Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>It was announced that <a href="https://biz.chosun.com/industry/company/2021/10/09/3RSJJ472C5DHPKNURGL4YSJCFE/?utm_source=naver&amp;utm_medium=original&amp;utm_campaign=biz" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hong Ra-Hee</a> (wife of the late Samsung Chairman Lee Gun-Hee) will sell about 1.43 trillion won worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) </a>in order to pay for inheritance taxes. This represents 19.94 million shares at 71,500 won per share of Samsung Electronics.</p>
<p>In addition to Hong Ra-Hee's sale of Samsung Electronics, her daughters Lee Bu-Jin and Lee Seo-Hyun will sell 0.73 trillion won worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sds-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:509:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Sds (018260 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-life-insurance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:510:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS)</a>. Thus, the total amount of Samsung Group related shares (including Samsung Electronics) to be sold in this sale is about 2.2 trillion won ($1.8 billion).</p>
<p>The stake sale of Samsung Electronics could be quickly absorbed by the market while the sale sales of Samsung SDS and Samsung Life Insurance could take more time to digest. In addition, this will be a recurring event every year for the next five years with the Lee family continuing to sell down their stakes in Samsung Electronics and other Samsung affiliates in order to pay off the exorbitant amount of inheritance taxes. We believe that there could be continued concerns about this inheritance tax sale of Samsung SDS, Samsung Life Insurance, and Samsung Electronics which could further pressure these stocks negatively in the near term. </p>
</div>


It was announced that Hong Ra-Hee (wife of the late Samsung Chairman Lee Gun-Hee) will sell about 1.43 trillion won worth of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) in order to pay for inheritance taxes. This represents 19.94 million shares at 71,500 won per share of Samsung Electronics.
In addition to Hong Ra-Hee's sale of Samsung Electronics, her daughters Lee Bu-Jin and Lee Seo-Hyun will sell 0.73 trillion won worth of Samsung Sds (018260 KS) and Samsung Life Insurance (032830 KS). Thus, the total amount of Samsung Group related shares (including Samsung Electronics) to be sold in this sale is about 2.2 trillion won ($1.8 billion).
The stake sale of Samsung Electronics could be quickly absorbed by the market while the sale sales of Samsung SDS and Samsung Life Insurance could take more time to digest. In addition, this will be a recurring event every year for the next five years with the Lee family continuing to sell down their stakes in Samsung Electronics and other Samsung affiliates in order to pay off the exorbitant amount of inheritance taxes. We believe that there could be continued concerns about this inheritance tax sale of Samsung SDS, Samsung Life Insurance, and Samsung Electronics which could further pressure these stocks negatively in the near term. 


Lee Family to Sell 2.2 Trillion Won Worth of Samsung Group Affiliates to Pay for Inheritance Tax

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Event-Driven

<h2>3Q provision results</h2><p>Samsung Electronics disclosed its provisional 3Q results in a regulatory filing. Its quarterly sales are 73 trillion won, and operating profit is 15.8 trillion won.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/234/203/original/2.png?1633710725" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="234203"></figure><p>The operating profit is almost in line with the consensus of 15,831.1 billion won of the 22 local brokerages compiled by FnGuide, although the sales are slightly short of hitting the consensus, which I don't think would be a big deal.</p>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/234/204/original/3.png?1633711857" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="234204"></figure></section><div class="content-caption"></div>
<p>Hence, Samsung Electronics' provisional earnings for this quarter were exactly within the market's expectations, so they did not significantly affect the share price immediately after the announcement.</p>
<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/234/205/original/1.png?1633712016" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="234205"></figure></section></section>

3Q provision resultsSamsung Electronics disclosed its provisional 3Q results in a regulatory filing. Its quarterly sales are 73 trillion won, and operating profit is 15.8 trillion won.The operating profit is almost in line with the consensus of 15,831.1 billion won of the 22 local brokerages compiled by FnGuide, although the sales are slightly short of hitting the consensus, which I don't think would be a big deal.

Hence, Samsung Electronics' provisional earnings for this quarter were exactly within the market's expectations, so they did not significantly affect the share price immediately after the announcement.


Samsung Electronics Yearend Special Dividend Possibility Checkup

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<p>This insight provides the output, and an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index. </p><p>The model is based on 1) a typical quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two Artificial Intelligence Technology-based approaches using 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model. </p><p>This model, which has been developed and tweaked over the past 3 years (and implemented in its current state for 17 months), has a solid real-world performance track record, which I set out in the detail below. </p><p>Notable new entrants to the top decile this month include the beaten-down Chinese tech names such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> as well as two Brazilian large caps in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa-7721577f-6c6a-4536-a829-92551c2bcd7f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27725:1" rel="noopener">Vale SA (VALE3 BZ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a>.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
<col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 48pt;">rank</td>
<td style="width: 169pt;">Name</td>
<td style="width: 119pt;">Sector</td>
<td style="width: 95pt;">Location</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 48pt;">prev.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group (9901 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Communication</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> </td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>Korea (South)</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">16</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">91</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa-7721577f-6c6a-4536-a829-92551c2bcd7f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27725:1" rel="noopener">Vale SA (VALE3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Materials</td>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">38</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Staples</td>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">35</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambev-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24454:1" rel="noopener">Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ)</a> </td>
<td>Communication</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">43</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">23</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
<td>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> </td>
<td>Consumer Discretionary</td>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">79</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align: left;">Source: FactSet financial data and analytics, my estimates and calculations, Tensorflow, Keras, Google Colaboratory, pandas</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p><em>As usual, please feel free to reach out for the full output table, any questions, clarifications needed or suggestions. </em></p>

This insight provides the output, and an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, which takes a three-pronged approach to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 largest stocks in the MSCI GEM Index. The model is based on 1) a typical quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two Artificial Intelligence Technology-based approaches using 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model. This model, which has been developed and tweaked over the past 3 years (and implemented in its current state for 17 months), has a solid real-world performance track record, which I set out in the detail below. Notable new entrants to the top decile this month include the beaten-down Chinese tech names such as Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK) , and JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) as well as two Brazilian large caps in Vale SA (VALE3 BZ) and Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ).









rank
Name
Sector
Location
prev.


1

New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group (9901 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
10


2

NetEase (9999 HK) 
Communication
China
5


3

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 
Information Technology
Korea (South)
16


4

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) 
Information Technology
China
91


5

Alibaba Group (9988 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
34


6

Vale SA (VALE3 BZ) 
Materials
Brazil
38


7

Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ) 
Consumer Staples
Brazil
35


8

Ambev SA (ABEV3 BZ) 
Communication
China
43


9

Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) 
Financials
China
23


10

JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) 
Consumer Discretionary
China
79

Source: FactSet financial data and analytics, my estimates and calculations, Tensorflow, Keras, Google Colaboratory, pandas

As usual, please feel free to reach out for the full output table, any questions, clarifications needed or suggestions. 

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headline Developments</h2><p>Samsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron wiring map into a 3D “neuromorphic” chip. The approach, outlined in this paper, aims to reverse engineer the brain by copying the synaptic connectivity map of the brain (below right) and pasting the map onto a high-density 3D solid-state memory network.</p>

Headline DevelopmentsSamsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron wiring map into a 3D “neuromorphic” chip. The approach, outlined in this paper, aims to reverse engineer the brain by copying the synaptic connectivity map of the brain (below right) and pasting the map onto a high-density 3D solid-state memory network.

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

SGX Asia Currencies and Commodities Insights

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Lee Family to Sell 2.2 Trillion Won Worth of Samsung Group Affiliates to Pay for Inheritance Tax

It was announced that Hong Ra-Hee and her two daughters plan to sell about 2.2 trillion won worth of Samsung Group related shares to pay for...

Douglas Kim

Samsung Electronics Yearend Special Dividend Possibility Checkup

This is a follow-up insight on the possibility of Samsung Electronics' yearend special dividend for this year after Samsung disclosed the interim...

Sanghyun Park

Screening for GEMs: October 2021

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #51

Samsung (005930.KS) and Harvard University have published new research outlining the vision of copying the brain’s neuron...

Granite Bay Capital

SGX Asia Currencies and Commodities Insights

By Macro Hive SGX Asia Currencies Insights Yuan stability should continue given financial stability risks from Evergrande. We favour being...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)