US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">Robinhood Markets (HOOD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcor-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20703:1" rel="noopener">Emcor Group Inc (EME US)</a> are the main candidates for addition due to consistently high eligibility scores.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microstrategy-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14717:1" rel="noopener">Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US)</a> or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a> is forecasted to be the third addition, with sector balance acting as the limiting factor.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crh-plc-054117b2-cd70-470a-9efc-8f6fab2c83ec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28655:1" rel="noopener">CRH (CRH US)</a> recently regained eligibility following positive August earnings and could be a surprise addition if the tech sector is excluded.</li>
</ul>



Robinhood Markets (HOOD US) and Emcor Group Inc (EME US) are the main candidates for addition due to consistently high eligibility scores.

Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US) or AppLovin (APP US) is forecasted to be the third addition, with sector balance acting as the limiting factor.

CRH (CRH US) recently regained eligibility following positive August earnings and could be a surprise addition if the tech sector is excluded.


S&P500 September 2025 Final Forecast: HOOD, EME & 50/50 on MSTR/APP

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots

Odd Lots

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The culture of trading has shifted, with people enjoying losing money and constantly looking for prices on various assets</li><li>Robinhood caught the wave of this cultural shift with its user-friendly interface and introduction of free stock trading during the pandemic</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

The culture of trading has shifted, with people enjoying losing money and constantly looking for prices on various assetsRobinhood caught the wave of this cultural shift with its user-friendly interface and introduction of free stock trading during the pandemicThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Robinhood's CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hashkey-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40847:1" rel="noopener">HashKey (3887 HK)</a> confirmed its IPO price at HK$6.68, 3.9% below the top end. Despite favourable subscription and placement levels, this suggests some concerns. </li>
<li>Digital asset-related names, BTC and ETH, have retreated by an average of 11.6% last week, implying a challenging environment for the debut. </li>
<li>It is priced at 14.5x FY26 P/S, vs. 10.5x (peer average) and only a 23% discount to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">Robinhood Markets (HOOD US)</a>. It is only attractive at the low-end price.</li>
</ul>



HashKey (3887 HK) confirmed its IPO price at HK$6.68, 3.9% below the top end. Despite favourable subscription and placement levels, this suggests some concerns. 
Digital asset-related names, BTC and ETH, have retreated by an average of 11.6% last week, implying a challenging environment for the debut. 
It is priced at 14.5x FY26 P/S, vs. 10.5x (peer average) and only a 23% discount to Robinhood Markets (HOOD US). It is only attractive at the low-end price.


HashKey Holdings (3887 HK): A Challenging Debut Despite Oversubscription

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in September 2025 - maybe $10bn a side. There are also a couple of live M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in September 2025 - maybe $10bn a side. There are also a couple of live M&amp;A events which are likely to trigger intra-review index changes.


[Quiddity Index] S&P500/400/600 Sep25 Rebal: Two Possible Changes, But One Iffy

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma enterprise value of about $7.3 billion. </li>
<li>WeBull had 4.3 million funded accounts and  $8.2bn in assets under custody at end of 2023. In comparison, Robinhood had 23.4mn funded accounts and $102.6bn in assets under custody. </li>
<li>Given the numerous material concerns about this deal, we would avoid it. There are no financials including income statement and balance sheet of WeBull in the prospectus. </li>
</ul>


On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma enterprise value of about $7.3 billion. 
WeBull had 4.3 million funded accounts and  $8.2bn in assets under custody at end of 2023. In comparison, Robinhood had 23.4mn funded accounts and $102.6bn in assets under custody. 
Given the numerous material concerns about this deal, we would avoid it. There are no financials including income statement and balance sheet of WeBull in the prospectus. 


A Merger Between WeBull and SK Growth Opportunities Corp in NASDAQ

United States

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform. The Company offers brokerage and cash management applications such as stocks, exchange-traded funds, options, and cryptocurrency. Robinhood Markets serves clients in the United States.

Price Gauge
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Robinhood Markets (HOOD US)

S&P500 September 2025 Final Forecast: HOOD, EME & 50/50 on MSTR/APP

HOOD and EME are the top candidates for addition with MSTR or APP forecasted as the third addition. CRH became eligible again following positive...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Robinhood's CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything

iShares by BlackRock offers over 450 ETFs for easy investing, while Robinhood popularized free stock trading and attracted retail investors with a...

Odd Lots

HashKey Holdings (3887 HK): A Challenging Debut Despite Oversubscription

HashKey's IPO is priced at HK$6.68, 3.9% below the top end, signalling concerns despite strong demand. Digital assets were down 11.6% last week...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Quiddity Index] S&P500/400/600 Sep25 Rebal: Two Possible Changes, But One Iffy

We expect IBKR and possibly APP to join the S&P500 in September. We expect two deletes. MSTR has moved to second place BUT it has issues which...

Travis Lundy

A Merger Between WeBull and SK Growth Opportunities Corp in NASDAQ

On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P500 September 2025 Final Forecast: HOOD, EME & 50/50 on MSTR/APP

​HOOD and EME are the top candidates for addition with MSTR or APP forecasted as the third addition. CRH became eligible again following positive...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Robinhood's CEO on the Plan to Tokenize Everything

iShares by BlackRock offers over 450 ETFs for easy investing, while Robinhood popularized free stock trading and attracted retail investors with a...

Odd Lots

HashKey Holdings (3887 HK): A Challenging Debut Despite Oversubscription

​HashKey's IPO is priced at HK$6.68, 3.9% below the top end, signalling concerns despite strong demand. Digital assets were down 11.6% last week...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Quiddity Index] S&P500/400/600 Sep25 Rebal: Two Possible Changes, But One Iffy

We expect IBKR and possibly APP to join the S&P500 in September. We expect two deletes. MSTR has moved to second place BUT it has issues which...

Travis Lundy

A Merger Between WeBull and SK Growth Opportunities Corp in NASDAQ

On 28 February, WeBull announced a merger with SK Growth Opportunities SPAC on NASDAQ. The proposed transaction represented an implied pro forma...

Douglas Kim

HOOD and EME are the top candidates for addition with MSTR or APP forecasted as the third addition. CRH became eligible again following positive...

HashKey's IPO is priced at HK$6.68, 3.9% below the top end, signalling concerns despite strong demand. Digital assets were down 11.6% last week...