Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We screen our coverage universe for earnings disappointments, EPS downgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental shorts.</li>
<li>Stocks in focus include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-cards-payment-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28662:1" rel="noopener">SBI Cards &amp; Payment Services (SBICARD IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pvr-inox-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10144:1" rel="noopener">Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/escorts-kubota-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6773:1" rel="noopener">Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Credit Cost for SBI is expected to remain elevated, PVR management seems to be misreading consumer preferences, and Macro uncertainties cloud ESCORTS.</li>
</ul>


We screen our coverage universe for earnings disappointments, EPS downgrades, and management narratives to identify fundamental shorts.
Stocks in focus include SBI Cards &amp; Payment Services (SBICARD IN) , Pvr Inox (PVRINOX IN), and Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN). 
Credit Cost for SBI is expected to remain elevated, PVR management seems to be misreading consumer preferences, and Macro uncertainties cloud ESCORTS.


Fundamental Shorts - SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>SBI Cards (SBICARD) missed estimates on account of higher-than-anticipated provisioning (8.1% of receivables) and higher cost of funds (+50bps QoQ)</li><li>The overall receivables mix remained stable with the mix of revolve + instalment loans at 61% (identical on a YoY basis)</li><li>Issuances witnessed a sharp de-growth (-33% YoY) on a high base, although attrition trended lower, driving strong CIF growth (+16% YoY)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

SBI Cards (SBICARD) missed estimates on account of higher-than-anticipated provisioning (8.1% of receivables) and higher cost of funds (+50bps QoQ)The overall receivables mix remained stable with the mix of revolve + instalment loans at 61% (identical on a YoY basis)Issuances witnessed a sharp de-growth (-33% YoY) on a high base, although attrition trended lower, driving strong CIF growth (+16% YoY)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SBI Cards and Payment Services: Gravy Train Derailed, Downgrade to ADD

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index. </li>
<li>There could be four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.
As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index. 
There could be four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

India Shelter Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> raised around US$144m from its India IPO.</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) raised around US$144m from its India IPO.
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


India Shelter Finance IPO Trading - Subscription Pulled by Strong Insti Demand

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/india-shelter-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40025:1" rel="noopener">India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN)</a> is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO.</li>
<li>India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO.
India Shelter Finance (ISF) is a retail-focused HFC targeting the self-employed customer with a focus on first time home loan takers in the low and middle income group.
In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our thoughts on valuation.


India Shelter Finance IPO - Strong Track Record Could Justify a Premium Valuation

India

SBI Card is an Indian non-banking financial company that specializes in issuing credit cards and providing related payment services to individual and corporate customers. It offers a diverse portfolio of credit cards, including lifestyle, rewards, travel & fuel, and banking partnership cards, along with corporate card solutions. The company was founded in 1998 as a joint venture and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.

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SBI Card (SBICARD IN)

Fundamental Shorts - SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota

This Insight highlights fundamental shorts identified in our coverage universe including SBI Cards, Pvr Inox, and Escorts Kubota.

Pranav Bhavsar

SBI Cards and Payment Services: Gravy Train Derailed, Downgrade to ADD

SBI Cards (SBICARD) missed estimates on account of higher-than-anticipated provisioning (8.1% of receivables) and higher cost of funds (+50bps QoQ)

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible

Wipro could be deleted from the SENSEX index in June 2024 and Coal India could become the replacement. There could be around three days of volume...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

India Shelter Finance IPO Trading - Subscription Pulled by Strong Insti Demand

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) raised around US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

India Shelter Finance IPO - Strong Track Record Could Justify a Premium Valuation

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fundamental Shorts - SBI Cards | PVR Inox | Escorts Kubota

This Insight highlights ​fundamental shorts identified in our coverage universe including SBI Cards, Pvr Inox, and Escorts Kubota.

Pranav Bhavsar

SBI Cards and Payment Services: Gravy Train Derailed, Downgrade to ADD

SBI Cards (SBICARD) missed estimates on account of higher-than-anticipated provisioning (8.1% of receivables) and higher cost of funds (+50bps QoQ)

HDFC Securities

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible

Wipro could be deleted from the SENSEX index in June 2024 and Coal India could become the replacement. There could be around three days of volume...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

India Shelter Finance IPO Trading - Subscription Pulled by Strong Insti Demand

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) raised around US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

India Shelter Finance IPO - Strong Track Record Could Justify a Premium Valuation

India Shelter Finance (0570670D IN) is looking to raise US$144m from its India IPO. In this note, we will look at past performance, and share our...

Clarence Chu

This Insight highlights fundamental shorts identified in our coverage universe including SBI Cards, Pvr Inox, and Escorts Kubota.

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible