Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SK Hynix CEO remains bullish on semiconductor industry growth, highlighting new opportunities amidst challenges like DeepSeek.</li><li>Oppo forges ahead with release of Find N5 foldable phone, undeterred by market slowdown in pursuit of growth and innovation.</li><li>EU greenlights funds for Infineon's Dresden fab in chip incentive effort, signaling continued support for semiconductor sector. Samsung exec receives sentence for leaking 18nm DRAM tech to CXMT, highlighting importance of protecting intellectual property.</li></ul>

SK Hynix CEO remains bullish on semiconductor industry growth, highlighting new opportunities amidst challenges like DeepSeek.Oppo forges ahead with release of Find N5 foldable phone, undeterred by market slowdown in pursuit of growth and innovation.EU greenlights funds for Infineon's Dresden fab in chip incentive effort, signaling continued support for semiconductor sector. Samsung exec receives sentence for leaking 18nm DRAM tech to CXMT, highlighting importance of protecting intellectual property.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Feb-2025): SK Hynix CEO optimistic on semiconductor industry post-DeepSeek.

<ul><li>Apple may move iPhone assembly to Indonesia to comply with local content rules and sales ban, shifting focus from Vietnam to India</li><li>India's AI ambitions hindered by GPU shortages and high costs, while 5G market projected to grow significantly by 2025 </li><li>BYD reveals 'God's Eye' smart driving system with budget-friendly aims, as Micron set to challenge Samsung in HBM3E market</li></ul>

Apple may move iPhone assembly to Indonesia to comply with local content rules and sales ban, shifting focus from Vietnam to IndiaIndia's AI ambitions hindered by GPU shortages and high costs, while 5G market projected to grow significantly by 2025 BYD reveals 'God's Eye' smart driving system with budget-friendly aims, as Micron set to challenge Samsung in HBM3E market

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Feb-2025): Apple may assemble iPhones in Indonesia to comply with local rules.

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Rebuilding Korea Party's hints about this bill since Thursday are seen as a key reason Samsung Electronics' stock has stalled, despite hype around affiliate shareholder returns.</li>
<li>With polls dipping, Lee is shifting right. Given the political shifts, pushing through the controversial Samsung Life Act seems unlikely for now.</li>
<li>Instead of focusing on legislative chances, we should see Samsung Electronics' stock stall as a short-term entry opportunity ahead of the shareholder return announcement</li>
</ul>


The Rebuilding Korea Party's hints about this bill since Thursday are seen as a key reason Samsung Electronics' stock has stalled, despite hype around affiliate shareholder returns.
With polls dipping, Lee is shifting right. Given the political shifts, pushing through the controversial Samsung Life Act seems unlikely for now.
Instead of focusing on legislative chances, we should see Samsung Electronics' stock stall as a short-term entry opportunity ahead of the shareholder return announcement


A Real-World Take on the Market Worries Around the Samsung Life Act Proposal

<ul>
<li>The 2nd phase of the buyback, around 3T KRW with a 3-month window, could drop this week, likely by mid- or end-week.</li>
<li>The market's worried Samsung might not retire the shares this time and could handle them differently.</li>
<li>The latest talk is that Samsung will retire the shares immediately, like Phase 1. This could be an inflection point for solid short-term price action—time to set up positions.</li>
</ul>


The 2nd phase of the buyback, around 3T KRW with a 3-month window, could drop this week, likely by mid- or end-week.
The market's worried Samsung might not retire the shares this time and could handle them differently.
The latest talk is that Samsung will retire the shares immediately, like Phase 1. This could be an inflection point for solid short-term price action—time to set up positions.


Samsung's 10T KRW Buyback Phase 2: The Timing of the Drop and How the Structure Is Looking

<ul>
<li>The market's reaction to Samsung Fire's stake sale seems overhyped. Given past share sales, Life may outperform Fire as this momentum unfolds.</li>
<li>I don’t see SDS merging with Samsung Electronics. It lacks synergy and could stir up PR issues. If Sammy’s stock stalls, Lee Jae-yong might sell more of his SDS stake.</li>
<li>I’m still bullish on Sammy prefs. If the tax reform passes, a special dividend, not a buyback, will be the cleanest way for Samsung to address inheritance tax.</li>
</ul>


The market's reaction to Samsung Fire's stake sale seems overhyped. Given past share sales, Life may outperform Fire as this momentum unfolds.
I don’t see SDS merging with Samsung Electronics. It lacks synergy and could stir up PR issues. If Sammy’s stock stalls, Lee Jae-yong might sell more of his SDS stake.
I’m still bullish on Sammy prefs. If the tax reform passes, a special dividend, not a buyback, will be the cleanest way for Samsung to address inheritance tax.


My Take on the Three Scenarios that Sammy Buyback Stirred up in the Market Today

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

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This post dives into the latest market intel on the timing and structure of Samsung Electronics' 10T KRW buyback Phase 2.

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My Take on the Three Scenarios that Sammy Buyback Stirred up in the Market Today

Samsung Life and Fire just pulled the trigger on offloading Sammy Electronics shares post-close. Life’s dumping 4.25M shares (KRW 236.4B), trimming...

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