Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable / Index Rebalance

Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (6869 HK)

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in February will be announced pre-market open tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 27 February.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangtze-optical-fibre-and-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:83:1" rel="noopener">Yangtze Optical Fibre And H (6869 HK)</a> is up 90% over the last 3 weeks and the AH premium versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangtze-optical-fibre-cable" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29980:1" rel="noopener">Yangtze Optical Fibre &amp; Cable (601869 CH)</a> has dropped significantly.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in February will be announced pre-market open tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 27 February.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.

Yangtze Optical Fibre And H (6869 HK) is up 90% over the last 3 weeks and the AH premium versus Yangtze Optical Fibre &amp; Cable (601869 CH) has dropped significantly.


Global Index: Potential Changes in February for Asia Pac

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 2nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC, Sensetime.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 2nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC, Sensetime.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC, Sensetime

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax Group (100 HK)</a>, a global AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>As of September 2025, its AI-native products had cumulatively served over 200m individual users across over 200 countries and regions.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



MiniMax Group (100 HK), a global AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing.
As of September 2025, its AI-native products had cumulatively served over 200m individual users across over 200 countries and regions.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequitas: MiniMax IPO Trading - Highest AI Linked Coverage so Far

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-zhipu-huazhang-technology-co-ltd-knowledge-atlas-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44500:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)</a>'s debut is lukewarm, and currently trading on 37.8x P/S for FY27, it is close to fairly valued. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a>'s B2C focus and its 3-year revenue CAGR of 126.8% (vs. 63.9%) warrants FY27 P/S of 55.1x, up from 48.8x as its peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moore-threads-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40221:1" rel="noopener">Moore Threads (688795 CH)</a> rallied. </li>
<li>Our fair value of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a> equals a 45% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-zhipu-huazhang-technology-co-ltd-knowledge-atlas-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44500:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)</a>, justified by its above-sector momentum and "winner-take-all" characteristics.</li>
</ul>



Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK)'s debut is lukewarm, and currently trading on 37.8x P/S for FY27, it is close to fairly valued. 

MiniMax (100 HK)'s B2C focus and its 3-year revenue CAGR of 126.8% (vs. 63.9%) warrants FY27 P/S of 55.1x, up from 48.8x as its peer Moore Threads (688795 CH) rallied. 
Our fair value of MiniMax (100 HK) equals a 45% premium to Knowledge Atlas Technology (2513 HK), justified by its above-sector momentum and "winner-take-all" characteristics.


Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK) & MiniMax Group (100 HK): Comparison, Debuts and Implications

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax (100 HK)</a> is a viable AI foundation model company, with highly ranked product suites and increasingly more adoption by customers around the world. </li>
<li>The fair value is at HK$216 per share, reflecting its strong potential to capture the AI growth, solid market position and the scarcity value on the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>At fair FY27F P/S of 48.8x, this equals 18% discount to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moore-threads-intelligent-technology-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40221:1" rel="noopener">Moore Threads Intelligent (688795 CH)</a> and 35% premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-biren-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39934:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Biren Technology (6082 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



MiniMax (100 HK) is a viable AI foundation model company, with highly ranked product suites and increasingly more adoption by customers around the world. 
The fair value is at HK$216 per share, reflecting its strong potential to capture the AI growth, solid market position and the scarcity value on the Hong Kong market.
At fair FY27F P/S of 48.8x, this equals 18% discount to the Moore Threads Intelligent (688795 CH) and 35% premium to Shanghai Biren Technology (6082 HK). 


MiniMax Group (100 HK) IPO: Estimate of Fair Value

China

SenseTime is a leading artificial intelligence software company that researches, develops, and sells AI software platforms. It provides AI technologies across generative AI, traditional AI, and smart auto, enabling digital transformation for enterprises, smart city management, and applications in IoT, Metaverse, smart health, and automotive. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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SenseTime (20 HK)

Global Index: Potential Changes in February for Asia Pac

A global index announces tomorrow and rebalances at the close on 27 Feb. There will be a lot of changes with China leading the way. Stocks have...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC, Sensetime

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 2nd and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: MiniMax IPO Trading - Highest AI Linked Coverage so Far

MiniMax Group (100 HK), a global AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK) & MiniMax Group (100 HK): Comparison, Debuts and Implications

Debut of Knowledge Atlas is lukewarm, trading close to fair value at 37.8x P/S for FY27, while MiniMax's B2C focus and strong revenue growth...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MiniMax Group (100 HK) IPO: Estimate of Fair Value

MiniMax is a promising AI company with strong product suites and growing customer adoption, valued at HK$216 per share due to its potential in the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Index: Potential Changes in February for Asia Pac

A global index announces tomorrow and rebalances at the close on 27 Feb. There will be a lot of changes with China leading the way. Stocks have...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC, Sensetime

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 2nd and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba, Meituan, AIA, ABC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: MiniMax IPO Trading - Highest AI Linked Coverage so Far

MiniMax Group (100 HK), a global AI foundation model company, raised around US$700m in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Knowledge Atlas (2513 HK) & MiniMax Group (100 HK): Comparison, Debuts and Implications

​Debut of Knowledge Atlas is lukewarm, trading close to fair value at 37.8x P/S for FY27, while MiniMax's B2C focus and strong revenue growth...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MiniMax Group (100 HK) IPO: Estimate of Fair Value

​MiniMax is a promising AI company with strong product suites and growing customer adoption, valued at HK$216 per share due to its potential in the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Debut of Knowledge Atlas is lukewarm, trading close to fair value at 37.8x P/S for FY27, while MiniMax's B2C focus and strong revenue growth...

MiniMax is a promising AI company with strong product suites and growing customer adoption, valued at HK$216 per share due to its potential in the...