IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Shin Etsu Chemical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-etsu-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4481:1" rel="noopener">Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 23.7 million shares (27.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.8 billion (US$1.0 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>The goal of the secondary offering seems to be to facilitate the exits of several shareholders and improve liquidity.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback will further mitigate the impact.</li>
</ul>



Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 23.7 million shares (27.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.8 billion (US$1.0 billion including overallotment).
The goal of the secondary offering seems to be to facilitate the exits of several shareholders and improve liquidity.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback will further mitigate the impact.


Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 16th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,863m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kioxia, Sanrio, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Keyence, Softbank, Advantest, Lasertec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 16th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,863m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kioxia, Sanrio, Fast Retailing, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Keyence, Softbank, Advantest, Lasertec.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 16th): SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A once-again 'Young Stock' with massive liquidity is set to challenge traditional entry rules, leveraging a recent precedent to secure a spot in the benchmark index.</li>
<li>The committee's focus remains on raising the index's liquidity floor, resulting in a systemic removal of legacy constituents from various industrial sectors.</li>
<li>Sector balance is another priority, driving the modernization of segments and correcting lopsided underrepresentation of Japanese sectors on the index.</li>
</ul>


A once-again 'Young Stock' with massive liquidity is set to challenge traditional entry rules, leveraging a recent precedent to secure a spot in the benchmark index.
The committee's focus remains on raising the index's liquidity floor, resulting in a systemic removal of legacy constituents from various industrial sectors.
Sector balance is another priority, driving the modernization of segments and correcting lopsided underrepresentation of Japanese sectors on the index.


2026 NK 225 Reconstitution Forecast: Kioxia’s "Young Stock" Ascendance & The Legacy Materials Purge

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,644m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's, Ise Chemicals, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Itochu, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Shibaura Electronics, Softbank, Skylark, Kioxia, Mcdonald'S.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD20,644m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's, Ise Chemicals, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Disco, Itochu, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Shibaura Electronics, Softbank, Skylark, Kioxia, Mcdonald'S.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> March rebalance ends in 4 weeks. Depending on the index committee discretion, there could be 1-3 changes at the rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a>'s index weight is currently above 10% and that will result in capping. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> avoid capping for now.</li>
<li>The capping for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advantest-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18107:1" rel="noopener">Advantest Corp (6857 JP)</a> results in funding inflows for all the index constituents, though the impact tops out at 0.4x ADV.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) March rebalance ends in 4 weeks. Depending on the index committee discretion, there could be 1-3 changes at the rebalance.

Advantest Corp (6857 JP)'s index weight is currently above 10% and that will result in capping. Fast Retailing (9983 JP) and Softbank Group (9984 JP) avoid capping for now.
The capping for Advantest Corp (6857 JP) results in funding inflows for all the index constituents, though the impact tops out at 0.4x ADV.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Potential Adds, Deletes, Capping & Other Changes

Japan

Sanrio Company, Ltd. manufactures and sells character goods including gift merchandise, greeting cards, and stationery products.  The Company also produces books, magazines, and movies, and though its subsidiary, operates restaurants and amusement parks.

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Sanrio (8136 JP)

Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback...

Arun George

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 16th): SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2026 NK 225 Reconstitution Forecast: Kioxia’s "Young Stock" Ascendance & The Legacy Materials Purge

A new 'Young Stock' with high liquidity challenges entry rules, as index committee focuses on raising liquidity floor and balancing sectors.

Jay Cameron

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Skylark (3197...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Potential Adds, Deletes, Capping & Other Changes

There could 1-3 changes for the NKY in March. Advantest will be capped in March and could be capped in September too. Passives need to trade...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback...

Arun George

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 16th): SoftBank, Advantest, Lasertec, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Advantest (6857 JP), Lasertec (6920 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

2026 NK 225 Reconstitution Forecast: Kioxia’s "Young Stock" Ascendance & The Legacy Materials Purge

​A new 'Young Stock' with high liquidity challenges entry rules, as index committee focuses on raising liquidity floor and balancing sectors.

Jay Cameron

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Jan 9th): Shibaura Electronics, SoftBank, Skylark, Kioxia, McDonald's

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP), Skylark (3197...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2026): Potential Adds, Deletes, Capping & Other Changes

There could 1-3 changes for the NKY in March. Advantest will be capped in March and could be capped in September too. Passives need to trade...

Brian Freitas

A new 'Young Stock' with high liquidity challenges entry rules, as index committee focuses on raising liquidity floor and balancing sectors.