Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.</li>
<li>Top picks: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lloyds-metals-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15467:1" rel="noopener">Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paladin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1" rel="noopener">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a> </li>
<li>Top shorts: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-steel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:961:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.
Top picks: Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN), Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN) , Paladin Energy (PDN AU) 
Top shorts: Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) , Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) 


Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Karnataka's proposed mineral tax will significantly impact iron ore miners and the steel industry, potentially raising production costs and impacting profitability. </li>
<li>Larsen &amp; Toubro's (L&amp;T) recent ₹10,000 crore order for K9 Vajra-T artillery platforms signifies the company's strength in the defense sector. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waaree-energies-limited-6098abe5-9b91-4859-8170-b98fda2cf7ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44031:1" rel="noopener">Waaree Energies (0656504D IN)</a> is accelerating India's renewable energy goals with strategic investments in electrolyzer, lithium-ion storage, and inverter solutions. </li>
</ul>


Karnataka's proposed mineral tax will significantly impact iron ore miners and the steel industry, potentially raising production costs and impacting profitability. 
Larsen &amp; Toubro's (L&amp;T) recent ₹10,000 crore order for K9 Vajra-T artillery platforms signifies the company's strength in the defense sector. 

Waaree Energies (0656504D IN) is accelerating India's renewable energy goals with strategic investments in electrolyzer, lithium-ion storage, and inverter solutions. 


#73 India Insight: Iron Ore Taxed, Waaree’s 2000 Cr Investments in EV Batteries, Adani’s Acquisition

Equity Bottom-Up

Shyam Metalics & Energy / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shyam Metalics reported robust FY25 results with 15% revenue growth and 21% EBITDA rise, driven by higher volumes and a shift toward value-added products.</li>
<li>The company is executing a ₹10,025 Cr capex plan to double capacity by FY27, targeting high-margin segments like stainless steel and aluminium foil with backward integration.</li>
<li>With zero net debt, strong cash flows, and a forward P/E of ~14×, Shyam Metalics offers a rare blend of growth, capital discipline, and low leverage in the steel sector.</li>
</ul>


Shyam Metalics reported robust FY25 results with 15% revenue growth and 21% EBITDA rise, driven by higher volumes and a shift toward value-added products.
The company is executing a ₹10,025 Cr capex plan to double capacity by FY27, targeting high-margin segments like stainless steel and aluminium foil with backward integration.
With zero net debt, strong cash flows, and a forward P/E of ~14×, Shyam Metalics offers a rare blend of growth, capital discipline, and low leverage in the steel sector.


Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd (NSE: SHYAMMETL) – A Capital-Efficient Growth Play in Indian Metals

Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores / Equity Bottom-Up

Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores (SANDUMA IN)

<ul>
<li>Scale-Up in Mining: Iron ore capacity ramped up to 3.86 MTPA with visibility to reach 4.36 MTPA, positioning mining as a high-margin cash engine.</li>
<li>Forward Integration via Arjas Acquisition: Strategic acquisition of Arjas Steel marks a shift from merchant mining to integrated steel production, with embedded OEM relationships and SBQ focus.</li>
<li>Valuation Reset in Progress: Despite structural upgrades, the stock trades at ~8x EV/EBITDA, offering a rerating opportunity as steel margins expand and loss-making verticals normalise.</li>
</ul>


Scale-Up in Mining: Iron ore capacity ramped up to 3.86 MTPA with visibility to reach 4.36 MTPA, positioning mining as a high-margin cash engine.
Forward Integration via Arjas Acquisition: Strategic acquisition of Arjas Steel marks a shift from merchant mining to integrated steel production, with embedded OEM relationships and SBQ focus.
Valuation Reset in Progress: Despite structural upgrades, the stock trades at ~8x EV/EBITDA, offering a rerating opportunity as steel margins expand and loss-making verticals normalise.


SMIORE: Transitioning from Merchant Miner to Integrated Steel & Minerals Powerhouse

India

Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores Ltd (SMIORE) is a diversified Indian metals and mining company, primarily engaged in the mining of manganese and iron ores. The company also manufactures ferroalloys (silico-manganese and ferro-manganese), metallurgical coke, and generates power. SMIORE is headquartered in Bengaluru, Karnataka, India, and was founded in 1954.

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Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores (SANDUMA IN)

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

#73 India Insight: Iron Ore Taxed, Waaree’s 2000 Cr Investments in EV Batteries, Adani’s Acquisition

Karnataka's mineral tax may impact iron ore miners and steel industry, L&T's ₹10,000 crore defense order showcases strength, Waaree Energies...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd (NSE: SHYAMMETL) – A Capital-Efficient Growth Play in Indian Metals

Shyam Metalics posts strong FY25 results, plans to double capacity by FY27 with focus on high-margin segments, showcasing growth potential and...

Rahul Jain

SMIORE: Transitioning from Merchant Miner to Integrated Steel & Minerals Powerhouse

Mining company scales up iron ore capacity, acquires Arjas Steel for integrated steel production, poised for valuation rerating as steel margins...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

​Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

#73 India Insight: Iron Ore Taxed, Waaree’s 2000 Cr Investments in EV Batteries, Adani’s Acquisition

​Karnataka's mineral tax may impact iron ore miners and steel industry, L&T's ₹10,000 crore defense order showcases strength, Waaree Energies...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Shyam Metalics & Energy Ltd (NSE: SHYAMMETL) – A Capital-Efficient Growth Play in Indian Metals

​Shyam Metalics posts strong FY25 results, plans to double capacity by FY27 with focus on high-margin segments, showcasing growth potential and...

Rahul Jain

SMIORE: Transitioning from Merchant Miner to Integrated Steel & Minerals Powerhouse

​Mining company scales up iron ore capacity, acquires Arjas Steel for integrated steel production, poised for valuation rerating as steel margins...

Rahul Jain

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Karnataka's mineral tax may impact iron ore miners and steel industry, L&T's ₹10,000 crore defense order showcases strength, Waaree Energies...

Shyam Metalics posts strong FY25 results, plans to double capacity by FY27 with focus on high-margin segments, showcasing growth potential and...

Mining company scales up iron ore capacity, acquires Arjas Steel for integrated steel production, poised for valuation rerating as steel margins...