EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Yemen has once again hit the headlines as structural issues lead to political uncertainty and tumult. The situation may not be as bad as the headlines are likely to make it&nbsp;out however and we believe it will be contained.</p>

Yemen has once again hit the headlines as structural issues lead to political uncertainty and tumult. The situation may not be as bad as the headlines are likely to make it&nbsp;out however and we believe it will be contained.

<p>There is a high probability of a nuclear deal being agreed between the P5 + 1 nations and Iran next Friday, 20th March. This may be the precursor for energy stocks to recouple to downside and for spending cuts to spread from capex to dividends for majors.</p>

There is a high probability of a nuclear deal being agreed between the P5 + 1 nations and Iran next Friday, 20th March. This may be the precursor for energy stocks to recouple to downside and for spending cuts to spread from capex to dividends for majors.

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

China Oilfield Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Business continues to grow as sales, profits and margins rise</li>
<li>The overall industry supply demand dynamics continue to be supportive</li>
<li>Key business drivers such as capacity utilisation and rates moving in the right direction</li>
</ul>


Business continues to grow as sales, profits and margins rise
The overall industry supply demand dynamics continue to be supportive
Key business drivers such as capacity utilisation and rates moving in the right direction


China Oilfield Services (2883.HK) – Interim Results Show Continued Strong Growth

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Transocean's first quarter results for 2025 present a mixed picture of financial performance and strategic positioning.</li><li>The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $244 million on contract drilling revenues of $906 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of approximately 27%.</li><li>This indicates a relatively stable operational milieu, supported by notable contract extensions such as the one-year extension option for the Deepwater Asgard and a $40 million backlog from contract extensions on the Transocean Equinox.</li></ul>

Transocean's first quarter results for 2025 present a mixed picture of financial performance and strategic positioning.The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $244 million on contract drilling revenues of $906 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin of approximately 27%.This indicates a relatively stable operational milieu, supported by notable contract extensions such as the one-year extension option for the Deepwater Asgard and a $40 million backlog from contract extensions on the Transocean Equinox.

Transocean Ltd.: Will Its Rebound in Offshore Drilling Activity Bring A Shift In The Competitive Dynamics?

<ul><li>Transocean's latest financial results showcase a complex landscape with mixed implications that investors should consider carefully.</li><li>For the fourth quarter of 2024, Transocean reported adjusted EBITDA of $323 million from $952 million in contract drilling revenues, reflecting an EBITDA margin of approximately 34%.</li><li>For the full year, the company achieved adjusted EBITDA of $1.15 billion on $3.5 billion in revenues, with a slightly lower margin of 33%.</li></ul>

Transocean's latest financial results showcase a complex landscape with mixed implications that investors should consider carefully.For the fourth quarter of 2024, Transocean reported adjusted EBITDA of $323 million from $952 million in contract drilling revenues, reflecting an EBITDA margin of approximately 34%.For the full year, the company achieved adjusted EBITDA of $1.15 billion on $3.5 billion in revenues, with a slightly lower margin of 33%.

Seadrill Ltd - Transocean Ltd.: Market Dynamics & Strategic Positioning Fueling Our Positivity!

United States

Seadrill Limited operates as an oil and gas field service company. The Company offers drilling contracting services to unlock oil and gas resources for clients across harsh and benign locations. Seadrill serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Seadrill (SDRL US)

Yemen - Dancing on the heads of snakes

Yemen has once again hit the headlines as structural issues lead to political uncertainty and tumult. The situation may not be as bad as the...

Emad Mostaque

Will an Iran deal crack oil?

There is a high probability of a nuclear deal being agreed between the P5 + 1 nations and Iran next Friday, 20th March. This may be the precursor...

Emad Mostaque

China Oilfield Services (2883.HK) – Interim Results Show Continued Strong Growth

Oil and oil-related stocks have started to move. This one is a capital cycle story. The offshore oil services industry has minimal new entrants as...

Rikki Malik

Transocean Ltd.: Will Its Rebound in Offshore Drilling Activity Bring A Shift In The Competitive Dynamics?

Transocean's first quarter results for 2025 present a mixed picture of financial performance and strategic positioning. The company reported...

Baptista Research

Seadrill Ltd - Transocean Ltd.: Market Dynamics & Strategic Positioning Fueling Our Positivity!

Transocean's latest financial results showcase a complex landscape with mixed implications that investors should consider carefully. For the...

Baptista Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)