Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There has been a long-term trend of market concentration in Japan's retail sector for more than a decade.</li>
<li>But consolidation is accelerating due to the pressures to find growth in a depopulating market and the winner takes all phenomenon which rewards the leading chains.</li>
<li>With higher growth and greater access to capital for the best retailers, the net result is dramatically higher levels of M&amp;A in sectors like drugstores and even supermarkets.  </li>
</ul>


There has been a long-term trend of market concentration in Japan's retail sector for more than a decade.
But consolidation is accelerating due to the pressures to find growth in a depopulating market and the winner takes all phenomenon which rewards the leading chains.
With higher growth and greater access to capital for the best retailers, the net result is dramatically higher levels of M&amp;A in sectors like drugstores and even supermarkets.  


Japan Retail: Market Concentration Accelerates Through M&A and Organic Growth

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Estee Lauder continues to  underwhelm on its China strategy, making names with less country exposure such as Kose look increasingly attractive</li>
<li>While the 7&amp;I deal outcome remains highly  uncertain, NKY225 replacement candidates should see a lift in the short-term</li>
<li>This includes PPIH, which looks oversold after yesterdays negative price reaction to the Founder's 22 year old son being promoted to a non-exec director.</li>
</ul>


Estee Lauder continues to  underwhelm on its China strategy, making names with less country exposure such as Kose look increasingly attractive
While the 7&amp;I deal outcome remains highly  uncertain, NKY225 replacement candidates should see a lift in the short-term
This includes PPIH, which looks oversold after yesterdays negative price reaction to the Founder's 22 year old son being promoted to a non-exec director.


Japan Morning Connection: Kose, 7&I, PPIH

<ul>
<li>Upbeat results briefing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc</a> on Friday continues to make this look oversold with GPM bottoming, its MTP 1-year ahead of plan and strong growth outlooks for key markets China and US.</li>
<li>With numbers out for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/155896/Pan%20Pacific%20International%20Holdings%20(7532%20JP)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">PPIH</a> on Friday and the outlook reassuringly steady, this may start to get more attention as NKY225 inclusion candidate given it comes from the under-represented consumer goods segment.</li>
<li>AMAT numbers showing a decline in China revenues a red flag for Japanese SPE names overly reliant on China sales?</li>
</ul>


Upbeat results briefing from Asahi Intecc on Friday continues to make this look oversold with GPM bottoming, its MTP 1-year ahead of plan and strong growth outlooks for key markets China and US.
With numbers out for PPIH on Friday and the outlook reassuringly steady, this may start to get more attention as NKY225 inclusion candidate given it comes from the under-represented consumer goods segment.
AMAT numbers showing a decline in China revenues a red flag for Japanese SPE names overly reliant on China sales?


Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

<ul>
<li>Last week in Japan's retail sector: continued weakness in shopping mall development due to both falling demand from tenants and competition from online.</li>
<li>Don Quijote operator, Pan Pacific posted strong results, reflecting high demand from both locals looking for value and tourists browsing for fun.</li>
<li>The retail sector had a record year in FY23, but a big constraint is the labour shortage but, with many fit older Japanese, some employees are now over 80. </li>
</ul>


Last week in Japan's retail sector: continued weakness in shopping mall development due to both falling demand from tenants and competition from online.
Don Quijote operator, Pan Pacific posted strong results, reflecting high demand from both locals looking for value and tourists browsing for fun.
The retail sector had a record year in FY23, but a big constraint is the labour shortage but, with many fit older Japanese, some employees are now over 80. 


Japan's Retail Week: New Malls Slow, Lawson/Muji Get Closer, Donki Booms and Jobs for the over 80s

<ul>
<li>More tech weakness in the US but most names off their lows, with Japan futures pointing to a recovery</li>
<li>Big margin calls yesterday at Japanese retail brokers may see continued forced selling in the most crowded names.</li>
<li>A quick glance at names with upside catalysts/strong fundamental drivers which should have room to run on an overall market recovery.</li>
</ul>


More tech weakness in the US but most names off their lows, with Japan futures pointing to a recovery
Big margin calls yesterday at Japanese retail brokers may see continued forced selling in the most crowded names.
A quick glance at names with upside catalysts/strong fundamental drivers which should have room to run on an overall market recovery.


Japan Morning Connection: 7453 JP, 4307 JP, 6857 JP

Japan

RYOHIN KEIKAKU CO., LTD. is a retailer and wholesaler of Mujirushi Ryohin brand products, which were originally a generic private-brand product.  The Company's product line includes knitwear, food, and household items

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)

Japan Retail: Market Concentration Accelerates Through M&A and Organic Growth

Market concentration in Japan's retail sector has been increasing due to the need for growth in a shrinking market, leading to a surge in M&A...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: Kose, 7&I, PPIH

Estee Lauder continues to struggle while those with less China exposure such as Kose look more attractive. Uncertainty over 7&I deal should lift...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan's Retail Week: New Malls Slow, Lawson/Muji Get Closer, Donki Booms and Jobs for the over 80s

Japan's retail sector in the last week: Shopping mall development slows, Don Quijote operator Pan Pacific sees strong demand from locals and...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: 7453 JP, 4307 JP, 6857 JP

US tech stocks showing weakness but on the rebound. Japanese market may see forced selling due to margin calls. Discussion of stocks with...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Retail: Market Concentration Accelerates Through M&A and Organic Growth

​Market concentration in Japan's retail sector has been increasing due to the need for growth in a shrinking market, leading to a surge in M&A...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: Kose, 7&I, PPIH

Estee Lauder continues to struggle while those with less China exposure such as Kose look more attractive. Uncertainty over 7&I deal should lift...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Asahi Intecc, PPIH

​Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

Andrew Jackson

Japan's Retail Week: New Malls Slow, Lawson/Muji Get Closer, Donki Booms and Jobs for the over 80s

Japan's retail sector in the last week: Shopping mall development slows, Don Quijote operator Pan Pacific sees strong demand from locals and...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: 7453 JP, 4307 JP, 6857 JP

​US tech stocks showing weakness but on the rebound. Japanese market may see forced selling due to margin calls. Discussion of stocks with...

Andrew Jackson

Market concentration in Japan's retail sector has been increasing due to the need for growth in a shrinking market, leading to a surge in M&A...

Positive results from Asahi Intecc show oversold potential; PPIH's steady outlook may indicate NKY225 cadidate; AMAT numbers showing decline in...

US tech stocks showing weakness but on the rebound. Japanese market may see forced selling due to margin calls. Discussion of stocks with...