Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 13 October, Value Partners has come out in support of Samyang Holdings (000070 KS)'s equity spin-off plan but on the condition that the company must cancel its treasury shares.</li>
<li>Value Partners believes Samyang Holdings is currently severely undervalued, trading at a P/B of 0.34x. A shareholders meeting for Samyang Holdings is scheduled for 14 October. </li>
<li>We have a positive view of this equity spin-off. Our NAV valuation of Samyang Holdings suggests an implied price per share of 127,138 won (28.6% higher than current price).</li>
</ul>


On 13 October, Value Partners has come out in support of Samyang Holdings (000070 KS)'s equity spin-off plan but on the condition that the company must cancel its treasury shares.
Value Partners believes Samyang Holdings is currently severely undervalued, trading at a P/B of 0.34x. A shareholders meeting for Samyang Holdings is scheduled for 14 October. 
We have a positive view of this equity spin-off. Our NAV valuation of Samyang Holdings suggests an implied price per share of 127,138 won (28.6% higher than current price).


Value Partners: Supports Samyang Holdings' Equity Spin-Off Plan But Must Cancel Treasury Shares

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will commence on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>Nearing the start of the averaging period, we forecast 34 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last 3 months. The gap in returns versus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> is a lot smaller.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will commence on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
Nearing the start of the averaging period, we forecast 34 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 2 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations by a lot over the last 3 months. The gap in returns versus the KOSPI2 INDEX is a lot smaller.


KOSPI Size Indices: Lots of Change as Averaging Starts

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we also provide a list of 30 top performing stocks in KOSPI in the past one week (in terms of price performance and trading value).</li>
<li>We also discuss the surging share price of Samsung Life Insurance which suggests a near-term regulation change that could require the company to partially dispose its stake in Samsung Electronics. </li>
<li>With Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President, the probability of Samsung Life Insurance being forced to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics has risen much more.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we also provide a list of 30 top performing stocks in KOSPI in the past one week (in terms of price performance and trading value).
We also discuss the surging share price of Samsung Life Insurance which suggests a near-term regulation change that could require the company to partially dispose its stake in Samsung Electronics. 
With Lee Jae-Myung becoming the new South Korean President, the probability of Samsung Life Insurance being forced to sell its stake in Samsung Electronics has risen much more.


Top 30 Best Performing Stocks in KOSPI in Past Week and Surging Price of Samsung Life Insurance

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>During the public hearing, Lee Jae-myung asked Simpac's CFO about their 0.3x PBR, then remarked, "That’s prime territory for a hostile M&amp;A."</li>
<li>With PBRs under 0.3x, these companies may roll out shareholder returns to manage political pressure—definitely worth tracking from a value-up trading perspective.</li>
<li>Hanwha is interesting due to its room for shareholder returns and potential merger with Hanwha Energy. With the new Commercial Act, a public tender offer is likely. Worth watching closely.</li>
</ul>


During the public hearing, Lee Jae-myung asked Simpac's CFO about their 0.3x PBR, then remarked, "That’s prime territory for a hostile M&amp;A."
With PBRs under 0.3x, these companies may roll out shareholder returns to manage political pressure—definitely worth tracking from a value-up trading perspective.
Hanwha is interesting due to its room for shareholder returns and potential merger with Hanwha Energy. With the new Commercial Act, a public tender offer is likely. Worth watching closely.


Korea’s Dem Leader: PBR Under 0.3x Should Be Hostile M&A Targets – Names That Could Feel the Heat

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD3.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial

South Korea

Samyang Holdings Corp manufactures a wide range of food, such as sugar, cooking oil, wheat flour, and livestock feed.  The Company also operates trading business and produces industrial fibers and chemical products, such as engineering plastics, PET bottles and ion exchange resin.

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Samyang Holdings (000070 KS)

Value Partners: Supports Samyang Holdings' Equity Spin-Off Plan But Must Cancel Treasury Shares

On 13 October, Value Partners has come out in support of Samyang Holdings (000070 KS)'s equity spin-off plan but on the condition that the company...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices: Lots of Change as Averaging Starts

There could be 34 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in March. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add, 2 MidCap adds and 2 SmallCap...

Brian Freitas

Top 30 Best Performing Stocks in KOSPI in Past Week and Surging Price of Samsung Life Insurance

In this insight, we also provide a list of 30 top performing stocks in KOSPI in the past one week and the surging share price of Samsung Life...

Douglas Kim

Korea’s Dem Leader: PBR Under 0.3x Should Be Hostile M&A Targets – Names That Could Feel the Heat

The Democratic Party leader’s bold move: “A PBR under 0.3x is prime for a hostile M&A target.” Here are the stocks that could feel the heat.

Sanghyun Park

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB Financial

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lg Energy Solution, Samsung Electronics, KB...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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