Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>ACWI-US remains above its 2-month base and EAFE(EFA-US) remains above its 5.5+month base, however, 2-week flag patterns have resolved to the downside, giving us reason for pause in the near-term.</li>
<li>We view Tuesday's price action as "a day to take notice" and suggests that the bounce in MSCI EM (EEM-US) and A.I. names since late-July has potentially run its course</li>
<li>We are much more neutral on EEM-US and A.I. names and see more choppiness ahead. We still see plenty of opportunity in non-A.I. names.</li>
</ul>


ACWI-US remains above its 2-month base and EAFE(EFA-US) remains above its 5.5+month base, however, 2-week flag patterns have resolved to the downside, giving us reason for pause in the near-term.
We view Tuesday's price action as "a day to take notice" and suggests that the bounce in MSCI EM (EEM-US) and A.I. names since late-July has potentially run its course
We are much more neutral on EEM-US and A.I. names and see more choppiness ahead. We still see plenty of opportunity in non-A.I. names.


Still Plenty of Opportunity in Non-A.I. Names; A.I. Bounce Over?; Buys: Energy, Healthcare, Shipping

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hengrui Pharma received indication expansion approval for trastuzumab rezetecan in China. MicroPort NeuroScientific’s Apollo Dream Rapamycin Target Eluting Stent has been granted the Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA.</li>
<li>Celltrion signed KRW375B CMO agreement with a global pharmaceutical company for the supply of drug substance. Samsung Bioepis entered global commercialization agreement with Sandoz for five biosimilar candidates under development.</li>
<li>FDA accepted Sun Pharma’s indication expansion application for Ilumya for active psoriatic arthritis. Zydus Lifesciences entered licensing and supply agreements with Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Lupin to co-market Semaglutide in India.</li>
</ul>


Hengrui Pharma received indication expansion approval for trastuzumab rezetecan in China. MicroPort NeuroScientific’s Apollo Dream Rapamycin Target Eluting Stent has been granted the Breakthrough Device Designation by the FDA.
Celltrion signed KRW375B CMO agreement with a global pharmaceutical company for the supply of drug substance. Samsung Bioepis entered global commercialization agreement with Sandoz for five biosimilar candidates under development.
FDA accepted Sun Pharma’s indication expansion application for Ilumya for active psoriatic arthritis. Zydus Lifesciences entered licensing and supply agreements with Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Lupin to co-market Semaglutide in India.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

<ul>
<li>Fosun Pharma outlicensed XH-S004 to Expedition Therapeutics for $120M upfront and milestone payment. Remegen’s drug candidate met primary endpoint in Phase 3 trial for Sjögren's syndrome in China.</li>
<li>Astellas Pharma announced positive topline results from the Phase 3 trial evaluating Padcev in bladder cancer. Daewoong Pharmaceutical announced positive result for their self-developed semaglutide microneedle patch.</li>
<li>Zydus Lifesciences received FDA approval for chest pain drug Diltiazem Hydrochloride tablets. Lupin has partnered with Sandoz to market and commercialize Lupin’s biosimilar ranibizumab across multiple regions.</li>
</ul>


Fosun Pharma outlicensed XH-S004 to Expedition Therapeutics for $120M upfront and milestone payment. Remegen’s drug candidate met primary endpoint in Phase 3 trial for Sjögren's syndrome in China.
Astellas Pharma announced positive topline results from the Phase 3 trial evaluating Padcev in bladder cancer. Daewoong Pharmaceutical announced positive result for their self-developed semaglutide microneedle patch.
Zydus Lifesciences received FDA approval for chest pain drug Diltiazem Hydrochloride tablets. Lupin has partnered with Sandoz to market and commercialize Lupin’s biosimilar ranibizumab across multiple regions.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 17) – Fosun Pharma, Remegen, Astellas, Daewoong Pharma, Zydus, Lupin

<ul>
<li>Ono Pharmaceutical received FDA approval for Romvimza for the treatment of symptomatic tenosynovial giant cell tumor. Shionogi obtains domestic approval for digital therapeutic app, Endeavorride for ADHD.</li>
<li>Samsung Biologics received FDA and European Commission approval for Prolia biosimilar. Celltrion received European approval for Prolia and Eylea biosimilars. Cosette Pharmaceuticals is acquiring Mayne Pharma for A$7.40 per share.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical granted an exclusive license to Radiance Biopharma to develop and commercialize antibody drug conjugates SYS6005 in selected geographies. Cipla received FDA approval for anti-cancer drug Nilotinib capsules.</li>
</ul>


Ono Pharmaceutical received FDA approval for Romvimza for the treatment of symptomatic tenosynovial giant cell tumor. Shionogi obtains domestic approval for digital therapeutic app, Endeavorride for ADHD.
Samsung Biologics received FDA and European Commission approval for Prolia biosimilar. Celltrion received European approval for Prolia and Eylea biosimilars. Cosette Pharmaceuticals is acquiring Mayne Pharma for A$7.40 per share.
CSPC Pharmaceutical granted an exclusive license to Radiance Biopharma to develop and commercialize antibody drug conjugates SYS6005 in selected geographies. Cipla received FDA approval for anti-cancer drug Nilotinib capsules.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 23)- Ono Pharma, Shionogi, Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, CSPC, Mayne

<ul>
<li>Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.</li>
<li>It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).</li>
</ul>


Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).
Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.
It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).


Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Switzerland

Sandoz Group AG operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and distributes generic and biosimilar medicines for the treatment of patients with diseases such as cancer, diabetes, and arthritis. Sandoz Group serves customers worldwide.

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Sandoz Group (SDZNY US)

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APAC Healthcare Weekly (March 22) – Hengrui, Microport Neuro, Celltrion, Samsung Bio, Sun Pharma

Celltrion signed KRW375B biologics CMO deal with a global pharma company. Samsung Bioepis expands biosimilar collaboration with Sandoz. 40+ Indian...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Aug 17) – Fosun Pharma, Remegen, Astellas, Daewoong Pharma, Zydus, Lupin

Astellas, Remegen, and Daewoong Pharma announced positive trial results for their respective drug candidates. Fosun Pharma stuck outlicensing deal....

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Feb 23)- Ono Pharma, Shionogi, Samsung Biologics, Celltrion, CSPC, Mayne

APAC healthcare companies continued to get approvals for new products and initiates clinical trials. The companies continued with acquisitions and...

Tina Banerjee

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Shift Now to Defensives (Health Care, Telecommunications, Utilities, and Consumer Staples); Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral...

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