Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Rakuten Bank’s IPO will add an attractively valued Japanese neobank to the globally listed neobank universe; furthermore, the Rakuten Group ecosystem is a powerful tool for customer acquisition and retention</li>
<li>On efficiency metrics, Rakuten Bank scores well versus its key domestic peers as well as global comparables; Rakuten Group companies act as a key conduit for new clients</li>
<li>At the announced issue price of ¥1,400, Rakuten Bank’s PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to its core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for similar ROE</li>
</ul>


Rakuten Bank’s IPO will add an attractively valued Japanese neobank to the globally listed neobank universe; furthermore, the Rakuten Group ecosystem is a powerful tool for customer acquisition and retention
On efficiency metrics, Rakuten Bank scores well versus its key domestic peers as well as global comparables; Rakuten Group companies act as a key conduit for new clients
At the announced issue price of ¥1,400, Rakuten Bank’s PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to its core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for similar ROE


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – A Keenly Priced Quality Addition to the Global Neobanks Universe

Asian bank research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Asian bank research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japan's domestic credit growth is now running at 4.2% YoY in the latest month in February 2024. </li>
<li>The slope of Japan's domestic credit growth is greater than all developed Asia Pacific peer countries.</li>
<li>Weaker JPY can further raise interest in tourism, and USD translation of earnings for megabanks.</li>
</ul>


Japan's domestic credit growth is now running at 4.2% YoY in the latest month in February 2024. 
The slope of Japan's domestic credit growth is greater than all developed Asia Pacific peer countries.
Weaker JPY can further raise interest in tourism, and USD translation of earnings for megabanks.


Japan - Domestic Credit Growth Acceleration Higher Than Developed Asian Countries

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up - KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite Rakuten Bank shares’ re-rating, we believe it remains attractive, with its strong balance sheet and its low cost base with undemanding valuations compared to its Asian digital banking peers</li>
<li>Rakuten Bank is well positioned to benefit from the negative interest rate policy exit in Japan, with its low LDR, high cash balances, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio</li>
<li>It continues to leverage off the Rakuten Group eco-system, as a low cost source of new customers; nearly a third of clients use Rakuten Bank as their primary Japanese bank</li>
</ul>


Despite Rakuten Bank shares’ re-rating, we believe it remains attractive, with its strong balance sheet and its low cost base with undemanding valuations compared to its Asian digital banking peers
Rakuten Bank is well positioned to benefit from the negative interest rate policy exit in Japan, with its low LDR, high cash balances, growing loan book and healthy capital ratio
It continues to leverage off the Rakuten Group eco-system, as a low cost source of new customers; nearly a third of clients use Rakuten Bank as their primary Japanese bank


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Stands Out from the Other Asian Digital Banks

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Rakuten Bank offering in early December was a great time to buy the dip of you sold end-September. It should have been a good time to buy outright.</li>
<li>Unfortunately, the stock priced at ¥2,470, then closed that day at ¥2,500. That was the high for the next ten weeks. Two weeks later it was 20% lower. Ouch.</li>
<li>But it climbed out of the abyss, gained 35% in 8wks, then Thursday the Bank announced a new Shareholder Benefit program. Today the stock was +7%. Worth looking at details.</li>
</ul>


The Rakuten Bank offering in early December was a great time to buy the dip of you sold end-September. It should have been a good time to buy outright.
Unfortunately, the stock priced at ¥2,470, then closed that day at ¥2,500. That was the high for the next ten weeks. Two weeks later it was 20% lower. Ouch.
But it climbed out of the abyss, gained 35% in 8wks, then Thursday the Bank announced a new Shareholder Benefit program. Today the stock was +7%. Worth looking at details.


Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) - Introduces a Yutai Program to Goose the Mar24 Price, Mar25 EPS

Japan

SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Ltd. offers general banking services. The Company provides transfer accounts, deposits, currency savings, mortgages, net loans, investment trusts, insurance products, and other banking services. SBI Sumishin Net Bank offers services to individuals and businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – A Keenly Priced Quality Addition to the Global Neobanks Universe

Rakuten Bank's IPO is priced to go; issue price PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for...

Victor Galliano

Japan - Domestic Credit Growth Acceleration Higher Than Developed Asian Countries

Japan bank's domestic credit growth is stronger than most others in developed Asia, and the pace of growth is far stronger now compared with early...

Daniel Tabbush

Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up - KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its...

Sumeet Singh

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Stands Out from the Other Asian Digital Banks

Rakuten Bank's shares have re-rated but remain attractive with solid balance sheet, low cost base, ability to leverage the Rakuten Group eco...

Victor Galliano

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) - Introduces a Yutai Program to Goose the Mar24 Price, Mar25 EPS

Rakuten Bank reached new highs on Friday. This is a reminder that they announced something to goose the price into fiscal year-end. Worth keeping...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) – A Keenly Priced Quality Addition to the Global Neobanks Universe

Rakuten Bank's IPO is priced to go; issue price PBV ratio implies an attractive 25% discount to core Japanese peer SBI Sumishin Net Bank, for...

Victor Galliano

Japan - Domestic Credit Growth Acceleration Higher Than Developed Asian Countries

Japan bank's domestic credit growth is stronger than most others in developed Asia, and the pace of growth is far stronger now compared with early...

Daniel Tabbush

Kokusai Electric IPO Lock-Up - KKR Will Be Tempted by the US$2.7bn Release but Might Have to Wait

KKR raised around US$730m via selling some stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) Japan IPO in Sep 2023. Its remaining stake will be released from its...

Sumeet Singh

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) Stands Out from the Other Asian Digital Banks

​Rakuten Bank's shares have re-rated but remain attractive with solid balance sheet, low cost base, ability to leverage the Rakuten Group eco...

Victor Galliano

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) - Introduces a Yutai Program to Goose the Mar24 Price, Mar25 EPS

Rakuten Bank reached new highs on Friday. This is a reminder that they announced something to goose the price into fiscal year-end. Worth keeping...

Travis Lundy

Rakuten Bank's shares have re-rated but remain attractive with solid balance sheet, low cost base, ability to leverage the Rakuten Group eco...