IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reported <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mgm-resorts-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16227:1" rel="noopener">MGM Resorts International (MGM US)</a> recently approached <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:439:1" rel="noopener">Genting Singapore (GENS SP)</a>’s controlling shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a>, to express an interest in a deal.  </li>
<li>While the discussions with MGM Resorts have fizzled out, other potential suitors are reportedly interested. Shares are in a trading halt pending a response to an SGX query.</li>
<li>Genting Singapore trades at a discount to peers. Precedent transactions suggest a potential privatisation price of at least S$1.00 per share, a 33% premium to the last close. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reported MGM Resorts International (MGM US) recently approached Genting Singapore (GENS SP)’s controlling shareholder, Genting Bhd (GENT MK), to express an interest in a deal.  
While the discussions with MGM Resorts have fizzled out, other potential suitors are reportedly interested. Shares are in a trading halt pending a response to an SGX query.
Genting Singapore trades at a discount to peers. Precedent transactions suggest a potential privatisation price of at least S$1.00 per share, a 33% premium to the last close. 


Genting Singapore in the Crosshairs of Potential Suitors

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>YTD, our "Buy the Worst" strategy has underperformed the HSI by a marginal 2pp. The portfolio has a significant rebound against the Index starting mid-Jun. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China Ltd (1928 HK)</a> is the best-performing one while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> is the worst. We see room for the portfolio to catch up in 2H22.</li>
<li>The long-term performance of the strategy stays very solid. On a 5-year basis, "Buy the Worst" strategy has outperformed the HSI by an immense 30.9pp. </li>
</ul>


YTD, our "Buy the Worst" strategy has underperformed the HSI by a marginal 2pp. The portfolio has a significant rebound against the Index starting mid-Jun. 

Sands China Ltd (1928 HK) is the best-performing one while Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) is the worst. We see room for the portfolio to catch up in 2H22.
The long-term performance of the strategy stays very solid. On a 5-year basis, "Buy the Worst" strategy has outperformed the HSI by an immense 30.9pp. 


A Mid-Year Review of Our “Buy the Worst” Strategy 2022: In Tandem with the HSI

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HK reopening is debatable and seems to be very hard to predict as the Chinese government is keen to keep zero COVID stands although recent quarantine time reduction is positive. </li>
<li>The number of passengers remains weak although the shorter quarantine reduction could provide short-term relief to the share price. </li>
<li>Valuation looks undemanding compared to the peers although the outlook is more uncertain. Stay out for now. </li>
</ul>


HK reopening is debatable and seems to be very hard to predict as the Chinese government is keen to keep zero COVID stands although recent quarantine time reduction is positive. 
The number of passengers remains weak although the shorter quarantine reduction could provide short-term relief to the share price. 
Valuation looks undemanding compared to the peers although the outlook is more uncertain. Stay out for now. 


Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The government has taken several steps to improve supply-side restrictions on first and second homes.</li><li>PBOC has added policy support by cutting longer-dated LPR rates for home loan pricing. Longfor Group and Country Garden are highly rated, large China Real Estate developers.</li><li>They do not seem to respond positively to many tailwinds</li></ul>

The government has taken several steps to improve supply-side restrictions on first and second homes.PBOC has added policy support by cutting longer-dated LPR rates for home loan pricing. Longfor Group and Country Garden are highly rated, large China Real Estate developers.They do not seem to respond positively to many tailwinds

Hang Seng Index Constituents 2nd June 2022

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Both <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a></strong> and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US)</a></strong> have underperformed peers. But Melco is unjustifiably "outperforming" MLCO.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Melco, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Both Melco International Development (200 HK) and Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US) have underperformed peers. But Melco is unjustifiably "outperforming" MLCO.
Preceding my comments on Melco, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Melco Trading Rich As Lawrence Adds To His Position

Hong Kong

Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts, retail malls, and casinos. The Company also manages convention and exhibition halls in Macau.

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Sands China (1928 HK)

Genting Singapore in the Crosshairs of Potential Suitors

Bloomberg reports that Genting Singapore is drawing takeover interest. Precedent transactions suggest a potential privatisation price of at least...

Arun George

A Mid-Year Review of Our “Buy the Worst” Strategy 2022: In Tandem with the HSI

While "Buy the Worst" strategy only performed in line with the HSI YTD, there is potential for the portfolio to catch up in 2H22. Meanwhile, "Buy...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MTR (66): Open or Closed?

The Chinese government is to reduce the quarantine period may bring some positive sentiment to MTR but the border between China and HK remains...

Henry Soediarko

Hang Seng Index Constituents 2nd June 2022

The government has taken several steps to improve supply-side restrictions on first and second homes. PBOC has added policy support by cutting...

Untying The Gordian Knot

StubWorld: Melco Trading Rich As Lawrence Adds To His Position

I'd be inclined to reverse the stub here - Short Melco International and Long Melco Resorts. The current level appears unsustainable.

David Blennerhassett

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