IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onetwo (2602 HK)</a> poor debuts. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> prices at the low-end.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evoc-intelligent-technology-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2015:1" rel="noopener">EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Leapmotor (9863 HK) and Onetwo (2602 HK) poor debuts. CALB (3931 HK) prices at the low-end.
Event-Driven developments - SATS (SATS SP), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK), Tassal (TGR AU), MACA Ltd (MLD AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a>, a leading inflight catering and gateway service provider in Asia, <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Clarification%20Announcement_21092022.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=732064" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed</a> media reports it was in talks to buy Cerberus Capital Management-backed Worldwide Flight Services.</li>
<li>Yesterday, SATS <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SATS_Chapter_10_Announcement_on_Proposed_WFS_Acquisition_20220928.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=732670" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it will acquire WFS, the world's largest air cargo handler, for €1.187bn or S$1.639bn (9.7x EV/EBITDA). Funding is to be primarily sourced from a S$1.7bn equity fundraising. </li>
<li>The transaction appears all stitched up with SATS' 40% shareholder Temasek backing the deal. The acquisition is expected to close in March 2023, subject to regulatory clearance.   </li>
</ul>


Last week, SATS (SATS SP), a leading inflight catering and gateway service provider in Asia, confirmed media reports it was in talks to buy Cerberus Capital Management-backed Worldwide Flight Services.
Yesterday, SATS announced it will acquire WFS, the world's largest air cargo handler, for €1.187bn or S$1.639bn (9.7x EV/EBITDA). Funding is to be primarily sourced from a S$1.7bn equity fundraising. 
The transaction appears all stitched up with SATS' 40% shareholder Temasek backing the deal. The acquisition is expected to close in March 2023, subject to regulatory clearance.   


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a> agreed to acquire Worldwide Flight Services (WFS), the world’s largest air cargo handling firm, from Cerberus Capital for a cash consideration of S$1,639 million. </li>
<li>The base funding plan is based on a S$1.7 billion equity raise. The uncertain structure and timing of the equity raise will be a short-term overhang. </li>
<li>The acquisition is conditional on shareholder and regulatory approvals. Assuming no synergies, our pro-forma price per share is S$4.97, a 28.5% upside to the last close.</li>
</ul>



SATS (SATS SP) agreed to acquire Worldwide Flight Services (WFS), the world’s largest air cargo handling firm, from Cerberus Capital for a cash consideration of S$1,639 million. 
The base funding plan is based on a S$1.7 billion equity raise. The uncertain structure and timing of the equity raise will be a short-term overhang. 
The acquisition is conditional on shareholder and regulatory approvals. Assuming no synergies, our pro-forma price per share is S$4.97, a 28.5% upside to the last close.


SATS Agrees to Acquire WFS for an EV of S$3.1 Billion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a> has announced that it is buying Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) from an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management at an Enterprise Value of €2.25bn (S$3.107bn).</li>
<li>The cash consideration is €1.187bn (S$1.639bn) and will likely be financed by an equity fund raising. This could be a rights issue and could be combined with a private placement.</li>
<li>Expect the stock to drop once it resumes trading. A significant drop from current levels could provide a buying opportunity as the rights issue could be backstopped.</li>
</ul>



SATS (SATS SP) has announced that it is buying Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) from an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management at an Enterprise Value of €2.25bn (S$3.107bn).
The cash consideration is €1.187bn (S$1.639bn) and will likely be financed by an equity fund raising. This could be a rights issue and could be combined with a private placement.
Expect the stock to drop once it resumes trading. A significant drop from current levels could provide a buying opportunity as the rights issue could be backstopped.


SATS to Buy Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) As Private Equity Exits

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.</li>
<li>We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level</li>
</ul>


Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.
We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).
While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level


MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

Singapore

SATS Limited provides integrated ground handling and in-flight catering services at Singapore Changi Airport.  The Company also provides aviation security, airline laundry, and airport cargo delivery management services.

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SATS (SATS SP)

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Nearmap, Ramsay, Infomedia) and ECM...

Arun George

SATS/WFS: The Future Is Cargo

I estimate a proforma, normalised, EV/EBITDA of 9.7x. Not too demanding. But not what I would consider "cheap". I would not be jumping into SATS...

David Blennerhassett

SATS Agrees to Acquire WFS for an EV of S$3.1 Billion

The uncertain structure and timing of the equity raise will be a short-term overhang. Nevertheless, assuming no synergies, our pro-forma price per...

Arun George

SATS to Buy Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) As Private Equity Exits

SATS is looking to acquire WFS at an EV of €2.25bn with the cash consideration at €1.187bn. This implies an EV/Sales of 1.31x and an EV/EBITDA of...

Brian Freitas

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

We are testing the March lows in several global indexes, including the MSCI $ACWI, ACWI ex-US $ACWX, and EM $EEM. While this is a logical spot for...

Vermilion Research

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