Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Pat Gelsinger took the helm at Intel last week after a decade-long hiatus. In a letter to employees, he reiterated that this was his dream job and set out four priorities, namely product leadership, flawless execution, faster innovation and a reignition of the company's culture. As priorities go, these are standard, off the shelf cookie cutter imperatives that could be used by the incoming CEO of almost any company and tell us little or nothing about the actual direction Intel will take. </p><p>Intel has the potential to be the technology turnaround story of the decade if not this century. If Gelsinger plays his cards right, Intel's market cap could quadruple to $1 trillion by 2026. Getting there will depend on Gelsinger implementing three key strategies. Here's what we think they are.</p>

Pat Gelsinger took the helm at Intel last week after a decade-long hiatus. In a letter to employees, he reiterated that this was his dream job and set out four priorities, namely product leadership, flawless execution, faster innovation and a reignition of the company's culture. As priorities go, these are standard, off the shelf cookie cutter imperatives that could be used by the incoming CEO of almost any company and tell us little or nothing about the actual direction Intel will take. Intel has the potential to be the technology turnaround story of the decade if not this century. If Gelsinger plays his cards right, Intel's market cap could quadruple to $1 trillion by 2026. Getting there will depend on Gelsinger implementing three key strategies. Here's what we think they are.

Intel. Reaching A $1 Trillion Market Cap In Five Years Depends On Three Key Strategies

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul class="">
<li>Xiaomi will not supply smartphones if authorized store keepers refuse to “upgrade” their stores.</li>
<li>Xiaomi’s shipment market share rose to No. 3 in the world after 6 years.</li>
<li>Xiaomi has an expanding opportunity inside China due to Huawei’s chip shortage.</li>
<li>We believe the downsize of store number aims to eliminate the competitor, OPPO, from the high-price market in China.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi will not supply smartphones if authorized store keepers refuse to “upgrade” their stores.
Xiaomi’s shipment market share rose to No. 3 in the world after 6 years.
Xiaomi has an expanding opportunity inside China due to Huawei’s chip shortage.
We believe the downsize of store number aims to eliminate the competitor, OPPO, from the high-price market in China.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): Terminate Contracts with Small Authorized Stores

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinxin-fertility-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28003:1" rel="noopener">Jinxin Fertility Co Ltd (1951 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>. Shorts increased on Real Estate, Communication Services and Information Technology, while decreasing on Consumer Discretionary, Health Care and Financials.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">freee (4478 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anritsu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3700:1" rel="noopener">Anritsu Corp (6754 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hino-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2144:1" rel="noopener">Hino Motors Ltd (7205 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon Inc (7751 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yaskawa-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2458:1" rel="noopener">Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiyo-yuden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9924:1" rel="noopener">Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP)</a>. Sectorally, shorts increased marginally in Information Technology and Consumer Staples, while decreasing in Industrials and Communication Services.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, short increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-engineering-construct" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15916:1" rel="noopener">GS Engineering &amp; Construction (006360 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hana-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12843:1" rel="noopener">Hana Financial (086790 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pegatron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12852:1" rel="noopener">Pegatron Corp (4938 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asmedia-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15732:1" rel="noopener">Asmedia Technology (5269 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-optronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6704:1" rel="noopener">Au Optronics (2409 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alchip-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20219:1" rel="noopener">Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flexium-interconnect-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15897:1" rel="noopener">Flexium Interconnect (6269 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Lenovo (992 HK), Tencent Holdings (700 HK), AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) while there was short covering on Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), Jinxin Fertility Co Ltd (1951 HK) and JD.com Inc. (9618 HK). Shorts increased on Real Estate, Communication Services and Information Technology, while decreasing on Consumer Discretionary, Health Care and Financials.In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), freee (4478 JP), Anritsu Corp (6754 JP) and Hino Motors Ltd (7205 JP) while shorts decreased on Itochu Corp (8001 JP), Canon Inc (7751 JP), Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP) and Taiyo Yuden (6976 JP). Sectorally, shorts increased marginally in Information Technology and Consumer Staples, while decreasing in Industrials and Communication Services.In Korea, short increased on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS), Samsung SDI (006400 KS) and Kia Motors Corp (000270 KS) while shorts decreased on Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), GS Engineering &amp; Construction (006360 KS) and Hana Financial (086790 KS). Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were Pegatron Corp (4938 TT), Asmedia Technology (5269 TT), TSMC (2330 TT) and Largan Precision (3008 TT) while shorts were covered on United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT), Au Optronics (2409 TT), Alchip Technologies (3661 TT) and Flexium Interconnect (6269 TT).

Asia Short Interest: Lenovo, AIA, Nongfu, Wuxi Bio, Toshiba, Freee, Canon, Samsung, Celltrion, TSMC

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)  </a>has formed a bullish wedge with long conviction to buy near lower wedge support. We are working into a long toward 79k.</p><p>SEC has underperformed the KOSPI (which is also forming a bull wedge with support at 390) but is massaging into a relative support for a fresh outperform phase.</p><p>Conviction rests with bullish set ups in SEC and the KOSPI to buy near term weakness. SEC will then be targeting a new high near 100k once above resistance.</p>

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)  has formed a bullish wedge with long conviction to buy near lower wedge support. We are working into a long toward 79k.SEC has underperformed the KOSPI (which is also forming a bull wedge with support at 390) but is massaging into a relative support for a fresh outperform phase.Conviction rests with bullish set ups in SEC and the KOSPI to buy near term weakness. SEC will then be targeting a new high near 100k once above resistance.

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.  </p><p><strong><em>Companies mentioned this week:</em></strong></p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-airtel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:953:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)</a> </p>

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.  Companies mentioned this week:TSMC (2330 TT), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ), Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) 

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 19 February 2021

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSD LI)

Intel. Reaching A $1 Trillion Market Cap In Five Years Depends On Three Key Strategies

Intel has the potential to be the turn around story of the decade. A $1 trillion market cap is achievable within 5 years, but it depends on the...

William Keating

Xiaomi (1810 HK): Terminate Contracts with Small Authorized Stores

Xiaomi will not supply smartphones if authorized store keepers refuse to “upgrade” their stores. We believe the downsize of store number aims to...

Ming Lu

Asia Short Interest: Lenovo, AIA, Nongfu, Wuxi Bio, Toshiba, Freee, Canon, Samsung, Celltrion, TSMC

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

SEC Long Entry

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has formed a bullish wedge with long conviction to buy near lower wedge support. We are working into a long toward...

Thomas Schroeder

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 19 February 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

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