Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A new cross-shareholding agreement between SF and J&amp;T is a neat strategic fit for both</li>
<li>SF gains improved distribution in SE Asia (and beyond), J&amp;T gets access to X-border assets</li>
<li>Listed Chinese express names mostly unaffected, but deal challenges Alibaba, DHL, Flash</li>
</ul>


A new cross-shareholding agreement between SF and J&amp;T is a neat strategic fit for both
SF gains improved distribution in SE Asia (and beyond), J&amp;T gets access to X-border assets
Listed Chinese express names mostly unaffected, but deal challenges Alibaba, DHL, Flash


SF Hldg and J&T Announce New Cross-Shareholding | Good Strategic Fit | Losers Are BABA, DHL, Flash

<ul>
<li>In H1 and Q2 this year, JD Logistics' top-line growth remained strong, growing by 20%+</li>
<li>But margins have continued to erode in recent periods, probably due to changes in mix</li>
<li>Down close to HK$10 per share, we believe lots of negativity is "baked in" to price</li>
</ul>


In H1 and Q2 this year, JD Logistics' top-line growth remained strong, growing by 20%+
But margins have continued to erode in recent periods, probably due to changes in mix
Down close to HK$10 per share, we believe lots of negativity is "baked in" to price


JD Logistics H1/Q2 Results | Momentum, Profitability Show Mixed Signals | Shares Drained Of Optimism

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>We update our March A+H Connect study with 18 ADDs since mid-March, 10 after stabilization and 8 on listing day, against 31 earlier events.</li>
<li>After stabilization ends, H-shares now outperform A-shares for about 20 trading days after the Connect ADD, the reverse of the March pattern.</li>
<li>On listing-day ADDs, Southbound holdings built faster than on ADDs after stabilization, yet most H-shares fell below the IPO price within 20 trading days.</li>
</ul>


We update our March A+H Connect study with 18 ADDs since mid-March, 10 after stabilization and 8 on listing day, against 31 earlier events.
After stabilization ends, H-shares now outperform A-shares for about 20 trading days after the Connect ADD, the reverse of the March pattern.
On listing-day ADDs, Southbound holdings built faster than on ADDs after stabilization, yet most H-shares fell below the IPO price within 20 trading days.


HK A+H Connect Inclusion Event Study: 3Q2026 Update

<ul>
<li>H1/Q2 results largely match tone of management guidance from the IPO process</li>
<li>Revenue barely grew, and margins shrank due to higher Fulfilment costs (tied to oil)</li>
<li>Shares are down over 27% from IPO; any break from fuel costs could boost bottom-line</li>
</ul>


H1/Q2 results largely match tone of management guidance from the IPO process
Revenue barely grew, and margins shrank due to higher Fulfilment costs (tied to oil)
Shares are down over 27% from IPO; any break from fuel costs could boost bottom-line


SHEIN H1/Q2 Results | Slow Top-Line Growth, More Margin Compression | Fulfilment Costs Up Sharply

<ul>
<li>China-Listed express firms reported softer volume growth in August (vs July and Q2)</li>
<li>SF Holding and Yunda Holding continued to lose share in August; STO Express gained</li>
<li>We believe softer volume growth in August could indicate weak online retail activity</li>
</ul>


China-Listed express firms reported softer volume growth in August (vs July and Q2)
SF Holding and Yunda Holding continued to lose share in August; STO Express gained
We believe softer volume growth in August could indicate weak online retail activity


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | August Growth Slowed Vs July, Q2 | Suggests Softer Online Retail

China

SF Holding Co., Ltd. is a leading Chinese multinational integrated logistics service provider. It offers a comprehensive suite of services including express delivery, freight, cold chain logistics, intra-city on-demand delivery, international express, international freight and forwarding, and supply chain management. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, China, and was founded in 1993.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SF Holding (6936 HK)

SF Hldg and J&T Announce New Cross-Shareholding | Good Strategic Fit | Losers Are BABA, DHL, Flash

A cross-shareholding agreement between Chinese express firms SF Holding and J&T Global could address each company's weaknesses outside of China....

Tracking Traffic

JD Logistics H1/Q2 Results | Momentum, Profitability Show Mixed Signals | Shares Drained Of Optimism

Shares have "round tripped" since March 2026 and at HK$10 there appears to be lots of negativity baked into the price. At just 8x consensus 2026F...

Tracking Traffic

HK A+H Connect Inclusion Event Study: 3Q2026 Update

We add 18 A+H Connect ADDs since March. H-shares now outperform A-shares after ADDs that follow stabilization, while listing-day ADDs draw heavy...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SHEIN H1/Q2 Results | Slow Top-Line Growth, More Margin Compression | Fulfilment Costs Up Sharply

SHEIN disclosed H126 financial results, which show few surprises: revenue growth is still depressed, and margins continue to shrink due to high...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | August Growth Slowed Vs July, Q2 | Suggests Softer Online Retail

Chinese domestic express parcel volume growth slowed in August (vs July and Q2), suggesting softer online retail activity. For stronger growth in...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)