Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

BE Semiconductor Industries NV / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • AMG Critcal Materials | sells Graphit Kropfmühl to Asbury Carbons • SBM Offshore | entering AI partnerships with SLB and Cognite • Nexperia | Dutch government has taken control • Dutch politics | has GroenLinks/PvdA peaked too soon?</li></ul>

In this edition: • AMG Critcal Materials | sells Graphit Kropfmühl to Asbury Carbons • SBM Offshore | entering AI partnerships with SLB and Cognite • Nexperia | Dutch government has taken control • Dutch politics | has GroenLinks/PvdA peaked too soon?

BE Semiconductor Industries NV - What's News in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In today's edition: • a.s.r. | very strong performance on all fronts in 1H25 • Corbion | to cooperate with KAS developing natural Astaxanthin • SBM Offshore | Petrobras postpones Campos basin FPSO tender</li></ul>

In today's edition: • a.s.r. | very strong performance on all fronts in 1H25 • Corbion | to cooperate with KAS developing natural Astaxanthin • SBM Offshore | Petrobras postpones Campos basin FPSO tender

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 20 August (a.s.r. Nederland | Corbion | SBM Offshore)

<ul><li>In this edition: • NN Group | OGC beats consensus; S-II ratio above 150-200% comfort range • SBM Offshore | guidance up, share price down • ForFarmers | post earnings call comment • bpostgroup | 2Q25 beats consensus thanks to strong performance 3PL and Cross-border</li></ul>

In this edition: • NN Group | OGC beats consensus; S-II ratio above 150-200% comfort range • SBM Offshore | guidance up, share price down • ForFarmers | post earnings call comment • bpostgroup | 2Q25 beats consensus thanks to strong performance 3PL and Cross-border

What's News in Amsterdam - 8 August 2025 (NN Group | SBMO | ForFarmers | bpostgroup)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $119-$121.
$123-$123.50 remains short-term support to watch on ACWI-US (6.5-month base); we would expect support here on a pullback, but a break below it would likely mean a test of $119-$121


Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

Netherlands

SBM Offshore NV, through subsidiaries, offers services to the offshore oil and gas industry worldwide.  The Company supplies and installs floating production and/or storage facilities and terminals for the loading or unloading of tankers.  SBM offers, on long-term lease, floating facilities for the production, storage, and export of crude oil and gas.

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SBM Offshore NV (SBMO NA)

BE Semiconductor Industries NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • AMG Critcal Materials | sells Graphit Kropfmühl to Asbury Carbons • SBM Offshore | entering AI partnerships with SLB and...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 20 August (a.s.r. Nederland | Corbion | SBM Offshore)

In today's edition: • a.s.r. | very strong performance on all fronts in 1H25 • Corbion | to cooperate with KAS developing natural...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 8 August 2025 (NN Group | SBMO | ForFarmers | bpostgroup)

In this edition: • NN Group | OGC beats consensus; S-II ratio above 150-200% comfort range • SBM Offshore | guidance up, share price...

The IDEA!

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports

Israel TA-125 Remains Bullish; Buys in Norway; All MSCI Global Indexes Above Base Supports $ACWI, $ACWX, ACWI ex-US Small-Caps, $EEM, and $EFA....

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

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