Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AMG decided to make a capital investment of USD 15m to establish an aluminothermic production facility to manufacture chrome metal in the United States.</li>
<li>The facility, with an annual capacity of up to 6,500 tons, will be located next to AMG Titanium’s facility in New Castle, Pennsylvania.</li>
<li>AMG expects the facility to be operational in 26Q1. Comment | AMG Chrome is a major producer of chrome metal in the UK. </li>
</ul>


AMG decided to make a capital investment of USD 15m to establish an aluminothermic production facility to manufacture chrome metal in the United States.
The facility, with an annual capacity of up to 6,500 tons, will be located next to AMG Titanium’s facility in New Castle, Pennsylvania.
AMG expects the facility to be operational in 26Q1. Comment | AMG Chrome is a major producer of chrome metal in the UK. 


What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 9 April (AMG Critical Materials | SBM Offshore | NX Filtration)

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) / Technical Analysis

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG) (8306 JP)

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact. Actionable Themes today include Financials, Energy, and Consumer Discretionary (European Luxury Retailers)</li>
<li>We view this pullback as a buying opportunity and we are watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US; this is an important resistance-turned-support level dating back to July 2024.</li>
<li>Europe and Japan are on the cusp of major breakouts above critical resistance levels of 5000-5120 on the EURO STOXX 50 and 2740-2820 on the TOPIX</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact. Actionable Themes today include Financials, Energy, and Consumer Discretionary (European Luxury Retailers)
We view this pullback as a buying opportunity and we are watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US; this is an important resistance-turned-support level dating back to July 2024.
Europe and Japan are on the cusp of major breakouts above critical resistance levels of 5000-5120 on the EURO STOXX 50 and 2740-2820 on the TOPIX


Opportunity Within Europe and Japan; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX/Nikkei 225 Near Major Breakouts

<p>Positive COVID vaccine news has since led to bullish inflections in a staggering number of countries, ACWI-US included. Our current outlook is bullish. Buy dips. In this report we outline key technical levels across markets and highlight actionable ideas within our Financials &amp; Energy Sectors.</p>

Positive COVID vaccine news has since led to bullish inflections in a staggering number of countries, ACWI-US included. Our current outlook is bullish. Buy dips. In this report we outline key technical levels across markets and highlight actionable ideas within our Financials &amp; Energy Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic partnership with Stok • SBM Offshore | completes USD 465m financing of FSO Chalchi • Alfen | CFO Onno Krap to step down per 1 July</li></ul>

In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic partnership with Stok • SBM Offshore | completes USD 465m financing of FSO Chalchi • Alfen | CFO Onno Krap to step down per 1 July

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 29 June (Unilever | IMCD | Arcadis | SBM Offshore | Alfen)

Netherlands

SBM Offshore NV, through subsidiaries, offers services to the offshore oil and gas industry worldwide.  The Company supplies and installs floating production and/or storage facilities and terminals for the loading or unloading of tankers.  SBM offers, on long-term lease, floating facilities for the production, storage, and export of crude oil and gas.

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SBM Offshore NV (SBMO NA)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 9 April (AMG Critical Materials | SBM Offshore | NX Filtration)

AMG decided to make a capital investment of USD 15m to establish an aluminothermic production facility to manufacture chrome metal in the United...

The IDEA!

Opportunity Within Europe and Japan; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX/Nikkei 225 Near Major Breakouts

Opportunity Within Europe and Japan $HEDJ $DXJ; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX/Nikkei 225 Near Major Breakouts. $ACWI above $116. Buys in Financials,...

Vermilion Research

Bullish Inflections Around The World

In this report we outline key technical levels across markets and highlight actionable ideas within our Financials & Energy Sectors.

Vermilion Research

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 29 June (Unilever | IMCD | Arcadis | SBM Offshore | Alfen)

In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic...

The IDEA!

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