Podcast by Eric Golden on Web3 businesses, Web3 Breakdowns

Web3 Breakdowns

Podcast by Eric Golden on Web3 businesses

Web3 Breakdowns is a series of conversations exploring innovation in the decentralized internet. Each episode will focus on a different topic - we will cover NFT projects, crypto assets, blockchain-based protocols, and businesses being built with Web3 architecture. We will talk to founders, artists, investors and influencers to understand this emerging ecosystem. Visit joincolossus.com to find more episodes, transcripts and a library of content to continue your learning.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>2024 was a great year for risk assets, with the S&amp;P up 23% and Bitcoin up 150%</li><li>The year started with concerns about a recession and aggressive Fed rate cuts, but ended with market consensus aligning and a strong performance</li><li>The narrative heading into 2025 includes concerns about Trump's impact on deregulation and tariffs, as well as potential inflation from immigration policies</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

2024 was a great year for risk assets, with the S&amp;P up 23% and Bitcoin up 150%The year started with concerns about a recession and aggressive Fed rate cuts, but ended with market consensus aligning and a strong performanceThe narrative heading into 2025 includes concerns about Trump's impact on deregulation and tariffs, as well as potential inflation from immigration policiesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Quarterly Market Recap: Q4 2024 - [Making Markets, EP.53]

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shell’s Q4 2024 revenue and EPS are expected to decline 21.9% YoY and 35.1%, respectively. For fiscal 2024, forecasts project a 4.8% revenue drop and a 7.4% EPS decline.</li>
<li>Shell anticipates a USD 1.3 billion Q4 charge for emissions certificates and biofuel programs, alongside non-cash post-tax impairments ranging from USD 1.5 billion to USD 3 billion.</li>
<li>Shell forecasts flat refining margins at USD 5.5/bbl but a 16% QoQ drop in chemical margins to USD 138/tonne.</li>
</ul>


Shell’s Q4 2024 revenue and EPS are expected to decline 21.9% YoY and 35.1%, respectively. For fiscal 2024, forecasts project a 4.8% revenue drop and a 7.4% EPS decline.
Shell anticipates a USD 1.3 billion Q4 charge for emissions certificates and biofuel programs, alongside non-cash post-tax impairments ranging from USD 1.5 billion to USD 3 billion.
Shell forecasts flat refining margins at USD 5.5/bbl but a 16% QoQ drop in chemical margins to USD 138/tonne.


[Earnings Preview] Lower Gas Output and Tight Margins Hit Shell’s Q4 Outlook

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The labour market is tight, and ISM's manufacturing and services new orders suggest more economic strength in H1CY25. Consequently, the bond yield curve is likely to steepen further. </li>
<li>Trump's massive spending (and bureaucratic) cuts will eat into the fiscal deficit (Oct'25 onwards), and deregulation plus early end to Ukraine war will sharply reduce oil prices, pushing inflation down.</li>
<li>QT, and absence of rate cuts in Q1CY25, will reduce core inflation by Q2CY25, allowing three 25bp rate cuts (Jun-Dec'25). Overweight bonds in Q1CY25, equities after mid-Mar'25. </li>
</ul>


The labour market is tight, and ISM's manufacturing and services new orders suggest more economic strength in H1CY25. Consequently, the bond yield curve is likely to steepen further. 
Trump's massive spending (and bureaucratic) cuts will eat into the fiscal deficit (Oct'25 onwards), and deregulation plus early end to Ukraine war will sharply reduce oil prices, pushing inflation down.
QT, and absence of rate cuts in Q1CY25, will reduce core inflation by Q2CY25, allowing three 25bp rate cuts (Jun-Dec'25). Overweight bonds in Q1CY25, equities after mid-Mar'25. 


NFP, Bonds Reflect Tight Labour Market, but Trump Disinflation Surprises Awaited

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

<ul><li>The podcast discussed the impact of technology, particularly AI and LLMs, on the financial industry</li><li>Predictions were made for 2025, including a bullish outlook on Bitcoin and the importance of stock picking in a changing market</li><li>The dollar's strength and potential disruptions, as well as the focus on quality and value in stock selection, were highlighted as key factors to watch for in the coming year's market trends.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The podcast discussed the impact of technology, particularly AI and LLMs, on the financial industryPredictions were made for 2025, including a bullish outlook on Bitcoin and the importance of stock picking in a changing marketThe dollar's strength and potential disruptions, as well as the focus on quality and value in stock selection, were highlighted as key factors to watch for in the coming year's market trends.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Bill Mann & Mark Connors: Legacy Systems, Bitcoin, and AI Tech | The New Barbarians Podcast - #002

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets, Nomura - The Week Ahead

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets

Nomura - The Week Ahead

We explore the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week, discussing the key market moving events and risks to keep on your radar.

<ul><li>Central banks in the US, Europe, and Asia have made policy rate announcements, with the Fed in the US easing rates and the ECB expected to continue cutting rates.</li><li>The US economy is expected to see slowing growth momentum in the coming year, with concerns about policy risks from the incoming Trump administration.</li><li>In Asia, Japan is forecasted to experience above potential growth with rate hikes, while China continues to struggle with low inflation and credit growth.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Central banks in the US, Europe, and Asia have made policy rate announcements, with the Fed in the US easing rates and the ECB expected to continue cutting rates.The US economy is expected to see slowing growth momentum in the coming year, with concerns about policy risks from the incoming Trump administration.In Asia, Japan is forecasted to experience above potential growth with rate hikes, while China continues to struggle with low inflation and credit growth.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Quarterly Market Recap: Q4 2024 - [Making Markets, EP.53]

Overall, the investment market in 2024 saw strong growth, with S&P up 23% and Bitcoin up 150%, leading to a bullish sentiment among investors...

Web3 Breakdowns

[Earnings Preview] Lower Gas Output and Tight Margins Hit Shell’s Q4 Outlook

Shell's Q4 2024 revenue and EPS expected to decline, with charges for emissions certificates and biofuel programs, and forecasts of flat refining...

Mint Finance

NFP, Bonds Reflect Tight Labour Market, but Trump Disinflation Surprises Awaited

Tight labor market and rebounding ISM new orders point to steeper yield curve in H1CY25. Trump's slashed spending and lower oil prices will lower...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Bill Mann & Mark Connors: Legacy Systems, Bitcoin, and AI Tech | The New Barbarians Podcast - #002

The podcast covered the rise of Bitcoin, the importance of the dollar index, predictions for Bitcoin's future, stock picking strategies in a...

William Mann

The Week Ahead – Happy New Year?

Central banks globally are lowering policy rates, US expected to see exceptional growth in 2024, downside risks from Trump administration policies,...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Quarterly Market Recap: Q4 2024 - [Making Markets, EP.53]

Overall, the investment market in 2024 saw strong growth, with S&P up 23% and Bitcoin up 150%, leading to a bullish sentiment among investors...

Web3 Breakdowns

[Earnings Preview] Lower Gas Output and Tight Margins Hit Shell’s Q4 Outlook

​Shell's Q4 2024 revenue and EPS expected to decline, with charges for emissions certificates and biofuel programs, and forecasts of flat refining...

Mint Finance

NFP, Bonds Reflect Tight Labour Market, but Trump Disinflation Surprises Awaited

​Tight labor market and rebounding ISM new orders point to steeper yield curve in H1CY25. Trump's slashed spending and lower oil prices will lower...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Bill Mann & Mark Connors: Legacy Systems, Bitcoin, and AI Tech | The New Barbarians Podcast - #002

The podcast covered the rise of Bitcoin, the importance of the dollar index, predictions for Bitcoin's future, stock picking strategies in a...

William Mann

The Week Ahead – Happy New Year?

Central banks globally are lowering policy rates, US expected to see exceptional growth in 2024, downside risks from Trump administration policies,...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Shell's Q4 2024 revenue and EPS expected to decline, with charges for emissions certificates and biofuel programs, and forecasts of flat refining...

Tight labor market and rebounding ISM new orders point to steeper yield curve in H1CY25. Trump's slashed spending and lower oil prices will lower...