External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.</li><li>This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.</li><li>The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth (as of 20th Sep’24) continued to remain healthy at 13% YoY.This growth continues to be led by Retail and SMEs, while corporate credit continues to remain sluggish.The deceleration in credit growth is most likely primarily amongst the private sector banks as they aim to reduce their LDR and maintain them at balance levels. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 43% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (21.6% return over the same period) by a wide margin.</li><li>A few picks that reported excellent returns included PNC Infratech (15.5%), CIE Automotive India (8.5%), Coal India (8.1%), TVS Motor Company (5.8%), and Bharti Airtel (3.8%).</li><li>You can refer to our latest report here. Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 88% in May’24. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 43% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (21.6% return over the same period) by a wide margin.A few picks that reported excellent returns included PNC Infratech (15.5%), CIE Automotive India (8.5%), Coal India (8.1%), TVS Motor Company (5.8%), and Bharti Airtel (3.8%).You can refer to our latest report here. Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 88% in May’24. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Key Highlights of the Month – Fundamental

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Closing Auction Session (CAS) kicked off on 3 August for Indian stocks that are part of the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.</li>
<li>Daily total turnover in CAS since launch has averaged around US$128m. In comparison, global passives will need to trade around US$4bn of F&amp;O stocks at the CAS on 31 August.</li>
<li>There could be large moves in affected stocks in the lead up to the CAS on Monday, followed by more large moves at CAS, and a potential reversal on Tuesday. </li>
</ul>


The Closing Auction Session (CAS) kicked off on 3 August for Indian stocks that are part of the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.
Daily total turnover in CAS since launch has averaged around US$128m. In comparison, global passives will need to trade around US$4bn of F&amp;O stocks at the CAS on 31 August.
There could be large moves in affected stocks in the lead up to the CAS on Monday, followed by more large moves at CAS, and a potential reversal on Tuesday. 


India: Key CAS Test on Monday as Global Index Rebalances

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on select categories of consumer credit</li><li>Our discussions with experts suggest that the RBI’s note of caution is largely centred on small-ticket personal loans (STPL) (ticket size</li><li>The RBI’s risk-weight measures are likely to increase the hurdle rate for banks and NBFCs towards unsecured consumer loans, resulting in a material growth deceleration</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on select categories of consumer creditOur discussions with experts suggest that the RBI’s note of caution is largely centred on small-ticket personal loans (STPL) (ticket sizeThe RBI’s risk-weight measures are likely to increase the hurdle rate for banks and NBFCs towards unsecured consumer loans, resulting in a material growth decelerationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: Emerging Long-Tail Risks in Unsecured Credit

<ul><li>As a part of the circular, the RBI has announced an increase in risk weight to 125% from the current 100% for all consumer credit exposure of commercial banks – both existing and new.</li><li>This will include personal loans but exclude housing, vehicle, and education loans as well as loans against gold and gold jewellery.</li><li>The regulator also increased the risk weight for exposure of consumer credit exposure of NBFCs (outstanding as well as new) categorised as retail loans from the current 100% to 125%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As a part of the circular, the RBI has announced an increase in risk weight to 125% from the current 100% for all consumer credit exposure of commercial banks – both existing and new.This will include personal loans but exclude housing, vehicle, and education loans as well as loans against gold and gold jewellery.The regulator also increased the risk weight for exposure of consumer credit exposure of NBFCs (outstanding as well as new) categorised as retail loans from the current 100% to 125%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BFSI Sector Update - RBI Regulation on Risk Weight

India

SBI Card is an Indian non-banking financial company that specializes in issuing credit cards and providing related payment services to individual and corporate customers. It offers a diverse portfolio of credit cards, including lifestyle, rewards, travel & fuel, and banking partnership cards, along with corporate card solutions. The company was founded in 1998 as a joint venture and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.

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SBI Card (SBICARD IN)

Q2FY25 Earnings Preview - Banks, Financial Services and Insurance

Mirroring the systemic credit growth trends, we expect banks under our coverage (incl. SFBs) to register credit growth of ~14/4% YoY/QoQ.

Axis Direct

Key Highlights of the Month – Fundamental

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 43% over the last one year, beating the benchmark Nifty 50...

Axis Direct

India: Key CAS Test on Monday as Global Index Rebalances

CAS kicked off on 3 August and turnover has averaged US$128m. A global index rebalance on Monday will require passives to trade many multiples of...

Brian Freitas

Leveraged Financials: Emerging Long-Tail Risks in Unsecured Credit

India’s heterogenous unsecured retail credit market (US$160bn, 3-year CAGR at ~23%) has been in the headlines ever since the RBI clamped down on...

HDFC Securities

BFSI Sector Update - RBI Regulation on Risk Weight

As a part of the circular, the RBI has announced an increase in risk weight to 125% from the current 100% for all consumer credit exposure of...

Axis Direct

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