Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

New developments outlined in today’s report are of the bullish variety. The way we see it, the positives continue to heavily outweigh the negatives. With positive new developments and essentially nothing new to be worried about, our view remains bullish. Buy the dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Materials: CD-46 Retailers, Home Improvement, CD-30 Internet Retailers, CD-55 Lawn &amp; Garden, and MA-27 Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap.

New developments outlined in today’s report are of the bullish variety. The way we see it, the positives continue to heavily outweigh the negatives. With positive new developments and essentially nothing new to be worried about, our view remains bullish. Buy the dips. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Materials: CD-46 Retailers, Home Improvement, CD-30 Internet Retailers, CD-55 Lawn &amp; Garden, and MA-27 Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap.

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&amp;P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductor Equip., Large/Mid-Cap, Software, Data Analysis &amp; Solutions, Software, E-Commerce.

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a short-term support level to watch on the S&amp;P 500; if 3076 holds it would be further confirmation that the bulls are still in charge. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Technology: Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductor Equip., Large/Mid-Cap, Software, Data Analysis &amp; Solutions, Software, E-Commerce.

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Dow Jones Industrial Average / Technical Analysis

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dow-jones-industrial-average" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22887:1" rel="noopener">Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX)</a> has been a value perform play in our work as have small caps until last week when we started to see signals of the rise exhausting and relative trends bending lower. Our call for rotation into value bets in late May touted an exhaustion ahead of the late June cycle.We see the value trade stalling over the summer and raises the question of weaker links flashing warning signals after the SPX trendline break on June 10.July pullback does align with a rise in new virus cases from early opening and lack of social distancing (demonstrations).Evidence of weak links topping stem for the DJI and Russell (among other key sectors) not making news highs or even seriously testing resistance highs compared to the NDX.

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX) has been a value perform play in our work as have small caps until last week when we started to see signals of the rise exhausting and relative trends bending lower. Our call for rotation into value bets in late May touted an exhaustion ahead of the late June cycle.We see the value trade stalling over the summer and raises the question of weaker links flashing warning signals after the SPX trendline break on June 10.July pullback does align with a rise in new virus cases from early opening and lack of social distancing (demonstrations).Evidence of weak links topping stem for the DJI and Russell (among other key sectors) not making news highs or even seriously testing resistance highs compared to the NDX.

US Secondary Top Risk and Value Play Break

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential COVID-19 steroid treatment. For now we view recent weakness as a countertrend move that helped correct the overbought conditions we noted last week. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone we remain bullish and view this as a buyable pullback. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Technology.

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential COVID-19 steroid treatment. For now we view recent weakness as a countertrend move that helped correct the overbought conditions we noted last week. As long as the S&amp;P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone we remain bullish and view this as a buyable pullback. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Signs Point To Healthy Pullback Opportunity

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the value vs. growth ratio, and broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). These are classic signs that the economy is improving and is historically consistent with prior equity bull markets. Another new development is the market becoming increasingly overbought. As we outline in today's report, being “overbought” is far from a sell signal.  We also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Energy and Materials: Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap Domestic Oil &amp; Gas E&amp;P , Chemicals, Diversified, and Specialty Chemicals, Petro/Basic/Commodity.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

United States

The Russell 2000 Index is comprised of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 8% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The index was developed with a base value of 135.00 as of December 31, 1986.

Russell 2000 Index (RTY INDEX)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Buy The Dips

New developments outlined in today’s report are of the bullish variety. The way we see it, the positives continue to heavily outweigh the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 A Coiled Spring

Our view remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above the 2940-2980 support zone and we suggest buying any dips. Additionally, 3076 is a...

Vermilion Research

US Secondary Top Risk and Value Play Break

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU INDEX) has been a value perform play in our work as have small caps until last week when we started to see...

Thomas Schroeder

U.S. Equity Strategy: Signs Point To Healthy Pullback Opportunity

The risk of a correction due to a “second wave” of infections has given way to optimism over increased monetary and fiscal stimulus and a potential...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Value Overtaking Growth; Treasury Yields and Commodities Bottoming

New and ongoing developments continue to support our bullish outlook. In the “new” column, we have bullish inflections in Treasury yields, the...

Vermilion Research