Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

International Distributions Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • InPost / IDS | Royal Mail’s parent IDS buys 49% stake in Collect+ • Arcadis | announces EUR 175m share buyback program • Dutch retail sales | up 3.6% YoY in August in value terms, up 1.4% YoY in volume • Dutch CPI | inflation edging up 50 bps when compared to the August figure</li></ul>

In this edition: • InPost / IDS | Royal Mail’s parent IDS buys 49% stake in Collect+ • Arcadis | announces EUR 175m share buyback program • Dutch retail sales | up 3.6% YoY in August in value terms, up 1.4% YoY in volume • Dutch CPI | inflation edging up 50 bps when compared to the August figure

What's News in Amsterdam - 1 October (InPost / IDS | Arcadis | Dutch retail sales | Dutch CPI)

<ul><li>In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Cevian declares an approx. 3% holding in the company • Heineken | Poland intends to increase excise duty on beer by 15% • Corbion | to cooperate with BRAIN Biotech developing novel biobased antimicrobial compounds • JDE Peet’s | agrees on takeover offer of EUR 31.85 per share in cash by Keurig Dr Pepper • PostNL | Royal Mail’s delivery quality still falls short of minimum required targets • Dutch politics | NSC cabinet members have resigned as well; risk of political deadlock • Corporate agenda | week 35 - 39</li></ul>

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Cevian declares an approx. 3% holding in the company • Heineken | Poland intends to increase excise duty on beer by 15% • Corbion | to cooperate with BRAIN Biotech developing novel biobased antimicrobial compounds • JDE Peet’s | agrees on takeover offer of EUR 31.85 per share in cash by Keurig Dr Pepper • PostNL | Royal Mail’s delivery quality still falls short of minimum required targets • Dutch politics | NSC cabinet members have resigned as well; risk of political deadlock • Corporate agenda | week 35 - 39

International Distributions Services PLC - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

International Distributions Services / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Approval and Safeguards: The UK government approved EP Group's £5.3 billion acquisition of IDS, with legally binding commitments to retain Royal Mail's headquarters, tax residence, and universal service obligations.</li>
<li>IDS faces declining mail volumes, delivery fines, and the need for operational reforms; EP Group aims to revitalize the company leveraging expertise in energy and logistics sectors.</li>
<li>A done deal, in my view. The acquisition is expected to close in Q1 2025.</li>
</ul>


Approval and Safeguards: The UK government approved EP Group's £5.3 billion acquisition of IDS, with legally binding commitments to retain Royal Mail's headquarters, tax residence, and universal service obligations.
IDS faces declining mail volumes, delivery fines, and the need for operational reforms; EP Group aims to revitalize the company leveraging expertise in energy and logistics sectors.
A done deal, in my view. The acquisition is expected to close in Q1 2025.


Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see one M&amp;A-related intra-review change for the F250 index in the next few days.</li>
<li>Separately, our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for the F250 index during the June 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 indices in the run-up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
We see one M&amp;A-related intra-review change for the F250 index in the next few days.
Separately, our latest estimates suggest there could be two regular changes for the F250 index during the June 2025 rebalance. We do not currently see any changes for the F100.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25: One High-Impact Intra-Review Change Soon; More Changes Later

<ul>
<li>In this edition: • InPost | Royal Mail sets sights on becoming the UK’s biggest parcel locker provider • Triodios Bank | IPO likely to be delayed until June • PostNL / IDS | Conservative leader calling for reassessment of IDS takeover approval • Dutch banking sector | strong lobby for a new national investment bank • E-commerce sector | Temu aims for Europe to become its largest market</li>
</ul>


In this edition: • InPost | Royal Mail sets sights on becoming the UK’s biggest parcel locker provider • Triodios Bank | IPO likely to be delayed until June • PostNL / IDS | Conservative leader calling for reassessment of IDS takeover approval • Dutch banking sector | strong lobby for a new national investment bank • E-commerce sector | Temu aims for Europe to become its largest market


ING Groep NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

United Kingdom

International Distributions Services plc provides postal and delivery services. The Company offers letter and parcel delivery services. International Distributions Services serves consumers, sole traders, SMEs, large businesses, and access operators worldwide.

International Distributions Services (IDS LN)

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International Distributions Services (IDS LN)

What's News in Amsterdam - 1 October (InPost / IDS | Arcadis | Dutch retail sales | Dutch CPI)

In this edition: • InPost / IDS | Royal Mail’s parent IDS buys 49% stake in Collect+ • Arcadis | announces EUR 175m share buyback program • Dutch...

The IDEA!

International Distributions Services PLC - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Cevian declares an approx. 3% holding in the company • Heineken | Poland intends to increase excise duty on beer...

The IDEA!

Green Light from British Government

UK government approves EP Group's £5.3 billion acquisition of IDS, with commitments to retain Royal Mail's headquarters and service obligations.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25: One High-Impact Intra-Review Change Soon; More Changes Later

The International Distribution (IDS LN) deal could close soon and the name could get deleted in May 2025. The top-ranked replacement name is...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ING Groep NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • InPost | Royal Mail sets sights on becoming the UK’s biggest parcel locker provider • Triodios Bank | IPO likely to be delayed...

The IDEA!

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

What's News in Amsterdam - 1 October (InPost / IDS | Arcadis | Dutch retail sales | Dutch CPI)

In this edition: • InPost / IDS | Royal Mail’s parent IDS buys 49% stake in Collect+ • Arcadis | announces EUR 175m share buyback program • Dutch...

The IDEA!

International Distributions Services PLC - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • AkzoNobel | Cevian declares an approx. 3% holding in the company • Heineken | Poland intends to increase excise duty on beer...

The IDEA!

Green Light from British Government

​UK government approves EP Group's £5.3 billion acquisition of IDS, with commitments to retain Royal Mail's headquarters and service obligations.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Jun25: One High-Impact Intra-Review Change Soon; More Changes Later

The International Distribution (IDS LN) deal could close soon and the name could get deleted in May 2025. The top-ranked replacement name is...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ING Groep NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • InPost | Royal Mail sets sights on becoming the UK’s biggest parcel locker provider • Triodios Bank | IPO likely to be delayed...

The IDEA!

UK government approves EP Group's £5.3 billion acquisition of IDS, with commitments to retain Royal Mail's headquarters and service obligations.