Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pine-labs-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33472:1" rel="noopener">Pine Labs (0568874D IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 176.5m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$439m at a valuation of US$2.86bn.</li>
<li>The price band has been set at INR 210-221/share and could price at the top end of the range. The IPO raise and valuation are sharply lower than earlier reports.</li>
<li>Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in May but flow will be small given the low float and the Smallcap indices that it is added to.</li>
</ul>



Pine Labs (0568874D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 176.5m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$439m at a valuation of US$2.86bn.
The price band has been set at INR 210-221/share and could price at the top end of the range. The IPO raise and valuation are sharply lower than earlier reports.
Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in May but flow will be small given the low float and the Smallcap indices that it is added to.


Pine Labs IPO: Slashed Offering Size & Lower Valuation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextbillion-technology-pvt-ltd-groww" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34787:1" rel="noopener">Groww (1573648D IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 663.23m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$752m at a valuation of US$7bn.</li>
<li>The price band has been set at INR 95-100/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in June 2026 but flow will be small given the low float.</li>
</ul>



Groww (1573648D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 663.23m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$752m at a valuation of US$7bn.
The price band has been set at INR 95-100/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in June 2026 but flow will be small given the low float.


Groww IPO: Growwing Fast; Index Inclusions Will Be Sloww; Small Floww

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenskart-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45634:1" rel="noopener">Lenskart Solutions (0370405Z IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 181.05m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$829m at a valuation of US$7.95bn.</li>
<li>The price band has been set at INR 382-402/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in June 2026 but flow will be small given the low float.</li>
</ul>



Lenskart Solutions (0370405Z IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 181.05m shares via a primary and secondary offering to raise US$829m at a valuation of US$7.95bn.
The price band has been set at INR 382-402/share, and the issue is likely to price at the top end of the range.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances will commence in June 2026 but flow will be small given the low float.


Lenskart IPO: Earliest Index Inclusion in June

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> is scheduled to report its FY 2026 Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.
</li>
<li>
Highlight: Consensus sees EPS near INR 11.3 and revenue around INR 437 Bn; options imply a ±2.3% move, above the historical ±1.7% average.</li>
<li>
Portfolio Impact: As the largest constituent of the Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex, HDFC's earnings will be closely watched and could set the tone for the broader market.</li>
</ul>



HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) is scheduled to report its FY 2026 Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025.


Highlight: Consensus sees EPS near INR 11.3 and revenue around INR 437 Bn; options imply a ±2.3% move, above the historical ±1.7% average.

Portfolio Impact: As the largest constituent of the Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex, HDFC's earnings will be closely watched and could set the tone for the broader market.


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Set to Report Q2 Results Ahead of Diwali Break

India

The S&P BSE Sensex Index is a cap-weighted index. The index members have been selected on the basis of liquidity, depth, and floating-stock-adjustment depth and industry representation. Sensex has a base date and value of 100 in 1978-1979. The Index shifted to free-float methodology since 09/01/03. Please see {SNSXOLD Index <GO>} for mid-month options.

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Pine Labs IPO: Slashed Offering Size & Lower Valuation

Pine Labs is looking to raise US$439m at a valuation of US$2.86bn. This is much lower than earlier numbers and there could be upside in the stock...

Brian Freitas

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Groww IPO: Growwing Fast; Index Inclusions Will Be Sloww; Small Floww

The Groww IPO will raise US$752m and value the company at US$7bn. Float is lower than 15%. That means no Fast Entry and the earliest global index...

Brian Freitas

Lenskart IPO: Earliest Index Inclusion in June

The Lenskart IPO will raise US$829m and value the company at US$7.95bn. Float is lower than 15%. That means no Fast Entry and the earliest global...

Brian Freitas

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Set to Report Q2 Results Ahead of Diwali Break

HDFC Bank will report FY2026 Q2 results on Saturday, 18 October 2025, with options prices implying a larger post-earnings move than historical...

Gaudenz Schneider

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