Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 17th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD42.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare Ear, Aurizon, Suncorp, Beach Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 17th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD42.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare Ear, Aurizon, Suncorp, Beach Energy.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare Ear, Aurizon

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD40.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We estimate the total short interest changes of -1.9% WoW and highlight short interest changes in BHP.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 10th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD40.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We estimate the total short interest changes of -1.9% WoW and highlight short interest changes in BHP.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): BHP

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the March rebalance. There are free float and capping changes though.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.1% and will result in a one-way trade of US$19m. Flows are relatively small with no impact over 1x ADV on any stock.</li>
<li>The June rebalance should have constituent changes with an increase in the number of stocks in the index universe.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the March rebalance. There are free float and capping changes though.
One way turnover is estimated at 3.1% and will result in a one-way trade of US$19m. Flows are relatively small with no impact over 1x ADV on any stock.
The June rebalance should have constituent changes with an increase in the number of stocks in the index universe.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD41.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope, Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Fortescue Metals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD41.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope, Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Fortescue Metals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short seller Blue Orca is alleging <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlantic-lithium-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27991:1" rel="noopener">Atlantic Lithium (ALL LN)</a></strong> is seeking to obtain a Ghanaian lithium mining licence via "textbook corruption".</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piedmont-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17619:1" rel="noopener">Piedmont Lithium (PLL AU)</a></strong> is a substantial shareholder of Atlantic, together with a co-development agreement for the Ghanaian project, in which the mining license has yet to be ratified. </li>
<li>Orca reckons the license ratification will fail the corruption sniff test, which in turn will jeopardise the Tennessee lithium offtake facility, currently awaiting a DOE grant.</li>
</ul>


Short seller Blue Orca is alleging Atlantic Lithium (ALL LN) is seeking to obtain a Ghanaian lithium mining licence via "textbook corruption".

Piedmont Lithium (PLL AU) is a substantial shareholder of Atlantic, together with a co-development agreement for the Ghanaian project, in which the mining license has yet to be ratified. 
Orca reckons the license ratification will fail the corruption sniff test, which in turn will jeopardise the Tennessee lithium offtake facility, currently awaiting a DOE grant.


Piedmont Lithium: General Mosquito & "Textbook Corruption"

Australia

Sayona Mining Ltd is a diamond exploration and production company whose primary exploration tenements are located in the Republic of Botswana.

Price Gauge
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Sayona Mining (SYA AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare Ear, Aurizon

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week (as of March 10th). We highlight the short interest changes in BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday

There are no constituent changes in March, only float/capping changes. One-way turnover is estimated at 3.1% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Piedmont Lithium: General Mosquito & "Textbook Corruption"

There's a considerable amount of expectation on cashflow baked into Piedmont's price from the Tennessee and Quebec facility's off-take agreements....

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare Ear, Aurizon

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Northern Star Re, Arafura Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 10th): BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week (as of March 10th). We highlight the short interest changes in BHP.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday

There are no constituent changes in March, only float/capping changes. One-way turnover is estimated at 3.1% resulting in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare Ear, New Hope

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Medibank Private, Arafura Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Piedmont Lithium: General Mosquito & "Textbook Corruption"

There's a considerable amount of expectation on cashflow baked into Piedmont's price from the Tennessee and Quebec facility's off-take agreements....

David Blennerhassett

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes on Friday