Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first three weeks in April were HK$168bn.</li>
<li>Gross and net flows this week subsided quite substantially compared to previous weeks. </li>
<li>We are in a post-tariff breather as the US says the ball is in China's court and China looks like it will wait things out. Port volumes are telling.</li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first three weeks in April were HK$168bn.
Gross and net flows this week subsided quite substantially compared to previous weeks. 
We are in a post-tariff breather as the US says the ball is in China's court and China looks like it will wait things out. Port volumes are telling.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 18 Apr 2025); Buying of Internet, SOEs, and ETFs Previously Sold

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.</li>
<li>On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.</li>
<li>There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. </li>
</ul>



Lenovo (992 HK), AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK), and Tcl Multimedia Technology (1070 HK) are the prime beneficiaries of Trump's tariff exemption.
On average, they have 24.5% of revenue from the US market, and their share price has collapsed 19.8% MTD. They are well set to have a decent rebound.
There will be speculations that more exemptions in other sectors will be granted, and the big losers will see a relief rally. 


China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn. </li>
<li>The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn as what appeared to be national team, or equally patriotic buyers, showed up droves to buy financials, energy, telecoms, and big techs.</li>
<li>Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but frankly, the only thing that matters is the back and forth by the Donald.</li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn. 
The first two weeks in April were HK$145bn as what appeared to be national team, or equally patriotic buyers, showed up droves to buy financials, energy, telecoms, and big techs.
Included is a summary of important China Stocks-relevant news as I saw it this week, but frankly, the only thing that matters is the back and forth by the Donald.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 11th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 11th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 11th): Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalfoundries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34513:1" rel="noopener">GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US)</a> saw positive reactions in their stocks following a possible merger news, despite the current instability in the stock markets.  </li>
<li>Although <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalfoundries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34513:1" rel="noopener">GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US)</a>'s technology is held above 7nm, it is ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a>, which is still certain generations above China’s current technology in general.  </li>
<li>If these two companies wish to merge, there are still some subjective factors that need to be considered, and it will not be easy to get approval.  </li>
</ul>


Both United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) and GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US) saw positive reactions in their stocks following a possible merger news, despite the current instability in the stock markets.  
Although GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS US)'s technology is held above 7nm, it is ahead of United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US), which is still certain generations above China’s current technology in general.  
If these two companies wish to merge, there are still some subjective factors that need to be considered, and it will not be easy to get approval.  


UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Merges with GFS? It Should Be a Terrific, but It Won't Be Easy to Happen.

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 18 Apr 2025); Buying of Internet, SOEs, and ETFs Previously Sold

SOUTHBOUND gross flows were super slow for the week comparatively speaking, but they were still a net buy. BABA and Tencent and Meituan were buys....

Travis Lundy

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

SOUTHBOUND saw a record week of net buying of HK at +82.25bn. Tech (including Consumer Disc name Alibaba) were the big net buys. SOE banks, tech,...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 11th): Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Merges with GFS? It Should Be a Terrific, but It Won't Be Easy to Happen.

Stocks of UMC US and GFS US rise on possible merger news despite market instability. GFS ahead in technology but merger faces challenges.

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 18 Apr 2025); Buying of Internet, SOEs, and ETFs Previously Sold

SOUTHBOUND gross flows were super slow for the week comparatively speaking, but they were still a net buy. BABA and Tencent and Meituan were buys....

Travis Lundy

China & HK Strategy: Tariff Exemption Beneficiaries

​Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 11 Apr 2025); Record Net Buying

SOUTHBOUND saw a record week of net buying of HK at +82.25bn. Tech (including Consumer Disc name Alibaba) were the big net buys. SOE banks, tech,...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 11th): Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, China Mobile, SMIC, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Merges with GFS? It Should Be a Terrific, but It Won't Be Easy to Happen.

​Stocks of UMC US and GFS US rise on possible merger news despite market instability. GFS ahead in technology but merger faces challenges.

Patrick Liao

Lenovo, AAC Technologies, BYD Electronics, and Tcl Multimedia are set to benefit from Trump's tariff exemption, with potential for a rebound in...

Stocks of UMC US and GFS US rise on possible merger news despite market instability. GFS ahead in technology but merger faces challenges.