Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

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<ul><li>Biopharma was heavily pressured by the appointment of Dr. Vinay Prasad as the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER) head and concerns over Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) drug pricing.</li><li>The group is again wary of the FDA with Prasad overseeing the regulation of biologics, including vaccines, cell and gene therapies, and blood supply.</li><li>While not anti-vaccine, Prasad’s ideology is closer to RFK Jr. than former CBER head Peter Marks.</li></ul>

Biopharma was heavily pressured by the appointment of Dr. Vinay Prasad as the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER) head and concerns over Most-Favored-Nation (MFN) drug pricing.The group is again wary of the FDA with Prasad overseeing the regulation of biologics, including vaccines, cell and gene therapies, and blood supply.While not anti-vaccine, Prasad’s ideology is closer to RFK Jr. than former CBER head Peter Marks.

Biopharma Week in Review - New CBER Head and MFN Headlines Renew Prior Fears

<ul><li>Biotech fared better than pharma, as macro trends mostly favored growth stocks and LLY weakness pressured the large cap group.</li><li>M&amp;A activity also helped biotech, with NVS acquiring RLGS at a 108% premium and MKKGY buying SWTX after months of speculation.</li><li>Sentiment remained cautious among industry leaders, with another potential sign of regulatory disruption as the FDA missed Stealth’s (private) PDUFA date.</li></ul>

Biotech fared better than pharma, as macro trends mostly favored growth stocks and LLY weakness pressured the large cap group.M&amp;A activity also helped biotech, with NVS acquiring RLGS at a 108% premium and MKKGY buying SWTX after months of speculation.Sentiment remained cautious among industry leaders, with another potential sign of regulatory disruption as the FDA missed Stealth’s (private) PDUFA date.

Biopharma Week in Review - Macro and M&A Boost Biotech; NVO Moves to Slow LLY Obesity Lead

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revolution Medicines, an American oncology-focused biotechnology company, has made considerable progress in developing therapies for patients with RAS-addicted cancers.</li>
<li>We launched coverage of the stock In November 2023 and added Revolution Medicines to our high conviction list of ideas.</li>
<li>RevMed shares has massively outperformed in 2024 with shares up ~92% YTD vs. a ~12% gain on the XBI. I established a $55 PT and see the valuation as full. </li>
</ul>


Revolution Medicines, an American oncology-focused biotechnology company, has made considerable progress in developing therapies for patients with RAS-addicted cancers.
We launched coverage of the stock In November 2023 and added Revolution Medicines to our high conviction list of ideas.
RevMed shares has massively outperformed in 2024 with shares up ~92% YTD vs. a ~12% gain on the XBI. I established a $55 PT and see the valuation as full. 


2023 High Conviction Update: Revolution Medicines, Time To Take Profits?

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Roche Holding Ltd. (RHHBY) reported initial Phase 1 data for oral GLP-1R agonist CT-996 in obesity patients, showing a 6.1% placebo-adjusted weight loss (p&lt;0.001) at four weeks.</li><li>While the weight loss compares favorably with approved injectables at four weeks (1-3% adjusted), the lack of details in the CT996 data, like baseline body weight, limits any cross-trial comparison. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Roche Holding Ltd. (RHHBY) reported initial Phase 1 data for oral GLP-1R agonist CT-996 in obesity patients, showing a 6.1% placebo-adjusted weight loss (p&lt;0.001) at four weeks.While the weight loss compares favorably with approved injectables at four weeks (1-3% adjusted), the lack of details in the CT996 data, like baseline body weight, limits any cross-trial comparison. 

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Revolution Medicines has posted the financial and operational updates for the first quarter of 2024, emphasizing significant advancements in its novel RAS(ON) inhibitor pipeline.</li><li>The company continues to prioritize advancing RMC-6236 into pivotal monotherapy trials in major cancers driven by oncogenic RAS variants, with a strong focus on expanding the clinical applications of RMC-6236 beyond G12X mutations into different RAS genotypes and tumor types.</li><li>In the past quarter, Revolution Medicines has provided encouraging preclinical and clinical data, particularly highlighting the potential of RMC-6236 in treating various cancers, including pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and non-small cell lung cancer.</li></ul>

Revolution Medicines has posted the financial and operational updates for the first quarter of 2024, emphasizing significant advancements in its novel RAS(ON) inhibitor pipeline.The company continues to prioritize advancing RMC-6236 into pivotal monotherapy trials in major cancers driven by oncogenic RAS variants, with a strong focus on expanding the clinical applications of RMC-6236 beyond G12X mutations into different RAS genotypes and tumor types.In the past quarter, Revolution Medicines has provided encouraging preclinical and clinical data, particularly highlighting the potential of RMC-6236 in treating various cancers, including pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma and non-small cell lung cancer.

Revolution Medicines Inc.: Focus on Novel Combo-Therapeutic Approaches and Broader Genetic Mutations & Other Major Developments - Financial Forecasts

United States

Revolution Medicines, Inc. operates as an oncology company. The Company discovers novel targeted therapies to inhibit elusive frontier targets within notorious growth and survival pathways. Revolution Medicines serves customers worldwide.

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Revolution Medicines (RVMD US)

Biopharma Week in Review - New CBER Head and MFN Headlines Renew Prior Fears

Biopharma was heavily pressured by the appointment of Dr. Vinay Prasad as the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER) head and...

Water Tower Research

Biopharma Week in Review - Macro and M&A Boost Biotech; NVO Moves to Slow LLY Obesity Lead

Biotech fared better than pharma, as macro trends mostly favored growth stocks and LLY weakness pressured the large cap group.

Water Tower Research

2023 High Conviction Update: Revolution Medicines, Time To Take Profits?

I remove Revolution Medicines stock from my high conviction list of ideas due to achieving a $55.00 price target and full valuation relative to peers.

Andrei Zakharov

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 22, 2024

Roche Holding Ltd. (RHHBY) reported initial Phase 1 data for oral GLP-1R agonist CT-996 in obesity patients, showing a 6.1% placebo-adjusted weight...

Water Tower Research

Revolution Medicines Inc.: Focus on Novel Combo-Therapeutic Approaches and Broader Genetic Mutations & Other Major Developments - Financial Forecasts

Revolution Medicines has posted the financial and operational updates for the first quarter of 2024, emphasizing significant advancements in its...

Baptista Research

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