Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.</li>
<li>A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.</li>
<li>Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.</li>
</ul>


Following the short sell ban announced on the weekend, the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 opened higher on Monday and rallied through the day.
A lot of the intraday gains on Monday have been given up over the next two trading days. Surprisingly, KRX data indicates that not a lot of shorts have covered.
Foreigners have been net cash buyers since Monday (could indicate covering of offshore borrow) while retail were big sellers on Monday.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corporation-class-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> smartphone ASP grew 25% QoQ thanks to the premiumization strategy, which helps to cover the bleeding from the EV unit. </li>
<li>The ASP hike unfortunately won't be enough to cover the ongoing loss from the EV unit, even from the dual-screen new units. </li>
<li>With the launch of Beijing Phase II and SkyNomad SUV series, Xiaomi may be able to sell more than 40,000 units/month, which adds back RMB 2.6 billion. </li>
</ul>



Xiaomi (1810 HK) smartphone ASP grew 25% QoQ thanks to the premiumization strategy, which helps to cover the bleeding from the EV unit. 
The ASP hike unfortunately won't be enough to cover the ongoing loss from the EV unit, even from the dual-screen new units. 
With the launch of Beijing Phase II and SkyNomad SUV series, Xiaomi may be able to sell more than 40,000 units/month, which adds back RMB 2.6 billion. 


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Transsion Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, raised HKD 2,968.0m (USD 378.2m) and will list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.</li>
</ul>


Transsion, a mobile phone maker focused on Africa and other emerging markets, raised HKD 2,968.0m (USD 378.2m) and will list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.


Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>In our previous, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-tactical-outlook-correction-over-but-upside-limited" target="_blank" rel="noopener">June 29 insight</a> about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> we theorized the bottom was probably over, but the correction continued and hit a new low this Tuesday.</li>
<li>Memory and storage stocks are selling off sharply globally on July 7, after Samsung Electronics  earnings apparently disappointed investors, despite the record $58B operating profit.</li>
<li>This is happening just ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> Friday IPO. Our model sees asymmetric risk opportunities here: <strong>cheaper prices lead to a BUY signal.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


In our previous, June 29 insight about Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) we theorized the bottom was probably over, but the correction continued and hit a new low this Tuesday.
Memory and storage stocks are selling off sharply globally on July 7, after Samsung Electronics  earnings apparently disappointed investors, despite the record $58B operating profit.
This is happening just ahead of SK Hynix (000660 KS) Friday IPO. Our model sees asymmetric risk opportunities here: cheaper prices lead to a BUY signal.



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook UPDATE Ahead of SK Hynix IPO On Friday

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Not a lot of shorts were covered on Monday. There could be more covering in the near term as the market drifts lower. KOSPI200 underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Xiaomi (1810): Hinges on the EV

After a poor profitability period, it looks a bit better after Xiaomi recorded a higher ASP from its smartphone unit, covering for the bleeding EV...

Henry Soediarko

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO Trading

Transsion raised USD 378m in net proceeds to list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026. We are cautious on debut performance given weak subscription.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook UPDATE Ahead of SK Hynix IPO On Friday

Samsung Electronics' correction hit new lows this week, despite record earnings profits. The memory/storage stocks sell off is a BUY opportunity...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Korea Short Sell Ban: Not a Lot Covered on Monday; Shorts Holding On?

Not a lot of shorts were covered on Monday. There could be more covering in the near term as the market drifts lower. KOSPI200 underperformed...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Xiaomi (1810): Hinges on the EV

After a poor profitability period, it looks a bit better after Xiaomi recorded a higher ASP from its smartphone unit, covering for the bleeding EV...

Henry Soediarko

Transsion (传音控股) A+H IPO Trading

Transsion raised USD 378m in net proceeds to list on HKEX on Thursday, 15 Oct 2026. We are cautious on debut performance given weak subscription.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook UPDATE Ahead of SK Hynix IPO On Friday

​Samsung Electronics' correction hit new lows this week, despite record earnings profits. The memory/storage stocks sell off is a BUY opportunity...

Nico Rosti

Samsung Electronics' correction hit new lows this week, despite record earnings profits. The memory/storage stocks sell off is a BUY opportunity...