Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In addition to Lotte Confectionery, Samyang Foods is also in the inclusion zone. As for deletions, Samyang Holdings and Boryung are the most likely deletes at this point.</li>
<li>Samyang Foods and Boryung have a small passive impact but have way more liquidity than Lotte and Samyang Holdings. We should approach them differently depending on the target trading window.</li>
<li>Samyang Foods is in a tight situation, and Boryung's fate depends on Samyang Foods. But given the recent price trends, Samyang Foods appears to have a good shot.</li>
</ul>


In addition to Lotte Confectionery, Samyang Foods is also in the inclusion zone. As for deletions, Samyang Holdings and Boryung are the most likely deletes at this point.
Samyang Foods and Boryung have a small passive impact but have way more liquidity than Lotte and Samyang Holdings. We should approach them differently depending on the target trading window.
Samyang Foods is in a tight situation, and Boryung's fate depends on Samyang Foods. But given the recent price trends, Samyang Foods appears to have a good shot.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Recent Changes in the Race

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>China has started to suspend nearly 2,000 food products from Taiwan to China as it protests a visit to Taipei by the US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi.</li>
<li>While this move will negatively impact the food producers in Taiwan, this will positively impact some of the major F&amp;B companies in Korea that sell their products in China.</li>
<li>Korean F&amp;B companies such as Crown Confectionery and Lotte Confectionery will likely to benefit from this ban as it results in reduced competition from major Taiwanese food companies in China. </li>
</ul>


China has started to suspend nearly 2,000 food products from Taiwan to China as it protests a visit to Taipei by the US Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi.
While this move will negatively impact the food producers in Taiwan, this will positively impact some of the major F&amp;B companies in Korea that sell their products in China.
Korean F&amp;B companies such as Crown Confectionery and Lotte Confectionery will likely to benefit from this ban as it results in reduced competition from major Taiwanese food companies in China. 


Suspension of 2,000 Taiwan Food Products by China: Start of an Economic Warfare?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hyundai Home Shopping Network / Index Rebalance

Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS)

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period, we see one potential change. There are four stocks that are close to inclusion zone and could lead to more changes.</li>
<li>Currently, Miwon Specialty Chemical Co (268280 KS) is an add while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-home-shopping-network-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2357:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS)</a> is a delete.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samyang-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9100:1" rel="noopener">Samyang Foods (003230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-confectionery-co-ltd-1feb0155-08b6-44eb-bdbd-8d67cf757dac" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25993:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Confectionery (280360 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unid-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11197:1" rel="noopener">Unid Co Ltd (014830 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miwon-commercial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13416:1" rel="noopener">Miwon Commercial (002840 KS)</a> are close adds currently.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period, we see one potential change. There are four stocks that are close to inclusion zone and could lead to more changes.
Currently, Miwon Specialty Chemical Co (268280 KS) is an add while Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS) is a delete.

Samyang Foods (003230 KS), Lotte Confectionery (280360 KS), Unid Co Ltd (014830 KS) and Miwon Commercial (002840 KS) are close adds currently.


KOSPI200 Dec Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Nearing the Inclusion Zone

<ul>
<li>As expected, most of the KOSPI 200 deletions, except for Bukwang Pharm, significantly outperformed the KOSPI index today.</li>
<li>Those that fit the pattern shown in the last rebalancing are CJ CGV and Bukwang. The problem, however, is that they have potential events triggering their price to fall.</li>
<li>So, I suggest paying attention to Yungjin Pharm and SK Discovery, which also have a sizable level of short interest and are expected to have stable short-coverings by end-June.</li>
</ul>


As expected, most of the KOSPI 200 deletions, except for Bukwang Pharm, significantly outperformed the KOSPI index today.
Those that fit the pattern shown in the last rebalancing are CJ CGV and Bukwang. The problem, however, is that they have potential events triggering their price to fall.
So, I suggest paying attention to Yungjin Pharm and SK Discovery, which also have a sizable level of short interest and are expected to have stable short-coverings by end-June.


Short-Covering Trend of KOSPI 200 Deletions by Month-End

<ul>
<li>Short-Selling is not possible after being deleted from the KOSPI 200. So, active short-covering for deletions is witnessed before and after the rebalancing implementation.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-cgv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2885:1" rel="noopener">CJ CGV (079160 KS)</a></strong> stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.10% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most over the past month.</li>
<li>The short-covering/price movement started to be observed from the end of the prior month. So, I'd consider building positions from the third week of this month.</li>
</ul>


Short-Selling is not possible after being deleted from the KOSPI 200. So, active short-covering for deletions is witnessed before and after the rebalancing implementation.

CJ CGV (079160 KS) stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.10% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most over the past month.
The short-covering/price movement started to be observed from the end of the prior month. So, I'd consider building positions from the third week of this month.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Trade Short Covering Event for Deletions

South Korea

Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. manufactures instant and processed food products, such as noodles, snacks, cooking oil, and feed.  The Company also produces dairy goods including milk, cheese, and ice cream.

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Samyang Foods (003230 KS)

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Recent Changes in the Race

This post investigates the recent changes in the upcoming rebalancing of the KOSPI 200 and discusses the resulting passive impacts and trading...

Sanghyun Park

Suspension of 2,000 Taiwan Food Products by China: Start of an Economic Warfare?

China has started to suspend nearly 2,000 food products from Taiwan to China as it protests a visit to Taipei by the US Speaker of the House Nancy...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Dec Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Nearing the Inclusion Zone

We currently see one potential change to the KOSPI200 in Dec, though there are 4 more changes possible. There will be a lot to trade on some stocks...

Brian Freitas

Short-Covering Trend of KOSPI 200 Deletions by Month-End

This post investigates the pattern shown in the last KOSPI 200 rebalancing for short-covering on the deletions and applies it to this rebalancing...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Trade Short Covering Event for Deletions

This post discusses the trading opportunities on the short-covering event for the deletions in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalancing.

Sanghyun Park

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