Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>HashiCorp is a cloud infrastructure automation company offering industry leading-products with high-profile customer list and freemium business model. The unicorn was backed by leading VC investors. </li>
<li>HashiCorp is the open-source software company, which is well-positioned to gain market share in the cloud infrastructure, security and networking addressable markets. </li>
<li>The company filed to go public this month. Our post-IPO valuation implies substantial upside potential to last private round valuation and we have favorable view of the upcoming IPO.</li>
</ul>


HashiCorp is a cloud infrastructure automation company offering industry leading-products with high-profile customer list and freemium business model. The unicorn was backed by leading VC investors. 
HashiCorp is the open-source software company, which is well-positioned to gain market share in the cloud infrastructure, security and networking addressable markets. 
The company filed to go public this month. Our post-IPO valuation implies substantial upside potential to last private round valuation and we have favorable view of the upcoming IPO.


HashiCorp IPO: Serious Player in Multi-Cloud Infrastructure Automation Segment

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

In the past few weeks, Facebook changed its name to Meta, showing its emphasis on the concept as central to its future. Nvidia and AMD have been skyrocketing as investors speculate that in the future, all the large platforms will be putting huge money behind the concept. AMD just got a big win at Facebook to help power its Metaverse. Facebook is putting soooo much behind the metaverse…its almost a shame they couldn’t just buy Roblox.This was a fine fine quarter for Roblox, the platform is aging up, growth accelerating internationally, platform extensions abound. But…consensus bookings and revenue estimates for FY22 rose 1% and 3.5% respectively…not the type of revisions that merits a 30% move higher. 8% short interest doesn’t sound like much, but 4 days to cover on a relatively thin float seems to be the culprit. We would take profits on Roblox and look to re-engage in the $80s.<div class="content-highlight">Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</div>

In the past few weeks, Facebook changed its name to Meta, showing its emphasis on the concept as central to its future. Nvidia and AMD have been skyrocketing as investors speculate that in the future, all the large platforms will be putting huge money behind the concept. AMD just got a big win at Facebook to help power its Metaverse. Facebook is putting soooo much behind the metaverse…its almost a shame they couldn’t just buy Roblox.This was a fine fine quarter for Roblox, the platform is aging up, growth accelerating internationally, platform extensions abound. But…consensus bookings and revenue estimates for FY22 rose 1% and 3.5% respectively…not the type of revisions that merits a 30% move higher. 8% short interest doesn’t sound like much, but 4 days to cover on a relatively thin float seems to be the culprit. We would take profits on Roblox and look to re-engage in the $80s.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

San Francisco-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amplitude-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34148:1" rel="noopener">Amplitude (AMPL US)</a> , best-in-class product analytics and digital optimization technology unicorn, filed for a direct listing and expects their Class A common stock to begin trading on September 28, 2021. The company has registered up to ~35.4M shares to sell in the direct listing with the reference price to be announced. Amplitude plans to list their Class A shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “AMPL”. Direct listing means that there will be no book building process and none of the existing shareholders will be subject to 180-day contractual lock-up agreement. Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, KeyBanc Capital Markets, Baird, UBS and William Blair will serve as financial advisors.

San Francisco-based Amplitude (AMPL US) , best-in-class product analytics and digital optimization technology unicorn, filed for a direct listing and expects their Class A common stock to begin trading on September 28, 2021. The company has registered up to ~35.4M shares to sell in the direct listing with the reference price to be announced. Amplitude plans to list their Class A shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol “AMPL”. Direct listing means that there will be no book building process and none of the existing shareholders will be subject to 180-day contractual lock-up agreement. Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, KeyBanc Capital Markets, Baird, UBS and William Blair will serve as financial advisors.

Founder-Led Unicorn And Leader In Product Analytics

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

While the battle for payment systems between Epic and Apple will continue with Epic filing an appeal, the rather mild ruling against Apple has some interesting implications, as do the responses of both companies to the ruling. In the context of regulatory upheaval in the key gaming space in China and a slew of regulatory moves in other Asian countries such as Japan and South Korea, there is plenty worth mulling as new winners and losers could emerge.

While the battle for payment systems between Epic and Apple will continue with Epic filing an appeal, the rather mild ruling against Apple has some interesting implications, as do the responses of both companies to the ruling. In the context of regulatory upheaval in the key gaming space in China and a slew of regulatory moves in other Asian countries such as Japan and South Korea, there is plenty worth mulling as new winners and losers could emerge.

Apple's quasi loss in the Epic lawsuit regarding app store take rates makes us all the more bullish on one of our favorite longs...Match Group. And also more bullish on Roblox (another long recommendation) and ATVI (less a beneficiary, but still a good entry point. We think Spotify and Netflix's benefits are overstated. Spotify has run too much on the news, and we think its potentially another good short entry point.

Apple's quasi loss in the Epic lawsuit regarding app store take rates makes us all the more bullish on one of our favorite longs...Match Group. And also more bullish on Roblox (another long recommendation) and ATVI (less a beneficiary, but still a good entry point. We think Spotify and Netflix's benefits are overstated. Spotify has run too much on the news, and we think its potentially another good short entry point.

Apple's App Store Price Cut Beneficiaries

United States

Roblox Corporation provides entertainment products and services. The Company designs and develops a wide range of online games such as internet three-dimensional and tutorial games for kids, teens, and adults. Roblox serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ROBLOX (RBLX US)

HashiCorp IPO: Serious Player in Multi-Cloud Infrastructure Automation Segment

HashiCorp, one of the leaders among infrastructure automation platform providers, filed to go public after a successful Nasdaq debut of open source...

Andrei Zakharov

Roblox 3Q21: 30% Move for THESE Results?

Fine quarter for Roblox, but consensus bookings and revenue estimates for FY22 rose 1% and 3.5% respectively. We would take profits on Roblox and...

Aaron Gabin

Founder-Led Unicorn And Leader In Product Analytics

Amplitude, the growth engine for digital products, will go public via direct listing and we think its fully SaaS, cloud-native product with...

Andrei Zakharov

Not an Epic Ruling Against Apple

We examine developments in Epic's legal battle with Apple to identify potential long-term implications and winners and losers.

Mio Kato

Apple's App Store Price Cut Beneficiaries

Apple's quasi loss in the Epic lawsuit regarding app store take rates makes us all the more bullish on one of our favorite longs...Match Group.

Aaron Gabin

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)