Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been in a furious rally for 8 weeks recently, trashing completely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-tactical-outlook-and-profit-targets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our previous forecast</a> (we said the stock had limited upside, short-term forecast).</li>
<li>Stock is up 95% since its Feb 2025 low, we have been <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics</a> bulls <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-primed-for-a-rally-key-profit-targets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">at least since January 2025</a>, but surely we did not expect this monster rally.</li>
<li>The stock inevitably will pullback, and a 1.7 Trillion KRW block deal sale by the owners is in motion. We identify short-term support zones to buy during the incoming pullback.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been in a furious rally for 8 weeks recently, trashing completely our previous forecast (we said the stock had limited upside, short-term forecast).
Stock is up 95% since its Feb 2025 low, we have been Samsung Electronics bulls at least since January 2025, but surely we did not expect this monster rally.
The stock inevitably will pullback, and a 1.7 Trillion KRW block deal sale by the owners is in motion. We identify short-term support zones to buy during the incoming pullback.


Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): 1.7 T KRW Block Deal Sale, Where to Buy the Inevitable Pullback

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Near‑term flow looks muted: Shinhan likely drips ~0.3% SO stake into liquid tape, not a block. With ₩2tn daily turnover, market easily absorbs without price shock.</li>
<li>Top‑holder stake dips 20.14→19.84% post‑sale, but ₩10tn buyback cancels ~1.5ppt float, restoring 20.14%. The 0.3% selldown’s pre‑calculated; no real trading juice, flow impact minimal.</li>
<li>Inheritance‑tax overhang done, buyback cycle fading. Gov’t pressure plus family’s last selldown point to dividend ramp. Prefs at 23% discount vs 10% target set up clean reversion trade.</li>
</ul>


Near‑term flow looks muted: Shinhan likely drips ~0.3% SO stake into liquid tape, not a block. With ₩2tn daily turnover, market easily absorbs without price shock.
Top‑holder stake dips 20.14→19.84% post‑sale, but ₩10tn buyback cancels ~1.5ppt float, restoring 20.14%. The 0.3% selldown’s pre‑calculated; no real trading juice, flow impact minimal.
Inheritance‑tax overhang done, buyback cycle fading. Gov’t pressure plus family’s last selldown point to dividend ramp. Prefs at 23% discount vs 10% target set up clean reversion trade.


Final Samsung Electronics Stake Sale: Overhang Risk, Control Optics, & Clean Pref Reversion Trade

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>It was reported that Hong Ra-hee, Lee Boo-jin, and Lee Seo-hyun will be selling a combined 1.7 trillion won worth of Samsung Electronics to pay for inheritance taxes.</li>
<li>This stake sale by the Lee family will represent 0.3% of Samsung Electronics outstanding shares. </li>
<li>Samsung Electronics still trade at low multiples and its valuations remain attractive. Its recent strategic partnership with OpenAI regarding the Stargate project also remain a major positive catalyst. </li>
</ul>


It was reported that Hong Ra-hee, Lee Boo-jin, and Lee Seo-hyun will be selling a combined 1.7 trillion won worth of Samsung Electronics to pay for inheritance taxes.
This stake sale by the Lee family will represent 0.3% of Samsung Electronics outstanding shares. 
Samsung Electronics still trade at low multiples and its valuations remain attractive. Its recent strategic partnership with OpenAI regarding the Stargate project also remain a major positive catalyst. 


Block Deal Sale of 1.7 Trillion Won Worth of Samsung Electronics

<ul>
<li>Kim Yong-beom proposed cutting eligibility to 25%+ payout firms and hinted the Presidential Office may slash the dividend tax ceiling to 25%, potentially the boldest move yet.</li>
<li>Short-Term spotlight: large-cap 25–40% payout stocks, led by Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor. Kim Yong-beom hinted the Presidential Office wants them included to drive dividend growth.</li>
<li>Big-Cap 25–40% payout stocks, especially Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor, could see heavy flows, with their preferred shares poised to outperform in the near term.</li>
</ul>


Kim Yong-beom proposed cutting eligibility to 25%+ payout firms and hinted the Presidential Office may slash the dividend tax ceiling to 25%, potentially the boldest move yet.
Short-Term spotlight: large-cap 25–40% payout stocks, led by Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor. Kim Yong-beom hinted the Presidential Office wants them included to drive dividend growth.
Big-Cap 25–40% payout stocks, especially Samsung Elec and Hyundai Motor, could see heavy flows, with their preferred shares poised to outperform in the near term.


Korea’s Div Tax Story Suddenly Hits a Radical Inflection: Targeting Samsung Elec & Hyundai Motor

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Back on 6 November 2024, we published an insight called 2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics. In this insight, we provide an update of Samsung Electronics.</li>
<li>Samsung Electronics reported operating profit of 12.1 trillion won (up 31.8% YoY and 18.7% higher than consensus) in 3Q 2025.</li>
<li>The final installment of the 12 trillion won+ inheritance tax is due in April 2026.</li>
</ul>


Back on 6 November 2024, we published an insight called 2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics. In this insight, we provide an update of Samsung Electronics.
Samsung Electronics reported operating profit of 12.1 trillion won (up 31.8% YoY and 18.7% higher than consensus) in 3Q 2025.
The final installment of the 12 trillion won+ inheritance tax is due in April 2026.


An Update of Our 2025 High Conviction Pick: Samsung Electronics

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS): 1.7 T KRW Block Deal Sale, Where to Buy the Inevitable Pullback

​Samsung Electronics is up 95% since its Feb 2025 low. Currently 8 weeks up in a row. We predict a tactical pullback and offer support zone...

Nico Rosti

Final Samsung Electronics Stake Sale: Overhang Risk, Control Optics, & Clean Pref Reversion Trade

This post analyzes the final Samsung Electronics stake sale by the founding family—highlighting near-term overhang risk, control optics, and a...

Sanghyun Park

Block Deal Sale of 1.7 Trillion Won Worth of Samsung Electronics

It was reported that Hong Ra-hee, Lee Boo-jin, and Lee Seo-hyun will be selling a combined 1.7 trillion won (US$1.2 billion) worth of Samsung...

Douglas Kim

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The Presidential Office’s policy chief just signaled the upcoming dividend tax reform could be far more aggressive than expected, directly...

Sanghyun Park

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Back on 6 November 2024, we published an insight called 2025 High Conviction: Samsung Electronics. In this insight, we provide an update of Samsung...

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Samsung Electronics is up 95% since its Feb 2025 low. Currently 8 weeks up in a row. We predict a tactical pullback and offer support zone...