Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The rally in Oil has taken us through the key levels that were in focus up to $89.58</li>
<li>The weekly close is particularly constructive as we posted a bullish outside week</li>
<li>This should open the way for further gains to the tune of some 20%-25% over the coming weeks / months</li>
</ul>


The rally in Oil has taken us through the key levels that were in focus up to $89.58
The weekly close is particularly constructive as we posted a bullish outside week
This should open the way for further gains to the tune of some 20%-25% over the coming weeks / months


The Crude Awakening – Oil’s Break Higher

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Call for a capitulation SPX low near January 24/25 to set in motion a reaction rise in February. Risk of a final downside re test does exist in early Feb.</li>
<li>RSI key lows are compelling for a more bullish drive into early March. Wide range swings typically set up cycle troughs.</li>
<li>DJI displays the best base support with relative strength while the NDX faces yield headwinds and stall bull overhead sell pressure. <strong>US Macro is bearish in Q2.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


Call for a capitulation SPX low near January 24/25 to set in motion a reaction rise in February. Risk of a final downside re test does exist in early Feb.
RSI key lows are compelling for a more bullish drive into early March. Wide range swings typically set up cycle troughs.
DJI displays the best base support with relative strength while the NDX faces yield headwinds and stall bull overhead sell pressure. US Macro is bearish in Q2.



US Capitulation Low in Place with Re Test Risk near Feb 4-6

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>Indexes continue to violate our key supports as the Russell 2000 (IWM) broke below $208, the S&amp;P 500 broke below 4495, and the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQEW) broke below $109.</li>
<li>This type of damage paints a bearish picture at the index level, and will take some time to repair.</li>
<li>Now that key supports have been violated, we are monitoring for oversold conditions that could mark a bottom, and it is possible that was yesterday (Jan. 24).</li>
</ul>


Indexes continue to violate our key supports as the Russell 2000 (IWM) broke below $208, the S&amp;P 500 broke below 4495, and the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQEW) broke below $109.
This type of damage paints a bearish picture at the index level, and will take some time to repair.
Now that key supports have been violated, we are monitoring for oversold conditions that could mark a bottom, and it is possible that was yesterday (Jan. 24).


U.S. Equity Strategy: Index Supports Breaking; Upgrading and Buying Utilities

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The year is just started but 2022 has not been good so far for U.S. stocks. The S&amp;P 500, and especially the Nasdaq, are negative YTD, and among the worst indices on a global basis</li>
<li>Indeed the value rotation is still in place, and the performance gap between value and growth stocks is widening</li>
<li>I think that the current interest rate increase could be close to the peak</li>
</ul>


The year is just started but 2022 has not been good so far for U.S. stocks. The S&amp;P 500, and especially the Nasdaq, are negative YTD, and among the worst indices on a global basis
Indeed the value rotation is still in place, and the performance gap between value and growth stocks is widening
I think that the current interest rate increase could be close to the peak


Global Economist, DeSaque Macro Research

Said Desaque

Global Economist

Delivering Global Macro Investment Insights

DeSaque Macro Research

DeSaque Macro Research Limited was formed by Said DeSaque in April 2012 with the view to delivering global macro investment insights aimed at providing new ideas to clients.

Said DeSaque has over 26 years of experience working as a professional economist in financial services. Prior to establishing DeSaque Macro Research, Said held positions as Senior Economist at Robert W Baird and William Blair. He began his career as a graduate at PaineWebber in 1986, where he eventually became Head of the London Economics Department.

Said takes a very keen interest in international relations, along with their implications for economic development. His research interests include the economic transformation of China and its implications for global capital markets, particularly in the United States. He is a member of Chatham House in London.

The US economy and capital markets have historically been Said’s main focus of attention. He frequently presents his views to institutional investors in diverse geographic locations. In recent years, Said has also been carefully monitoring economic developments in Asia, particularly China and Japan.

<ul>
<li>US equity investors' expectations have been fickle by failing to appreciate that there would be payback demanded by the Fed for their unprecedented policy easing during the COVID-19 pandemic.</li>
<li>The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will be pleased to witness the recent correction in equity prices and will view price declines as a signal of policy credibility.</li>
<li>US equities remain vulnerable to liquidity contraction. Housing has also boosted households' wealth, and the Fed would provide policy support if home and equity prices fell simultaneously.    </li>
</ul>


US equity investors' expectations have been fickle by failing to appreciate that there would be payback demanded by the Fed for their unprecedented policy easing during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will be pleased to witness the recent correction in equity prices and will view price declines as a signal of policy credibility.
US equities remain vulnerable to liquidity contraction. Housing has also boosted households' wealth, and the Fed would provide policy support if home and equity prices fell simultaneously.    


Fed Unperturbed by Equity Market Declines as Housing Cushions the Blow to Households' Net Worth

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

The Crude Awakening – Oil’s Break Higher

The break higher n Crude has come with strong bullish price action. Further gains towards $115+ are likely over the coming weeks and months

Shyam Devani

US Capitulation Low in Place with Re Test Risk near Feb 4-6

Call for a capitulation SPX low near January 24/25 to set in motion a reaction rise in February. Risk of a final downside re test does exist in...

Thomas Schroeder

U.S. Equity Strategy: Index Supports Breaking; Upgrading and Buying Utilities

Indexes continue to violate our key supports on the Russell 2000 (IWM), the S&P 500, and the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQEW). Most opportunities...

Vermilion Research

2022: False start for U.S. equities

The year is just started but 2022 has not been good so far for U.S. stocks. The S&P 500, and especially the Nasdaq, are negative YTD, and among the...

Market Radar

Fed Unperturbed by Equity Market Declines as Housing Cushions the Blow to Households' Net Worth

Equity investors should not be shocked by the Fed's rate guidance after unprecedented action during the COVID-19 pandemic. Policy relief will occur...

DeSaque Macro Research