Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Carlyle Group is buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-pmc-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13752:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP)</a> from 54+% owner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7343:1" rel="noopener">Dic Corp (4631 JP)</a> and minorities in a Tender Offer with optical premium of 89%. </li>
<li>It looks good, takes advantage of tax code particularities, and the nature of the company disguises some value. Shareholder structure means this is basically a done deal before it starts.</li>
<li>With minimal foreign active investor ownership, and significant crossholder, ESOP, and director ownership, only a bit of retail actually needs to tender to make this successful.</li>
</ul>


Carlyle Group is buying Seiko Pmc Corp (4963 JP) from 54+% owner Dic Corp (4631 JP) and minorities in a Tender Offer with optical premium of 89%. 
It looks good, takes advantage of tax code particularities, and the nature of the company disguises some value. Shareholder structure means this is basically a done deal before it starts.
With minimal foreign active investor ownership, and significant crossholder, ESOP, and director ownership, only a bit of retail actually needs to tender to make this successful.


Carlyle Group Tender Offer for Seiko PMC (4963) At 89% Premium

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Marginal float helped fuel the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a> bubble. Then it popped. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.</li>
<li>The backlash against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-cm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36658:1" rel="noopener">Star CM Holdings (6698 HK)</a> calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.</li>
</ul>


Marginal float helped fuel the VinFast (VFS US) bubble. Then it popped. 
The Prosus (PRX NA)/Naspers (NPN SJ) Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.
The backlash against Star CM Holdings (6698 HK) calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

<ul>
<li>Seven weeks ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marubeni-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7463:1" rel="noopener">Marubeni Corp (8002 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/secom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11405:1" rel="noopener">Secom Co Ltd (9735 JP)</a> announced a joint deal to acquire the rest of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>As I wrote in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/marubeni-secom-to-launch-tender-offer-for-arteria-networks-4423" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:101969" rel="noopener">the previous piece</a>, the premium was good, but the price was not great. The Board rejected the price, then agreed when the bidders wouldn't go further.  </li>
<li>Now we have a deal and the Tender Offer starts 5 July. It was cheap to start. It's still too cheap. But this one is tough to block.</li>
</ul>


Seven weeks ago, Marubeni Corp (8002 JP) and Secom Co Ltd (9735 JP) announced a joint deal to acquire the rest of ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP). 
As I wrote in the previous piece, the premium was good, but the price was not great. The Board rejected the price, then agreed when the bidders wouldn't go further.  
Now we have a deal and the Tender Offer starts 5 July. It was cheap to start. It's still too cheap. But this one is tough to block.


Arteria Networks (4423) Tender Launches 5 July.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcland-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2392:1" rel="noopener">Arcland Service (3085 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>.       </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH),  Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Arcland Service (3085 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Amara Holdings (AMA SP), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK).       


Weekly Deals Digest (25 Jun) - Alibaba, JSR, Shinsei, Arcland, InvoCare, J&T Global, Amman Mineral

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-laser-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33498:1" rel="noopener">Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/musgrave-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1" rel="noopener">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU), Estia Health (EHE AU), Chindata Group (CD US), ENM Holdings (128 HK).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Penguin International (PBS SP).


Merger Arb Mondays (19 Jun) - Golden Eagle, Hailan, Yitai Coal, Toshiba, Kenedix, Tesserent, Oishi

Japan

SBI Shinsei Bank, Ltd. provides banking services including deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transaction, as well as investment trust service and issuance of long-term bonds.

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SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)

Carlyle Group Tender Offer for Seiko PMC (4963) At 89% Premium

Carlyle doing a TOB at a high - 89% - premium for Seiko PMC (4963 JP). It is 54% owned by DIC (4631) who will sell shares at a lower price. This is...

Travis Lundy

Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Arteria Networks (4423) Tender Launches 5 July.

Marubeni and Secom agreed to buy Arteria Networks. Arteria agreed to sell itself at a price it repeatedly called inadequate. Investors should have...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Deals Digest (25 Jun) - Alibaba, JSR, Shinsei, Arcland, InvoCare, J&T Global, Amman Mineral

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (InvoCare, Arcland, JSR, SBI Shinsei, Amara, Yashili) and ECM (Alibaba, J&T Global...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (19 Jun) - Golden Eagle, Hailan, Yitai Coal, Toshiba, Kenedix, Tesserent, Oishi

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (28.4%), United Malt (14.7%), Silk Laser (14.7%), Estia (10.0%), Chindata (9.7%), ENM (9.4%), Metro...

Arun George

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