Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&amp;Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&amp;Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For Sep 2025, nine new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$3bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~56%, with a year-to-date average of ~48%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For Sep 2025, nine new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$3bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~56%, with a year-to-date average of ~48%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2025 Wrap: ReNew Energy Global, Digital Hold., Mandom, Paramount Bed, Spindex

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets on Tuesday, 30 September 2025, with a rate decision due at 14:30h AEST. 
</li>
<li>
Highlights: Consensus is firmly for a hold (96% probability), but surprise cuts have historically doubled the market’s typical daily move. Sector impacts—banks vs. resources—closely examined.</li>
<li>
Why Read: An actionable roadmap to sector sensitivities, highlighting bank and resource ETFs as tactical vehicles if the RBA deviates from expectations.</li>
</ul>


The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets on Tuesday, 30 September 2025, with a rate decision due at 14:30h AEST. 


Highlights: Consensus is firmly for a hold (96% probability), but surprise cuts have historically doubled the market’s typical daily move. Sector impacts—banks vs. resources—closely examined.

Why Read: An actionable roadmap to sector sensitivities, highlighting bank and resource ETFs as tactical vehicles if the RBA deviates from expectations.


RBA Rate Watch: Navigating ASX 200, Banks, and Resources

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and four changes for ASX 200. </li>
<li>The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the December 2025 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 50, one change for ASX 100, and four changes for ASX 200. 
The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Clear Signs of Pre-Positioning; Stay Away from the Crowds

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Following another unsuccessful bid for Santos, analysts review the company's outlook with a focus on valuation and dividend support.</li><li> -Santos' takeover bid scuppered for the third time -Share price premium eases, focus returns to company fundamentals -Analysts review valuation and dividend support -Macquarie sees "extraordinary value" for long-term investors</li></ul>

Following another unsuccessful bid for Santos, analysts review the company's outlook with a focus on valuation and dividend support. -Santos' takeover bid scuppered for the third time -Share price premium eases, focus returns to company fundamentals -Analysts review valuation and dividend support -Macquarie sees "extraordinary value" for long-term investors

Australia

Santos Limited explores for and produces natural gas, crude oil, condensate, naphtha and liquid petroleum gas.  The Company conducts major onshore and offshore petroleum exploration activities at oil and gas fields in Australia (Cooper/Eromanga Basins), the United States (Gulf of Mexico), Indonesia and Papua New Guinea. The Company also transports crude oil by pipeline.

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Santos Ltd (STO AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2025 Wrap: ReNew Energy Global, Digital Hold., Mandom, Paramount Bed, Spindex

For the month of Sept, 7 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

RBA Rate Watch: Navigating ASX 200, Banks, and Resources

30 September 2025 – RBA Rate Decision: Consensus points to a hold, but a surprise cut could shake markets. Key sectors—banks and resources—are...

Gaudenz Schneider

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec25: Clear Signs of Pre-Positioning; Stay Away from the Crowds

There are clear signs of positioning among some of the high-impact expected ADDs/DELs and staying away from such overcrowded bets might be a good...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Santos Setback: Back To Fundamentals

Following another unsuccessful bid for Santos, analysts review the company's outlook with a focus on valuation and dividend support. -Santos'...

FNArena

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