Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025.</li><li>Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with signs of slowdown in shipments to markets like West Africa in April 2025.</li><li>Firmer margins and steadier prices coincide with steadier US Group II price discount to imported cargo prices in markets like India.</li></ul>

US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025.Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with signs of slowdown in shipments to markets like West Africa in April 2025.Firmer margins and steadier prices coincide with steadier US Group II price discount to imported cargo prices in markets like India.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 28 April

<ul><li>US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs.</li><li>Base oils prices hold steady even with lower feedstock prices in April 2025.</li><li>Lower feedstock prices raise concern about exposure to lower base oils prices, incentivizing buyers to hold back.</li></ul>

US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs.Base oils prices hold steady even with lower feedstock prices in April 2025.Lower feedstock prices raise concern about exposure to lower base oils prices, incentivizing buyers to hold back.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 April

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>U.S. oil producers need prices between USD 61-70 per barrel to maintain profitability. With prices around USD 60 per barrel, drilling activity is likely to decrease.</li>
<li>Rising tariffs and trade uncertainty are increasing oilfield equipment costs and threatening production growth in the United States.</li>
<li>While Saudi Arabia faces fiscal pressures and OPEC supply constraints, Petrobras benefits from low breakeven costs, no OPEC restrictions, and strong investment.</li>
</ul>


U.S. oil producers need prices between USD 61-70 per barrel to maintain profitability. With prices around USD 60 per barrel, drilling activity is likely to decrease.
Rising tariffs and trade uncertainty are increasing oilfield equipment costs and threatening production growth in the United States.
While Saudi Arabia faces fiscal pressures and OPEC supply constraints, Petrobras benefits from low breakeven costs, no OPEC restrictions, and strong investment.


The Diverging Impact of Falling Crude Prices on Various Oil Producing Regions

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 18/Apr, U.S. crude inventories rose by 0.2m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.7m barrel fall). Gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.</li>
<li>Henry Hub is headed for a fourth straight weekly decline. U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 88 Bcf, exceeding analyst expectations of a 69 Bcf build.</li>
<li>Analysts cut price targets for Exxon, Chevron, Occidental, and Halliburton. Activist investor Elliott raised its stake in BP to just over 5% via derivative contracts.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 18/Apr, U.S. crude inventories rose by 0.2m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.7m barrel fall). Gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell more than expected.
Henry Hub is headed for a fourth straight weekly decline. U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 88 Bcf, exceeding analyst expectations of a 69 Bcf build.
Analysts cut price targets for Exxon, Chevron, Occidental, and Halliburton. Activist investor Elliott raised its stake in BP to just over 5% via derivative contracts.


[ETP 2025/17] WTI Tumbles Amid U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty, Henry Hub Continues to Slide

<ul><li>Global base oils prices stay firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>Firm base oils margins point to tight supply and strong demand.</li><li>Firm base oils margins incentivize refiners to raise base oils output.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices stay firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.Firm base oils margins point to tight supply and strong demand.Firm base oils margins incentivize refiners to raise base oils output.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 21 April

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabian Oil Co., doing business as Saudi Aramco, operates as an oil exploration company. The Company focuses on hydrocarbons exploration, production, refining, distribution, and shipping, as well as provides crude oil marketing services. Saudi Aramco serves customers worldwide.

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Saudi Aramco (ARAMCO AB)

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 28 April

US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025. Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 April

US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs. Base oils prices hold steady even with...

Base Oil News

The Diverging Impact of Falling Crude Prices on Various Oil Producing Regions

U.S. oil producers face profitability challenges with prices near USD 60/b, while trade uncertainty raises equipment costs. Saudi Arabia struggles...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/17] WTI Tumbles Amid U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty, Henry Hub Continues to Slide

US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell. Analysts lowered price targets for major oil companies,...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 21 April

Global base oils prices stay firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Firm base oils margins point to tight supply and strong demand. Firm base...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 28 April

US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025. Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 April

US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs. Base oils prices hold steady even with...

Base Oil News

The Diverging Impact of Falling Crude Prices on Various Oil Producing Regions

​U.S. oil producers face profitability challenges with prices near USD 60/b, while trade uncertainty raises equipment costs. Saudi Arabia struggles...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2025/17] WTI Tumbles Amid U.S. Trade Policy Uncertainty, Henry Hub Continues to Slide

​US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell. Analysts lowered price targets for major oil companies,...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 21 April

Global base oils prices stay firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Firm base oils margins point to tight supply and strong demand. Firm base...

Base Oil News

U.S. oil producers face profitability challenges with prices near USD 60/b, while trade uncertainty raises equipment costs. Saudi Arabia struggles...

US crude inventories rose unexpectedly, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles fell. Analysts lowered price targets for major oil companies,...