Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The MSCI ACWI and S&amp;P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a bullish trend change. Combine this with improving market internals and we are becoming incrementally more bullish. For the MSCI ACWI, one of the more concerning breadth indicators has been the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average. This indicator recently hit a higher high (see below, left), a positive development that confirms the market’s recent advance. In today's report we highlight opportunities within global Energy and Technology companies, two of our overweights.

The MSCI ACWI and S&amp;P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a bullish trend change. Combine this with improving market internals and we are becoming incrementally more bullish. For the MSCI ACWI, one of the more concerning breadth indicators has been the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average. This indicator recently hit a higher high (see below, left), a positive development that confirms the market’s recent advance. In today's report we highlight opportunities within global Energy and Technology companies, two of our overweights. 

Global Energy Shares Breaking Out; Technology Remains Attractive

Frontier and emerging markets (Vietnam)

Dylan Waller

Nomadic Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22754" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22754">Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited</a>, which currently trades on the Irish Stock Exchange, may trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange next month.  The company plans to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on June the 21st to vote on the approval of this transfer, which is expected to potentially take place next month.  The fund currently manages over $850 million, and is most notable for…

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited, which currently trades on the Irish Stock Exchange, may trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange next month.  The company plans to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on June the 21st to vote on the approval of this transfer, which is expected to potentially take place next month.  The fund currently manages over $850 million, and is most notable for…

Dragon Capital's VEIL Fund: A 3rd London Listing for Vietnam May Emerge Next Month

Index Rebalance and Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Afridi Reyal

Index Rebalance and Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for F100 and one regular change for F250 during the June 2026 rebal.</li>
<li>We see two M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index after the rebal event.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2026 index rebal event.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for F100 and one regular change for F250 during the June 2026 rebal.
We see two M&amp;A-related intra-review changes for the F250 index after the rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun26: Two F100 and One F250 Changes; Two Months till the Base Date

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see one M&amp;A-related intra-review change for the F100 index in the next week.</li>
<li>Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change each for the F100 and F250 indexes during the March 2026 rebal.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.
We see one M&amp;A-related intra-review change for the F100 index in the next week.
Our latest estimates suggest there could be one regular change each for the F100 and F250 indexes during the March 2026 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar26: Ashtead DEL Soon; 2 Weeks to Base Date

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-schiehallion-fund-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46402:1" rel="noopener">Schiehallion Fund (MNTN LN)</a> is the flagship forecasted addition at the March 2026 review following its listing transfer to the LSE Main Market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener">Ashtead (AHT LN)</a> is expected to experience significant supply from UK index funds in February and demand from US in June following its corporate &amp; listing structure change.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tritax-big-box-reit-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21830:1" rel="noopener">Tritax Big Box Reit (BBOX LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ig-group-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21989:1" rel="noopener">Ig Group Holdings (IGG LN)</a> are the main candidates to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener">Ashtead (AHT LN)</a> and be added to F100 at the review.</li>
</ul>



Schiehallion Fund (MNTN LN) is the flagship forecasted addition at the March 2026 review following its listing transfer to the LSE Main Market.

Ashtead (AHT LN) is expected to experience significant supply from UK index funds in February and demand from US in June following its corporate &amp; listing structure change.

Tritax Big Box Reit (BBOX LN) and Ig Group Holdings (IGG LN) are the main candidates to replace Ashtead (AHT LN) and be added to F100 at the review.


UK Index Forecasts - Mar26: Schiehallion Fund Headlines F250; Ashtead Moves to US

United Kingdom

Rightmove plc operates the UK's largest online real estate property portal, rightmove.co.uk, and the Rightmove app. The company offers online property portal services, advertising services for residential and commercial properties, and provides property market data. Rightmove is headquartered in Milton Keynes, United Kingdom, and was founded in 2000.

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Rightmove (RMV LN)

Global Energy Shares Breaking Out; Technology Remains Attractive

The MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a...

Vermilion Research

Dragon Capital's VEIL Fund: A 3rd London Listing for Vietnam May Emerge Next Month

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited, which currently...

Nomadic Equity

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun26: Two F100 and One F250 Changes; Two Months till the Base Date

We see two F100 changes and one F250 change so far. We have a little over two months to the base date and changes could happen until then.

Afridi Reyal

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Mar26: Ashtead DEL Soon; 2 Weeks to Base Date

Yesterday (3rd March) was the base date for the March 2026 rebal event. The index changes will be confirmed after market close today. I have...

Afridi Reyal

UK Index Forecasts - Mar26: Schiehallion Fund Headlines F250; Ashtead Moves to US

AHT was removed from F100 and saw passive fund supply of ~29m shares, $2bn, 16 ADV at the close on 27 February. BBOX replaced AHT in F100, and COST...

Dimitris Ioannidis

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