Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last week, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a></strong>, a leading inflight catering and gateway service provider in Asia, <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Clarification%20Announcement_21092022.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=732064" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed</a> media reports it was in talks to buy Cerberus Capital Management-backed Worldwide Flight Services.</li>
<li>Yesterday, SATS <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SATS_Chapter_10_Announcement_on_Proposed_WFS_Acquisition_20220928.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=732670" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it will acquire WFS, the world's largest air cargo handler, for €1.187bn or S$1.639bn (9.7x EV/EBITDA). Funding is to be primarily sourced from a S$1.7bn equity fundraising. </li>
<li>The transaction appears all stitched up with SATS' 40% shareholder Temasek backing the deal. The acquisition is expected to close in March 2023, subject to regulatory clearance.   </li>
</ul>


Last week, SATS (SATS SP), a leading inflight catering and gateway service provider in Asia, confirmed media reports it was in talks to buy Cerberus Capital Management-backed Worldwide Flight Services.
Yesterday, SATS announced it will acquire WFS, the world's largest air cargo handler, for €1.187bn or S$1.639bn (9.7x EV/EBITDA). Funding is to be primarily sourced from a S$1.7bn equity fundraising. 
The transaction appears all stitched up with SATS' 40% shareholder Temasek backing the deal. The acquisition is expected to close in March 2023, subject to regulatory clearance.   


Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a> share price has underperformed its tourism related transport operator peers.</li>
<li>Key drivers are still strong, including the expected influx of Chinese tourists from visa-free travel arrangements.</li>
<li>Valuation is still compelling, and it is not too late to own it.</li>
</ul>



Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) share price has underperformed its tourism related transport operator peers.
Key drivers are still strong, including the expected influx of Chinese tourists from visa-free travel arrangements.
Valuation is still compelling, and it is not too late to own it.


Comfortdelgro (CD): March on Chinese Tourists

<ul>
<li>The share price has increased by around 20% since mid-last year.</li>
<li>A new revenue stream from the booking fee through the Zig app and calls that, albeit small, it was never possible to share upside with cabbies before. </li>
<li>Extension from 15 days to 30 days visa-free for Chinese tourists to come to Singapore on early 2024. </li>
</ul>


The share price has increased by around 20% since mid-last year.
A new revenue stream from the booking fee through the Zig app and calls that, albeit small, it was never possible to share upside with cabbies before. 
Extension from 15 days to 30 days visa-free for Chinese tourists to come to Singapore on early 2024. 


Malaysia Airports Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Besides Thailand and Singapore, Malaysia is one of the countries in South East Asia that are popular tourists destination. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a> is the airport operator that benefits from the tourism recovery in Malaysia. </li>
<li>Compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airports-of-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:239:1" rel="noopener">Airports of Thailand (AOT TB)</a> , Malaysia Airport is trading at a lower valuation, although it has recorded better operating numbers YTD. </li>
</ul>


Besides Thailand and Singapore, Malaysia is one of the countries in South East Asia that are popular tourists destination. 

Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK) is the airport operator that benefits from the tourism recovery in Malaysia. 
Compared to Airports of Thailand (AOT TB) , Malaysia Airport is trading at a lower valuation, although it has recorded better operating numbers YTD. 


Malaysia Airport (MAHB): Undervalued Tourism Play in SEA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for Singapore's ST index ("STI") between now and the September 2023 index review.</li>
<li>With roughly 4 more months left for the base date, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> seems to be an ADD but it is close to the border.</li>
<li>Since the ranking system used for this index in based on prices as at a single point in time, the rankings could change significantly and our expectations could change too.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for Singapore's ST index ("STI") between now and the September 2023 index review.
With roughly 4 more months left for the base date, Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) seems to be an ADD but it is close to the border.
Since the ranking system used for this index in based on prices as at a single point in time, the rankings could change significantly and our expectations could change too.


Quiddity Leaderboard Singapore’s STI Sep 23: KDCREIT Facing Risk of Deletion

Singapore

SATS Limited provides integrated ground handling and in-flight catering services at Singapore Changi Airport.  The Company also provides aviation security, airline laundry, and airport cargo delivery management services.

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SATS (SATS SP)

SATS/WFS: The Future Is Cargo

I estimate a proforma, normalised, EV/EBITDA of 9.7x. Not too demanding. But not what I would consider "cheap". I would not be jumping into SATS...

David Blennerhassett

Comfortdelgro (CD): March on Chinese Tourists

Comfortdelgro Corp's share price lags behind tourism transport peers despite strong drivers like Chinese tourist influx and compelling valuation.

Henry Soediarko

Comfortdelgro (CD): The Chinese Is Back

Comfortdelgro enjoys new revenue stream that allows upside participation in the number of rides, and longer visa-free stay for Chinese tourists in...

Henry Soediarko

Malaysia Airport (MAHB): Undervalued Tourism Play in SEA

With the tourism recovery, MAHB is well positioned to capture the upside while it trades at a relatively undemanding valuation especially compared...

Henry Soediarko

Quiddity Leaderboard Singapore’s STI Sep 23: KDCREIT Facing Risk of Deletion

As things stand, there could be one day of volume to buy in Sembcorp Marine and two days of volume to sell in KDCREIT but if share prices fluctuate...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SATS/WFS: The Future Is Cargo

I estimate a proforma, normalised, EV/EBITDA of 9.7x. Not too demanding. But not what I would consider "cheap". I would not be jumping into SATS...

David Blennerhassett

Comfortdelgro (CD): March on Chinese Tourists

​Comfortdelgro Corp's share price lags behind tourism transport peers despite strong drivers like Chinese tourist influx and compelling valuation.

Henry Soediarko

Comfortdelgro (CD): The Chinese Is Back

Comfortdelgro enjoys new revenue stream that allows upside participation in the number of rides, and longer visa-free stay for Chinese tourists in...

Henry Soediarko

Malaysia Airport (MAHB): Undervalued Tourism Play in SEA

With the tourism recovery, MAHB is well positioned to capture the upside while it trades at a relatively undemanding valuation especially compared...

Henry Soediarko

Quiddity Leaderboard Singapore’s STI Sep 23: KDCREIT Facing Risk of Deletion

As things stand, there could be one day of volume to buy in Sembcorp Marine and two days of volume to sell in KDCREIT but if share prices fluctuate...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Comfortdelgro Corp's share price lags behind tourism transport peers despite strong drivers like Chinese tourist influx and compelling valuation.