External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SANY’s net profit in 2Q23 surged 81% YoY to RMB1.9bn but largely helped by a low base effect as well as an increase in FX gain of RMB487mn.</li><li>While export growth of 36% is impressive and took the overseas revenue ratio to 58% in 1H23, we are concerned about a peak of export, given the weak industry excavator export volume in Jun/Jul (-1%/-14% YoY, according to CCMA).</li><li>We revise down our 2023E/24E earnings forecast by 9%/3% after resetting our volume and expense assumptions. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY’s net profit in 2Q23 surged 81% YoY to RMB1.9bn but largely helped by a low base effect as well as an increase in FX gain of RMB487mn.While export growth of 36% is impressive and took the overseas revenue ratio to 58% in 1H23, we are concerned about a peak of export, given the weak industry excavator export volume in Jun/Jul (-1%/-14% YoY, according to CCMA).We revise down our 2023E/24E earnings forecast by 9%/3% after resetting our volume and expense assumptions. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SANY Heavy Industry (600031 CH) – 2Q23 Net Profit +81% but Largely Due to Low Base & FX Gain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>What is new? On 23 Nov, SANY AWP (三一高空机械) signed an agreement with the municipal government of Huzhou, Zhejiang (source).</li><li>According to the agreement, SANY AWP will spend &gt;RMB10bn to build a production base for aerial work platform (AWP) and research centre in Wuxing District, Huzhou.</li><li>Upon the completion of the construction, the annual capacity of AWP is expected to reach 150k units, covering various types of boom lift, scissors lift and large-size intelligent AWP models.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

What is new? On 23 Nov, SANY AWP (三一高空机械) signed an agreement with the municipal government of Huzhou, Zhejiang (source).According to the agreement, SANY AWP will spend &gt;RMB10bn to build a production base for aerial work platform (AWP) and research centre in Wuxing District, Huzhou.Upon the completion of the construction, the annual capacity of AWP is expected to reach 150k units, covering various types of boom lift, scissors lift and large-size intelligent AWP models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Huge AWP Expansion Plan by SANY Points to Deterioration of Competitive Landscape

<ul><li>Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.</li><li>All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.</li><li>All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

<ul><li>According to the preliminary data from CME, China’s excavator sales dropped 26% YoY to ~13.2k units.</li><li>Sales in China remained weak with an estimated 49% YoY decline to 4.7k units in Jul, which is not a surprise given the lack of powerful stimulus policies.</li><li>Export, which had been strong since 2020, however, starts to see a loss of momentum. Export volume is expected to drop 2% YoY to 8.5k units in Jul, according to CME. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

According to the preliminary data from CME, China’s excavator sales dropped 26% YoY to ~13.2k units.Sales in China remained weak with an estimated 49% YoY decline to 4.7k units in Jul, which is not a surprise given the lack of powerful stimulus policies.Export, which had been strong since 2020, however, starts to see a loss of momentum. Export volume is expected to drop 2% YoY to 8.5k units in Jul, according to CME. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Export of Excavator Running Out of Steam

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>A slowing economy due to repeated Covid-19 outbreaks and subsequent lockdowns delivered a one-two punch to Sany Heavy Industry Co. Ltd. last year</li><li>The company attributed the lackluster earnings estimate to the macroeconomic slowdown, which saw China’s GDP growth come in at the second-slowest in more than four decades</li><li>Sany’s profit warning serves as an indication of how China’s domestic construction machinery industry is struggling.</li></ul>

A slowing economy due to repeated Covid-19 outbreaks and subsequent lockdowns delivered a one-two punch to Sany Heavy Industry Co. Ltd. last yearThe company attributed the lackluster earnings estimate to the macroeconomic slowdown, which saw China’s GDP growth come in at the second-slowest in more than four decadesSany’s profit warning serves as an indication of how China’s domestic construction machinery industry is struggling.

Sany Heavy, Zoomlion Warn of Tumbling Profits on Covid-Hit Economy

China

SANY Heavy Industry Co., Ltd manufactures and markets construction and engineering machinery and related parts. The Company produces and sells concrete pumps, concrete pump vehicles, road rollers, pavers, and other related products. Sany Heavy Industry markets its products worldwide.

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)