Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>More tech weakness in the US but most names off their lows, with Japan futures pointing to a recovery</li>
<li>Big margin calls yesterday at Japanese retail brokers may see continued forced selling in the most crowded names.</li>
<li>A quick glance at names with upside catalysts/strong fundamental drivers which should have room to run on an overall market recovery.</li>
</ul>


More tech weakness in the US but most names off their lows, with Japan futures pointing to a recovery
Big margin calls yesterday at Japanese retail brokers may see continued forced selling in the most crowded names.
A quick glance at names with upside catalysts/strong fundamental drivers which should have room to run on an overall market recovery.


Japan Morning Connection: 7453 JP, 4307 JP, 6857 JP

<ul>
<li>8697 Japan Exchange and retail facing brokers such as Matsui, SBI, and Monex may do better with Cboe +4.3% given the outlook for increased trading amid higher market volatility. </li>
<li>Japanese MedTech firms Terumo, Asahi Intecc, and Olympus underperformed globally. While FX plays a role, lower rates boost elective surgeries, making them prime candidates for a rebound.</li>
<li>NKY225 inclusion candidates 7453 Ryohin Keikaku and 7453 NRI look attractive as oversold longs as Index arbs will no doubt be rushing back as soon as the panic subsides.</li>
</ul>


8697 Japan Exchange and retail facing brokers such as Matsui, SBI, and Monex may do better with Cboe +4.3% given the outlook for increased trading amid higher market volatility. 
Japanese MedTech firms Terumo, Asahi Intecc, and Olympus underperformed globally. While FX plays a role, lower rates boost elective surgeries, making them prime candidates for a rebound.
NKY225 inclusion candidates 7453 Ryohin Keikaku and 7453 NRI look attractive as oversold longs as Index arbs will no doubt be rushing back as soon as the panic subsides.


Japan Morning Connection: 8697 JP, 7453 JP, 7453 JP

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>The three big convenience store chains all posted record financial results for FY2023. </li>
<li>The format’s limitations were exposed by the pandemic, providing a catalyst for some major changes and prompting new and innovative marketing and support services.</li>
<li>These have made the sector more robust, but whether this new surge of growth will continue in 2024 will depend on how concerned customers are with higher prices.</li>
</ul>


The three big convenience store chains all posted record financial results for FY2023. 
The format’s limitations were exposed by the pandemic, providing a catalyst for some major changes and prompting new and innovative marketing and support services.
These have made the sector more robust, but whether this new surge of growth will continue in 2024 will depend on how concerned customers are with higher prices.


<ul>
<li>E-Commerce growth slowed marginally as the sector consolidated post-Covid but remained higher than any other channel in 2022. </li>
<li>By 2025-26, it will be the largest channel, overtaking convenience stores – but Japan’s continuing support for retail stores means that omnichannel will be the main model.</li>
<li>As a result, the majority of transactions will be researched, initiated, and fulfilled through a combination of online and physical stores.</li>
</ul>


E-Commerce growth slowed marginally as the sector consolidated post-Covid but remained higher than any other channel in 2022. 
By 2025-26, it will be the largest channel, overtaking convenience stores – but Japan’s continuing support for retail stores means that omnichannel will be the main model.
As a result, the majority of transactions will be researched, initiated, and fulfilled through a combination of online and physical stores.


E-Commerce in Japan: Omnichannel Consolidation

<ul>
<li>If you need a quick overview of Japan's retail sectors and the winners and losers within, the following provides an update on 2023 and where things are headed in 2024.</li>
<li>Drugstore consolidation continues but so does the sector's encroachment on supermarkets while leaders in department stores are delivering record profits and lifestyle retailing is back.</li>
<li>Some of the best performers compared to initial forecasts include Matsuya, ABC Mart, Adastria, Isetan-Mitsukoshi, Takashimaya, Kintetsu, J Front Retailing and Lawson.</li>
</ul>


If you need a quick overview of Japan's retail sectors and the winners and losers within, the following provides an update on 2023 and where things are headed in 2024.
Drugstore consolidation continues but so does the sector's encroachment on supermarkets while leaders in department stores are delivering record profits and lifestyle retailing is back.
Some of the best performers compared to initial forecasts include Matsuya, ABC Mart, Adastria, Isetan-Mitsukoshi, Takashimaya, Kintetsu, J Front Retailing and Lawson.


Japan Retail Update: Winners and Losers as FY2023 Ends

Japan

RYOHIN KEIKAKU CO., LTD. is a retailer and wholesaler of Mujirushi Ryohin brand products, which were originally a generic private-brand product.  The Company's product line includes knitwear, food, and household items

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Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: 7453 JP, 4307 JP, 6857 JP

US tech stocks showing weakness but on the rebound. Japanese market may see forced selling due to margin calls. Discussion of stocks with...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 8697 JP, 7453 JP, 7453 JP

Japanese brokers may benefit from increased trading with Cboe, MedTech firms could rebound, and NKY225 inclusion candidates highlighted as...

Andrew Jackson

Stellar Year for Conbini Chains

Convenience store chains saw record results in FY2023, with pandemic-driven changes prompting innovation and growth, but future success may hinge...

Michael Causton

E-Commerce in Japan: Omnichannel Consolidation

E-commerce growth in Japan remains strong post-Covid, set to overtake convenience stores by 2025-26, with omnichannel model becoming dominant for...

Michael Causton

Japan Retail Update: Winners and Losers as FY2023 Ends

Summary: Japan's retail sectors in 2023 saw drugstore consolidation and encroachment on supermarkets, while dept. stores and lifestyle retailing...

Michael Causton

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: 7453 JP, 4307 JP, 6857 JP

​US tech stocks showing weakness but on the rebound. Japanese market may see forced selling due to margin calls. Discussion of stocks with...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 8697 JP, 7453 JP, 7453 JP

​Japanese brokers may benefit from increased trading with Cboe, MedTech firms could rebound, and NKY225 inclusion candidates highlighted as...

Andrew Jackson

Stellar Year for Conbini Chains

​Convenience store chains saw record results in FY2023, with pandemic-driven changes prompting innovation and growth, but future success may hinge...

Michael Causton

E-Commerce in Japan: Omnichannel Consolidation

​E-commerce growth in Japan remains strong post-Covid, set to overtake convenience stores by 2025-26, with omnichannel model becoming dominant for...

Michael Causton

Japan Retail Update: Winners and Losers as FY2023 Ends

​Summary: Japan's retail sectors in 2023 saw drugstore consolidation and encroachment on supermarkets, while dept. stores and lifestyle retailing...

Michael Causton

US tech stocks showing weakness but on the rebound. Japanese market may see forced selling due to margin calls. Discussion of stocks with...

Japanese brokers may benefit from increased trading with Cboe, MedTech firms could rebound, and NKY225 inclusion candidates highlighted as...

Convenience store chains saw record results in FY2023, with pandemic-driven changes prompting innovation and growth, but future success may hinge...

E-commerce growth in Japan remains strong post-Covid, set to overtake convenience stores by 2025-26, with omnichannel model becoming dominant for...

Summary: Japan's retail sectors in 2023 saw drugstore consolidation and encroachment on supermarkets, while dept. stores and lifestyle retailing...