IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)

<ul>
<li>Each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>/MNACT unitholder will receive either a scrip-only or the cash-and-scrip offer worth S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, a 7.6% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The proposed merger provides <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> unitholders with meaningful geographic diversification through a DPU and NAV accretive transaction.   </li>
<li>MNACT unitholders will receive an attractive consideration in terms of P/NAV and gross exchange ratio. Both unitholders will benefit from the enlarged REIT’s higher free float and growth potential. </li>
</ul>


Each Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)/MNACT unitholder will receive either a scrip-only or the cash-and-scrip offer worth S$1.1949 per MNACT unit, a 7.6% premium to the last close price.
The proposed merger provides Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) unitholders with meaningful geographic diversification through a DPU and NAV accretive transaction.   
MNACT unitholders will receive an attractive consideration in terms of P/NAV and gross exchange ratio. Both unitholders will benefit from the enlarged REIT’s higher free float and growth potential. 


Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Proposed Merger with Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

First Real Estate Investment Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

First Real Estate Investment Trust (FIRT SP)

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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2021-12/Capture_7.PNG' alt='Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021' />
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Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline. 
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent). 
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021. 
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent). 
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance). 
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion. 
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/pure-play-data-centre-digital-core-reit-to-start-trading-on-monday"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-with-healthcare-and-china-assets-outshine-in-november">read </a>the original version.
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    Top 10 performing SREITs since Nov 1, 2021


Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron variant.

Similarly, the 3 sessions saw the iEdge S-Reit Index shave off 3.8 per cent in total returns, ending November with a 2.4 per cent decline.  
The top five performers over the month of November were firstly, S-REITs with healthcare assets – First REIT (12.2 per cent in total returns) and ParkwayLife REIT (6.6 per cent) – and secondly, S-REITs with assets located in China – Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent), EC World REIT (3.1 per cent) and BHG Retail REIT (2.9 per cent).  
As uncertainty over the Omicron variant eased gradually, the iEdge S-Reit Index regained 1.2 per cent over the first 7 sessions of December, bringing its total returns since the start of November to a decline of 1.2 per cent.

S-Reits with healthcare and China-based assets continued to be the top performers over the extended period from the start of November to Dec 9, 2021.  
These S-REITs were: First REIT (18.0 per cent in total returns), BHG Retail REIT (15.4 per cent), ParkwayLife REIT (8.9 per cent), Sasseur REIT (4.7 per cent) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (4.5 per cent).  
First Reit, in its third quarter business update ended Sep 30, 2021, noted that it continued to see performance stabilising, following the restructuring of the master lease agreements for 14 Indonesia hospitals in January 2021 and its recapitalisation efforts in Q12021.

Last week, the trust also unveiled its 2.0 Growth Strategy, which includes diversifying into developed markets, strengthening of capital structure, reshaping of portfolio for capital-efficient growth as well as a pivoting to ride megatrends like ESG (environmental, social and governance).  
In line with its 2.0 Growth Strategy, First REIT announced the proposed acquisition of 12 nursing homes in Japan from its sponsor, OUE Lippo Healthcare for JPY 24.2 billion.  
Post-acquisition, First Reit will increase its exposure to developed markets, from 3.6 per cent of its asset value as at H12021, to 27.1 per cent on a pro forma basis.

Sasseur Reit declared distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.831 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 13.4 per cent year on year.

The Reit manager noted that despite strict government regulations, the Reit's outlet sales grew 12.0 per cent quarter on quarter to 996.6 million yuan.

For the 9-month period ended Sep 30, 2021, Sasseur Reit's four outlets registered total sales of 3.02 billion yuan, representing an increase of 21.8 per cent compared to a year ago.

Similarly, EC World Reit announced higher DPU of 1.662 Singapore cents for Q32021, an increase of 19.7 per cent year on year.

Four out of EC World Reit's portfolio of 8 properties cater to the e-commerce logistics sector. The occupancy rate of its Wuhan Meiluote property increased from 79.4 per cent to 84.5 per cent, as it secured a 3-month lease starting Oct 1, 2021, in anticipation of the annual Singles Day sales.

As at Oct 31, 2021, EC World Reit's portfolio occupancy is 99.2 per cent.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

Equity Capital Markets

Digital Core REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> is the exclusive S-REIT sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-realty-trust-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13149:1" rel="noopener">Digital Realty Trust (DLR US)</a>. It is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/digital-core-reit-ipo-reaching-for-the-clouds" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61737" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT IPO: Reaching for the Clouds</a>, we outlined its attractive value proposition.    </li>
<li>Cornerstones such as Blackrock, Fidelity, JP Morgan AM account for 61% of the offer. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is the exclusive S-REIT sponsored by Digital Realty Trust (DLR US). It is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. 
In Digital Core REIT IPO: Reaching for the Clouds, we outlined its attractive value proposition.    
Cornerstones such as Blackrock, Fidelity, JP Morgan AM account for 61% of the offer. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is reasonable.


Digital Core REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

Daiwa House Logistics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35020:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP)</a> has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million) at an IPO price of S$0.80 per unit. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/daiwa-house-logistics-trust-ipo-the-flow-of-things" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:60978" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: The Flow of Things</a>, we outlined its attractive value proposition.  </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of S$0.80 per unit is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP) has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million) at an IPO price of S$0.80 per unit. 
In Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: The Flow of Things, we outlined its attractive value proposition.  
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of S$0.80 per unit is reasonable.


Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: Valuation Insights

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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2021-09/Capture_5.PNG' alt='SREIT with 100%' />
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Chinese real estate and property-related stocks have been dominating headlines over the past week as investors remain cautious and watch for updates. 
Closer to home, there are four S-REITs which have their entire portfolio of assets in China – CapitaLand China Trust, Sasseur REIT, EC World REIT, and BHG Retail REIT. 
Together the four S-Reits have generated -0.9 per cent in average price returns over the past week, comparatively to the swings of Chinese property stocks. 
The Reits have averaged 8.0 per cent in total returns in the year-to-date, 6.1 per cent in average distribution yields, and an average gearing ratio of 34.1 per cent which is lower than the sector average of 37.4 per cent.

S-Reits have a regulated leverage limited of 50 per cent.

CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT) is the largest multi-asset China focused S-Reit with an expanded mandate from a pure retail Reit into a diversified portfolio of retail and business park assets since earlier this year. 
Its Sponsor is CapitaLand Investment Limited, a leading global real estate investment manager, which made its trading debut on the SGX last week. 
CLCT has a gearing ratio of 35.9 per cent and average term to maturity of 3.80 years, with the majority of the refinancing requirements in 2021 completed.

It has 78 per cent of its total term loans on fixed interest rates and has hedged approximately 55 per cent of its undistributed income to reduce foreign currency fluctuations.

Sasseur Reit operates four outlet malls located in Chongqing, Bishan, Hefei and Kunming and is Asia's first outlet mall Reit.

The Reit has a gearing ratio of 27.8 per cent which is the lowest across the S-Reits sector and sees this as providing ample debt headroom for potential acquisitions.

Sasseur Reit has an average debt to maturity of 1.7 years and an interest coverage ratio of 4.5 times as at June 30, 2021 which has improved from 4.0 times in Dec 31, 2020.

Its weighted average cost of debt reduced to 4.4 per cent per annum for H1 2021, from 5.3 per cent per annum in H1 2020.

EC World Reit has a diversified portfolio of assets used primarily for e-commerce, supply-chain management and logistics purposes in the e-commerce clusters of Hangzhou and Wuhan.

The Reit has a gearing ratio of 37.6 per cent, weighted average debt maturity of 1.13 years and interest coverage ratio of 2.86 times.

The Reit manager has expressed in its latest financial results that it will continue to actively explore and diversify sources of funding and hedging instruments to optimise its capital structure.

BHG Retail Reit has a diversified portfolio of six retail properties in Beijing, Chengdu, Hefei, Xining and Dalian. It has a gearing ratio of 34.9 per cent.

BHG Retail Reit has an average cost of debt at 3.7 per cent and interest coverage ratio of 2.6 times.

Over 80 per cent of its borrowings are denominated in Singapore dollars and US dollars and about 60 per cent of offshore loans are hedged via interest rate swaps.  REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times,<a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/china-focused-s-reits-resilient-amid-onshore-property-focus"> </a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/governance-and-transparency-scores-of-s-reits-hit-all-time-high">read</a><a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/10-s-reits-yielding-long-term-annualised-returns"> </a>the original version.
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    SREIT with 100%


Chinese real estate and property-related stocks have been dominating headlines over the past week as investors remain cautious and watch for updates.  
Closer to home, there are four S-REITs which have their entire portfolio of assets in China – CapitaLand China Trust, Sasseur REIT, EC World REIT, and BHG Retail REIT.  
Together the four S-Reits have generated -0.9 per cent in average price returns over the past week, comparatively to the swings of Chinese property stocks.  
The Reits have averaged 8.0 per cent in total returns in the year-to-date, 6.1 per cent in average distribution yields, and an average gearing ratio of 34.1 per cent which is lower than the sector average of 37.4 per cent.

S-Reits have a regulated leverage limited of 50 per cent.

CapitaLand China Trust (CLCT) is the largest multi-asset China focused S-Reit with an expanded mandate from a pure retail Reit into a diversified portfolio of retail and business park assets since earlier this year.  
Its Sponsor is CapitaLand Investment Limited, a leading global real estate investment manager, which made its trading debut on the SGX last week.  
CLCT has a gearing ratio of 35.9 per cent and average term to maturity of 3.80 years, with the majority of the refinancing requirements in 2021 completed.

It has 78 per cent of its total term loans on fixed interest rates and has hedged approximately 55 per cent of its undistributed income to reduce foreign currency fluctuations.

Sasseur Reit operates four outlet malls located in Chongqing, Bishan, Hefei and Kunming and is Asia's first outlet mall Reit.

The Reit has a gearing ratio of 27.8 per cent which is the lowest across the S-Reits sector and sees this as providing ample debt headroom for potential acquisitions.

Sasseur Reit has an average debt to maturity of 1.7 years and an interest coverage ratio of 4.5 times as at June 30, 2021 which has improved from 4.0 times in Dec 31, 2020.

Its weighted average cost of debt reduced to 4.4 per cent per annum for H1 2021, from 5.3 per cent per annum in H1 2020.

EC World Reit has a diversified portfolio of assets used primarily for e-commerce, supply-chain management and logistics purposes in the e-commerce clusters of Hangzhou and Wuhan.

The Reit has a gearing ratio of 37.6 per cent, weighted average debt maturity of 1.13 years and interest coverage ratio of 2.86 times.

The Reit manager has expressed in its latest financial results that it will continue to actively explore and diversify sources of funding and hedging instruments to optimise its capital structure.

BHG Retail Reit has a diversified portfolio of six retail properties in Beijing, Chengdu, Hefei, Xining and Dalian. It has a gearing ratio of 34.9 per cent.

BHG Retail Reit has an average cost of debt at 3.7 per cent and interest coverage ratio of 2.6 times.

Over 80 per cent of its borrowings are denominated in Singapore dollars and US dollars and about 60 per cent of offshore loans are hedged via interest rate swaps.   REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - China focused S-Reits resilient amid onshore property focus

Singapore

Sasseur Real Estate Investment Trust is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust that invests in a diversified portfolio of income-producing retail outlet malls and related real estate assets, primarily in China. Its portfolio includes four outlet malls located in Chongqing, Hefei, and Kunming. The company was founded in Singapore in 2017.

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Sasseur (SASSR SP)

Mapletree Commercial Trust’s Proposed Merger with Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust

The deal terms are attractive for MNACT unitholders. The deal is DPU/NAV accretive for MCT unitholders. The merger is likely to get approval from...

Arun George

REIT Watch - S-Reits with healthcare and China assets outshine in November

Global Reit markets dipped over the last 3 sessions of November, as investors grappled with the unknowns of the Covid Omicron...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Digital Core REIT IPO: Valuation Insights

Digital Core REIT is seeking to raise US$600 million at US$0.88 per unit. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of $0.88 per unit is...

Arun George

Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of S$0.80 per unit is reasonable. Bookbuilding will end on 18 Nov, with an expected listing date...

Arun George

REIT Watch - China focused S-Reits resilient amid onshore property focus

Chinese real estate and property-related stocks have been dominating headlines over the past week as investors remain cautious...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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