External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.</li><li>Overall, inventory digestion is below expectation in 2Q23 and demand recovery remains weak in 2H23E.</li><li>That said, we believe the worst is behind with global semi sales of -17% YoY in 2Q23, an improvement vs -21% YoY in 1Q23, and we expect sequential sales recovery will continue into 3Q/4Q23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.Overall, inventory digestion is below expectation in 2Q23 and demand recovery remains weak in 2H23E.That said, we believe the worst is behind with global semi sales of -17% YoY in 2Q23, an improvement vs -21% YoY in 1Q23, and we expect sequential sales recovery will continue into 3Q/4Q23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Global Foundry 2Q23 Wrap: Prolonged Inventory Correction

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK: US outbound investment restrictions likely to exempt publicly traded securities (+/+/+)</li>
<li>NIO/1211 HK: Geely's sub-brand Zeekr cut price of its 001 model (-/-)</li>
<li>XPEV/NIO/BYD: Tesla China cuts Model Y prices and offers insurance subsidy for Model 3 (-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK: US outbound investment restrictions likely to exempt publicly traded securities (+/+/+)
NIO/1211 HK: Geely's sub-brand Zeekr cut price of its 001 model (-/-)
XPEV/NIO/BYD: Tesla China cuts Model Y prices and offers insurance subsidy for Model 3 (-/-/-)


China TMT Update-ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK/NIO/1211.HK/XPEV/BYD-Tesla Cuts Model Y Prices/Geely Cuts Price

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>Foundry segment is on track to decline 15% YoY with no prospects of a meaningful H2 recovery</li>
<li>Inventory levels across smartphone, PC and consumer electronic supply chains remain elevated, plagued by lack-lustre end user demand. </li>
<li>At least some of the key players appear to be lowering prices but this is highly unlikely to stimulate end user demand and may actually make things worse</li>
</ul>


Foundry segment is on track to decline 15% YoY with no prospects of a meaningful H2 recovery
Inventory levels across smartphone, PC and consumer electronic supply chains remain elevated, plagued by lack-lustre end user demand. 
At least some of the key players appear to be lowering prices but this is highly unlikely to stimulate end user demand and may actually make things worse


Q2'23 Foundry Flounders As Inventory Stubbornly Lingers

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Ingenic Semiconductor / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Ingenic Semiconductor, a fabless memory and computing IC designer, launched its IPO to raise USD 410m through an A+H listing. GTJA is the sole sponsor.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Ingenic Semiconductor, a fabless memory and computing IC designer, launched its IPO to raise USD 410m through an A+H listing. GTJA is the sole sponsor.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze reference A+H transactions, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Ingenic Semiconductor (北京君正) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

<ul><li>Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.</li><li>Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.</li><li>Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates as a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp) (688981 CH)

SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp)

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SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp) (688981 CH)

China Technology – Global Foundry 2Q23 Wrap: Prolonged Inventory Correction

Major global semi foundries (TSMC/UMC/VIS/GF/SMIC/HH) reported in-line 2Q23 but mixed 3Q23 outlook on slower demand recovery and ASP/margin pressure.

CMB International

China TMT Update-ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK/NIO/1211.HK/XPEV/BYD-Tesla Cuts Model Y Prices/Geely Cuts Price

ACMR/981.HK/1347.HK: US outbound investment restrictions;NIO/1211 HK: Geely's sub-brand Zeekr cut price;XPEV/NIO/BYD: Tesla China cuts Model Y...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Q2'23 Foundry Flounders As Inventory Stubbornly Lingers

Foundry heading for 15% YoY decline with no prospect of a meaningful H2 recovery. Some key players may be lowering prices. This is unlikely to...

William Keating

Ingenic Semiconductor (北京君正) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Ingenic Semiconductor's USD 410m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms, track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors, as well as...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.

CMB International

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