Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

The broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) have pulled back to test key intermediate-term supports, and we expect to see buyers step in near current levels. Market dynamics remain largely healthy and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall. We see this pullback as a buying opportunity, however breakdowns would be problematic and would suggest additional downside or consolidation is likely.

The broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) have pulled back to test key intermediate-term supports, and we expect to see buyers step in near current levels. Market dynamics remain largely healthy and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall. We see this pullback as a buying opportunity, however breakdowns would be problematic and would suggest additional downside or consolidation is likely.

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Equity Bottom-Up

<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/214/158/original/1.png?1624239576" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="214158"></figure>
</section>
I just read the book <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&amp;keywords=samsung+rising&amp;qid=1623743594&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref%3Dsr_1_1?dchild%3D1%26keywords%3Dsamsung%2Brising%26qid%3D1623743594%26sr%3D8-1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1624323969123000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGC2aiiwDMsNjEfaxR0gESTgnBzqg" rel="noopener">Samsung Rising</a> by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.
Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.
This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.




I just read the book Samsung Rising by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.
Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.
This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Korea has a total of 121 preferred shares.<div class="content-highlight">You can find all the preferred share names in Korea with the disparity to the ordinary shares and the sigma on a 20-day moving average in the attached file.</div><hr>6 prefs in total have a market cap of more than ₩1T. The largest one is Samsung Electronics 1P featuring a market cap of ₩61.6T.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Pref"}'>Top 10 largest market cap prefs in Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap (₩B)"}'>Market cap (₩B)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samsung Electronics Co Ltd Preference Shares Non Voting"}'>Samsung Electronics Co Ltd Preference Shares Non Voting</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005935"}'>005935</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":61551.92516}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>61,551.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Motor S2 Pref Shs"}'>Hyundai Motor S2 Pref Shs</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005387"}'>005387</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4049.885061}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>4,049.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Chem Ltd Preference Shares"}'>LG Chem Ltd Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"051915"}'>051915</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3344.628}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>3,344.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Motor S1 Pref Shs"}'>Hyundai Motor S1 Pref Shs</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005385"}'>005385</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2752.305405}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>2,752.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd Preference Shares"}'>LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"051905"}'>051905</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1553.77578}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>1,553.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Electronics Inc. Preference Shares"}'>LG Electronics Inc. Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"066575"}'>066575</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1254.577416}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>1,254.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Amorepacific Corp Preference Shares"}'>Amorepacific Corp Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"090435"}'>090435</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":978.710841}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>978.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samsung SDI Co Ltd Preferred Shares"}'>Samsung SDI Co Ltd Preferred Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"006405"}'>006405</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":711.065292}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>711.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Mirae Asset Securities 2PB"}'>Mirae Asset Securities 2PB</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"00680K"}'>00680K</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":697.9}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>697.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. Preference Shares"}'>Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"071055"}'>071055</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":521.384339}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,2,"#,##0.0"]'>521.4</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3">Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>These are the top 10 preferred shares having the widest disparity to the ordinary shares. Solus Advanced Materials 1P tops the list with a 66.87% disparity. 4 prefs in total are above a 60% disparity to their respective ordinary share. A total of 19 prefs have a +50% disparity to the ordinary shares.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="200">
<col width="70">
<col width="70">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Pref"}'>Top 10 prefs having the widest disparity to ordinary share in Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Disparity to ordinary share"}'>Disparity to ordinary share</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Solus Advanced Materials 1P"}'>Solus Advanced Materials 1P</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"33637K"}'>33637K</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.668693009118541}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>66.87%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Amorepacific Corp Preference Shares"}'>Amorepacific Corp Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"090435"}'>090435</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6653429602888087}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>66.53%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"AmoreG 1P Pref Shs"}'>AmoreG 1P Pref Shs</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"002795"}'>002795</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6418918918918919}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>64.19%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Fuel Cell 1P"}'>Doosan Fuel Cell 1P</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"33626K"}'>33626K</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6262626262626263}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>62.63%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Nexen Tire Corp Preference Shares"}'>Nexen Tire Corp Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"002355"}'>002355</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5765124555160143}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>57.65%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"BYC Co., Ltd Preference Shares"}'>BYC Co., Ltd Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"001465"}'>001465</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5660621761658031}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>56.61%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Doosan Fuel Cell 2PB"}'>Doosan Fuel Cell 2PB</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"33626L"}'>33626L</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5391414141414141}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>53.91%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hyundai Motor S3 Pref Shs"}'>Hyundai Motor S3 Pref Shs</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005389"}'>005389</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5357142857142857}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>53.57%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd Preference Shares"}'>LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"051905"}'>051905</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5289624443029918}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>52.90%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LG Chem Ltd Preference Shares"}'>LG Chem Ltd Preference Shares</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"051915"}'>051915</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5266594124047879}' data-sheets-numberformat='[null,3,"0.00%",1]'>52.67%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="3">Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Korea has a total of 121 preferred shares.You can find all the preferred share names in Korea with the disparity to the ordinary shares and the sigma on a 20-day moving average in the attached file.6 prefs in total have a market cap of more than ₩1T. The largest one is Samsung Electronics 1P featuring a market cap of ₩61.6T.







Top 10 largest market cap prefs in Korea
Ticker
Market cap (₩B)


Samsung Electronics Co Ltd Preference Shares Non Voting
005935
61,551.9


Hyundai Motor S2 Pref Shs
005387
4,049.9


LG Chem Ltd Preference Shares
051915
3,344.6


Hyundai Motor S1 Pref Shs
005385
2,752.3


LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd Preference Shares
051905
1,553.8


LG Electronics Inc. Preference Shares
066575
1,254.6


Amorepacific Corp Preference Shares
090435
978.7


Samsung SDI Co Ltd Preferred Shares
006405
711.1


Mirae Asset Securities 2PB
00680K
697.9


Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. Preference Shares
071055
521.4

Source: KRX

These are the top 10 preferred shares having the widest disparity to the ordinary shares. Solus Advanced Materials 1P tops the list with a 66.87% disparity. 4 prefs in total are above a 60% disparity to their respective ordinary share. A total of 19 prefs have a +50% disparity to the ordinary shares.







Top 10 prefs having the widest disparity to ordinary share in Korea
Ticker
Disparity to ordinary share


Solus Advanced Materials 1P
33637K
66.87%


Amorepacific Corp Preference Shares
090435
66.53%


AmoreG 1P Pref Shs
002795
64.19%


Doosan Fuel Cell 1P
33626K
62.63%


Nexen Tire Corp Preference Shares
002355
57.65%


BYC Co., Ltd Preference Shares
001465
56.61%


Doosan Fuel Cell 2PB
33626L
53.91%


Hyundai Motor S3 Pref Shs
005389
53.57%


LG Household &amp; Healthcare Ltd Preference Shares
051905
52.90%


LG Chem Ltd Preference Shares
051915
52.67%

Source: KRX



Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

NPS has been selling big in Korea in recent weeks. It was reported that NPS and other local pension funds sold nearly 6.5 trillion won of Korean stocks this year (as of 21 January). The NPS has net sold for 18 consecutive trading days.The local retail investors and foreign investors have been increasing their stakes in the major Korean stocks this year driving the Korean stock market higher. However, there are some growing concerns that NPS has been selling big in Korea and may continue to do so in the near future, as many Korean stocks reach their all time highs. Furthermore, among the 50 top stocks in Korea, NPS added to its position on just 4 of these stocks and reduced its stake in 17 of them (of the ones that have shown changes in ownership stake in the dart system). These four stocks (including NCsoft, SK Innovation, Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, and POSCO Chemical) that NPS added to its positions are worth further reviews since it shows that NPS is especially more bullish on the outlook of these companies. These four stocks are up on average 20.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 9.3% YTD.

NPS has been selling big in Korea in recent weeks. It was reported that NPS and other local pension funds sold nearly 6.5 trillion won of Korean stocks this year (as of 21 January). The NPS has net sold for 18 consecutive trading days.The local retail investors and foreign investors have been increasing their stakes in the major Korean stocks this year driving the Korean stock market higher. However, there are some growing concerns that NPS has been selling big in Korea and may continue to do so in the near future, as many Korean stocks reach their all time highs. Furthermore, among the 50 top stocks in Korea, NPS added to its position on just 4 of these stocks and reduced its stake in 17 of them (of the ones that have shown changes in ownership stake in the dart system). These four stocks (including NCsoft, SK Innovation, Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, and POSCO Chemical) that NPS added to its positions are worth further reviews since it shows that NPS is especially more bullish on the outlook of these companies. These four stocks are up on average 20.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is up 9.3% YTD.

South Korea

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US) are testing important intermediate-term support levels of $99, $54, and $76.50...

Vermilion Research

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

We see early signs of positive change within EM, and we present a strong case as to why we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure.

Vermilion Research

Samsung Is In A Crucial Transition

Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia, covering Samsung's history, where it is today and its future

Asian Century Stocks

Korea Prefs Long/Short Pairs Trade Ideas

This post investigates all of Korea's 121 preferred shares for their disparity ratio to the ordinary shares and sigma on a 20-day moving average to...

Sanghyun Park

NPS Is Selling Big in Korea - Why?

NPS has been selling big in Korea in recent weeks. It was reported that NPS and other local pension funds sold nearly 6.5 trillion won of Korean...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)