Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a> results came out strong and indicated a real turnaround potential that has started in 4Q25, thanks to the shift from EV battery to ESS. </li>
<li>SDI is a beneficiary of the massive surge in AI capex spending, in addition to its EV battery business that recently won a mandate from Mercedez. </li>
<li>There could be an additional USD 315 million from AMPC on 2H26 from SDI's operation in the US through its JV with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stellantis-nv-847415d2-edbe-4b97-b9c9-bece87ed6f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27920:1" rel="noopener">Stellantis NV (STLAM IM)</a> </li>
</ul>



Samsung SDI (006400 KS) results came out strong and indicated a real turnaround potential that has started in 4Q25, thanks to the shift from EV battery to ESS. 
SDI is a beneficiary of the massive surge in AI capex spending, in addition to its EV battery business that recently won a mandate from Mercedez. 
There could be an additional USD 315 million from AMPC on 2H26 from SDI's operation in the US through its JV with Stellantis NV (STLAM IM) 


Samsung SDI (006400): Turnaround and AMPC

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are no constituent changes but there will be capping changes for some stocks.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$360m.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are estimated to be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eve-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14769:1" rel="noopener">EVE Energy</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdk-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18847:1" rel="noopener">TDK Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naura-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2333:1" rel="noopener">NAURA Technology Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technolog" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology</a>.</li>
</ul>


Solactive has announced the review results for the Global Lithium Index. There are no constituent changes but there will be capping changes for some stocks.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a round-trip trade of US$360m.
The largest inflows are estimated to be in Tesla , BYD , EVE Energy, LG Energy Solution, TDK Corp, NAURA Technology Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology.


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Capping Changes in April

<ul>
<li>Mercedes has joined <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bayerische-motoren-werke-ag-bmw-72824b26-c157-46b2-bafe-650cb75a091f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21591:1" rel="noopener">Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) (BMW GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stellantis-nv-847415d2-edbe-4b97-b9c9-bece87ed6f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27920:1" rel="noopener">Stellantis NV (STLAM IM)</a> as customers of Samsung SDI. </li>
<li>We chronicled the different phase of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a> development and how the PER varied over time, reflecting the business condition. </li>
<li>EU EV subsidy has moved on from simple grants to Industrial Protectionism that benefit players with local manufacturing facilities like Samsung SDI. The difference is 15-25% per vehicle. </li>
</ul>


Mercedes has joined Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW) (BMW GR) and Stellantis NV (STLAM IM) as customers of Samsung SDI. 
We chronicled the different phase of Samsung SDI (006400 KS) development and how the PER varied over time, reflecting the business condition. 
EU EV subsidy has moved on from simple grants to Industrial Protectionism that benefit players with local manufacturing facilities like Samsung SDI. The difference is 15-25% per vehicle. 


Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.</li>
<li>Will this 7% upside move be a fake reversal or the start of a strong, sustainable momentum trade driven by a potential 17 trillion won inflow into the KOSDAQ companies?</li>
<li>The Korean government is trying to encourage the injection of nearly 17 trillion won into KOSDAQ listed companies through venture capital (raised through integrated market assets (IMAs) and commercial papers).</li>
</ul>


The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.
Will this 7% upside move be a fake reversal or the start of a strong, sustainable momentum trade driven by a potential 17 trillion won inflow into the KOSDAQ companies?
The Korean government is trying to encourage the injection of nearly 17 trillion won into KOSDAQ listed companies through venture capital (raised through integrated market assets (IMAs) and commercial papers).


KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

South Korea

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

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Samsung SDI (006400 KS)

Samsung SDI (006400): Turnaround and AMPC

Samsung SDI's strong results signal a turnaround potential driven by shift to ESS, AI capex surge, awith potential USD 315 million from US...

Henry Soediarko

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Capping Changes in April

There are no constituent changes for the index in April, but there are capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a...

Brian Freitas

Samsung SDI (006400): More to Come

Mercedes, BMW, and Stellantis NV are now customers of Samsung SDI. It will also benefit from EU EV subsidies favoring players with local...

Henry Soediarko

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.

Douglas Kim

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Samsung SDI (006400): Turnaround and AMPC

​Samsung SDI's strong results signal a turnaround potential driven by shift to ESS, AI capex surge, awith potential USD 315 million from US...

Henry Soediarko

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: Capping Changes in April

There are no constituent changes for the index in April, but there are capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and will result in a...

Brian Freitas

Samsung SDI (006400): More to Come

​Mercedes, BMW, and Stellantis NV are now customers of Samsung SDI. It will also benefit from EU EV subsidies favoring players with local...

Henry Soediarko

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ's 7% Rise Today - A Fake Reversal or Sustainable by a Potential 17 Trillion Won Inflow?

The KOSDAQ index rose by 7.1% today to 1,064.4 today which was one of the largest single day returns for KOSDAQ in the past three decades.

Douglas Kim

Samsung SDI's strong results signal a turnaround potential driven by shift to ESS, AI capex surge, awith potential USD 315 million from US...

Mercedes, BMW, and Stellantis NV are now customers of Samsung SDI. It will also benefit from EU EV subsidies favoring players with local...