IPO - The Positives - On a Rapid Expansion Spree

DPC Dash, master franchisee for Domino's Pizza in China, aims to raise around US$100m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Restaurant Brands NZ: 3Q22 — Sales Takeaway

Restaurant Brands' (RBD) 3Q22 trading update continued to show robust sales performance helped by positive currency benefits; We raise our FY22...

Forsyth Barr

Restaurant Brands (RBD): 3Q22 Update – Initial Impressions

Restaurant Brands (RBD) has reported a robust 3Q22 update, which showed signs of strong revenue momentum heading into 2H22 across most geographies...

Forsyth Barr

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